NC State at North Carolina - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 26 (30 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
UNC is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NCST: 26 - UNC: 37 (63)
NCST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 20 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (49 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 NC State vs Tennessee+2.5
Sat 9/8 NC State at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/15 NC State vs South Alabama-23.5
Sat 9/22 NC State vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/29 NC State at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/6 NC State vs Florida State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 NC State at Maryland+2.5
Sat 10/27 NC State at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/3 NC State vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 11/10 NC State vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/17 NC State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/24 NC State vs Boston College-23.5
Mon 12/31 NC State vs Vanderbilt+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
North Carolina's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina at Louisville+2.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/20 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/27 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Thu 11/15 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.0239%28.138%2.8111139%3100-37%25.638%34%-0.350.52.51.8
UNC.1547%40.647%319445%292-0.14.0538%25.738%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.13039.3%02.5224211113103.139%59%38%39%2%.02
UNC Defense1225.725.938.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1325.634.837.3%-0.31.8 - - - - - 47%51%38%34%2%0
UNC Offense1240.648.747%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1330:2821.841%52%6.750.52.51.800429.3
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1339%38%36.2111.13.112-.112.8163%0%0.6
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1347%38% - - - - -.022.6756%0%0.84
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1359%39%25.443.8310.17.112.23117.121.333%30%.242%1.8
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 16.021.233%26%.182%1.6
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2012 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.8

NC State's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 37
NC State 26

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 38
NC State 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 37
NC State 28

Total Points: 65
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.7
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.9

North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29NC State42North Carolina19NC State -7NC State48.5Over
202411/30North Carolina30NC State35North Carolina -2.5NC State54.5Over
202311/25NC State39North Carolina20North Carolina -2NC State55.0Over
202211/25North Carolina27NC State30North Carolina -6.5NC State56.0Over
202111/26NC State34North Carolina30NC State -6.5North Carolina62.0Over
202010/24North Carolina48NC State21North Carolina -15.0North Carolina62.0Over
201911/30NC State10North Carolina41North Carolina -11North Carolina57.0Under
201811/24North Carolina28NC State34NC State -7.5North Carolina61.5Over
201711/25NC State33North Carolina21NC State -14.5North Carolina57.0Under
201611/25North Carolina21NC State28North Carolina -10NC State63.0Under
201511/28NC State34North Carolina45North Carolina -6North Carolina65.0Over
201411/29North Carolina7NC State35North Carolina -6NC State0
201311/02NC State19North Carolina27North Carolina -3North Carolina0
201210/27North Carolina43NC State35
201111/05NC State13North Carolina0
201011/20North Carolina25NC State29
200911/28NC State28North Carolina27
200811/22North Carolina10NC State41
200711/10NC State31North Carolina27
200611/18North Carolina23NC State9
200509/24NC State24North Carolina31
200410/09North Carolina30NC State24
200309/27NC State47North Carolina34
200210/12North Carolina17NC State34
200109/29NC State9North Carolina17
200010/13North Carolina20NC State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina978 Overs
NC State1763 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 144 - 92 - 62 - 3
Road Teams14 - 129 - 43 - 26 - 2

(#) NCST at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
North Carolina won vs NC State this year (43-35)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)

  
NCST's OC ()
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NCST's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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