
North Carolina Tar Heels at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Saturday, September 8th 2012 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest 28 - North Carolina: 27 (ACC)
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (29 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (29 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 28 - WAKE: 21 (49)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 28 - WAKE: 21 (49)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
Demon Deacons (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| North Carolina's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | North Carolina vs Elon | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | North Carolina at Louisville | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | North Carolina vs East Carolina | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | North Carolina vs Idaho | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/6 | North Carolina vs Virginia Tech | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/13 | North Carolina at Miami | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/20 | North Carolina at Duke | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/27 | North Carolina vs NC State | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/10 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | -23.5 | |||||
| Thu 11/15 | North Carolina at Virginia | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | North Carolina vs Maryland | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Wake Forest's 2012 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | Wake Forest vs Liberty | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | Wake Forest at Florida State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | Wake Forest vs Army | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | Wake Forest vs Duke | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/6 | Wake Forest at Maryland | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/20 | Wake Forest at Virginia | +2.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/25 | Wake Forest vs Clemson | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | Wake Forest vs Boston College | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/10 | Wake Forest at NC State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | Wake Forest at Notre Dame | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2012)
Overall Stats 2012
Additional Stats 2012
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | .15 | 47% | 40.6 | 47% | 3 | 194 | 45% | 292 | -0.14 | .05 | 38% | 25.7 | 38% | 37% | -0.09 | 64.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| WAKE | -.03 | 37% | 18.5 | 38% | 2.3 | 101 | 36% | 201 | -0.42 | .09 | 42% | 31.8 | 42% | 40% | -0.09 | 38.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2012
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 40.6 | 29.2 | 47% | -0.14 | 1.5 | 24 | 486 | 194 | 292 | 5.1 | 46% | 52% | 47% | 45% | 1% | .15 |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 31.8 | 32.3 | 42.2% | -0.09 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 48% | 42% | 40% | 2% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 25.7 | 25.4 | 38.4% | -0.09 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 38% | 37% | 3% | .05 |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 18.5 | 26.6 | 37% | -0.42 | 1.3 | 16 | 301 | 101 | 201 | 3 | 44% | 55% | 38% | 36% | 2% | -.03 |
Additional Stats 2012
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 12 | 27:50 | 24.3 | 42% | 67% | 7.5 | 64.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 |
| Wake Forest | 12 | 30:05 | 15.7 | 32% | 48% | 4.4 | 38.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2012)
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 46% | 47% | 38.1 | 193.8 | 5.1 | 28 | .09 | 3 | 69% | 0% | 0.73 |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 50% | 42% | - | - | - | - | -.03 | 2.66 | 69% | 0% | 0.72 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 49% | 38% | - | - | - | - | -.01 | 2.72 | 68% | 0% | 0.77 |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 44% | 38% | 33.5 | 100.5 | 3 | 15 | -.12 | 2.3 | 65% | 0% | 0.62 |
Pass Game Stats (2012)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 52% | 45% | 23.9 | 36.8 | 291.8 | 7.9 | 12.2 | 29 | 7 | .21 | 1.2 | 31% | 38% | .33 | 1% | 1.5 |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 48% | 40% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | .22 | 1.4 | 32% | 36% | .31 | 2% | 1.5 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 50% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | .12 | 1.4 | 36% | 34% | .34 | 3% | 1.6 |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 55% | 36% | 19.9 | 35.6 | 200.8 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 13 | 7 | .05 | 1.2 | 33% | 25% | .12 | 2% | 1.5 |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest:
North Carolina: Wake Forest: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest:
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2012 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2012 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4
North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4
North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 28
Wake Forest 21
Total Points: 49
Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 22
Wake Forest 18
Total Points: 40
Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 33
Wake Forest 24
Total Points: 57
North Carolina 28
Wake Forest 21
Total Points: 49
Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 22
Wake Forest 18
Total Points: 40
Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 33
Wake Forest 24
Total Points: 57
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3
Wake Forest's 2012 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3
Wake Forest's 2012 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/15 | Wake Forest | 28 | North Carolina | 12 | Wake Forest -3.5 | Wake Forest | 37.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/16 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina -10.5 | Wake Forest | 64.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Wake Forest | 34 | North Carolina | 36 | Wake Forest -4.5 | North Carolina | 79.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | North Carolina | 58 | Wake Forest | 55 | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 78.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/14 | North Carolina | 59 | Wake Forest | 53 | North Carolina -13 | Wake Forest | 70.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 18 | Wake Forest -3 | Wake Forest | 65.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | North Carolina | 50 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina -14 | North Carolina | 53.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | North Carolina | 49 | Wake Forest | 24 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Wake Forest | 37 | North Carolina | 10 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | North Carolina | 17 | Wake Forest | 24 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | North Carolina | 42 | Wake Forest | 34 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Wake Forest | 31 | North Carolina | 0 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/10 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 32 | ||||
| 2000 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 7 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| North Carolina | 9 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 11 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 3 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | WAKE |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | NR | NR |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | WAKE Off | UNC Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| WAKE Off | UNC Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | WAKE Off | UNC Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph
()
Wake Forest won vs North Carolina this year (28-27)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|