North Carolina at Louisville - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (29 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Road Game
LOU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 26 - LOU: 28 (54)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 403 miles
Cardinals (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina at Louisville+2.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/20 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/27 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Thu 11/15 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Louisville's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 Louisville vs Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/8 Louisville vs Missouri State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Louisville vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/22 Louisville at Florida International+2.5
Sat 9/29 Louisville at Southern Miss+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Louisville at Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 10/20 Louisville vs South Florida-23.5
Fri 10/26 Louisville vs Cincinnati-23.5
Sat 11/3 Louisville vs Temple-23.5
Sat 11/10 Louisville at Syracuse+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24 Louisville vs UConn-23.5
Thu 11/29 Louisville at Rutgers+2.5
Wed 1/2 Louisville vs Florida+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1547%40.647%319445%292-0.14.0538%25.738%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
LOU.1344%31.238%2.6412247%296-0.16.0442%23.845%37%0.0953.311.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1240.629.247%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15
LOU Defense1323.821.642%0.091.8 - - - - - 52%47%45%37%3%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1225.725.438.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
LOU Offense1331.233.143.8%-0.161234181222963.446%52%38%47%1%.13

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Louisville1332:552350%69%6.253.311.800129.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73
LOU Defense1352%45% - - - - .012.9565%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
LOU Offense1346%38%35.5122.23.423-.052.6460%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5
LOU Defense1347%37% - - - - - - 11.091.231%33%.213%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
LOU Offense1352%47%23.635.1296.18.412.5278.321.334%40%.421%1.5

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Louisville: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Louisville:




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2012 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 28
North Carolina 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 28
North Carolina 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 29
Louisville 29

Total Points: 58
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Louisville's 2012 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/09North Carolina35Louisville47Louisville -11.5Louisville65.5Over
201209/15Louisville39North Carolina34
201110/08North Carolina14Louisville7
200510/08Louisville69North Carolina14
200409/25North Carolina0Louisville34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville411 Overs
North Carolina100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) UNC at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
()
Louisville won vs North Carolina this year (39-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNC's OC ()
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LOU's OC ()
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LOU's DC ()
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