Virginia at Duke - 2012 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo (#24)Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 6th 2012 (3:00 PM EDT)
Duke 42 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 23 - DUKE: 36 (59)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 36 (40 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Virginia vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/8 Virginia vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/22 Virginia at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Virginia vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 10/6 Virginia at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/13 Virginia vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/20 Virginia vs Wake Forest-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Virginia at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Virginia vs Miami-23.5
Thu 11/15 Virginia vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/24 Virginia at Virginia Tech+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Duke's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Duke vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 9/8 Duke at Stanford+2.5
Sat 9/15 Duke vs North Carolina Central-23.5
Sat 9/22 Duke vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/6 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/13 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/20 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/27 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/24 Duke vs Miami-23.5
Thu 12/27 Duke vs Cincinnati-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0640%22.842%2.8712936%2680-.0138%28.937%36%058.82.21
DUKE.0641%31.540%3.0412539%284-0.39.1145%3649%37%-0.21491.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.818.239.5%02.2193971292683.744%55%42%36%3%.06
DUKE Defense133630.344.9%-0.211.8 - - - - - 53%44%49%37%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.929.637.5%01 - - - - - 50%48%37%36%2%-.01
DUKE Offense1331.539.740.5%-0.391.6224091252843.740%57%40%39%3%.06

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1233:051936%56%6.858.82.2100028.7
Duke1331:1622.235%56%5.8491.61.800430.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1244%42%34.8128.53.7102.8769%0%0.74
DUKE Defense1353%49% - - - - .133.3265%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1250%37% - - - - -.062.4659%0%0.73
DUKE Offense1340%40%33.8125.23.718-.013.0468%0%0.68

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1255%36%2339.52686.811.72315.121.234%34%.323%1.5
DUKE Defense1344%37% - - - - - - 11.111.328%33%.252%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248%36% - - - - - - 4.061.233%29%.092%1.3
DUKE Offense1357%39%27.142.4283.96.710.52712.111.132%30%.223%1.5

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2012 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2012 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Virginia's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 36
Virginia 23

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 40
Virginia 19

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Duke 32
Virginia 27

Total Points: 59
Duke Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Duke's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke844 Overs
Virginia1896 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) UVA at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVADUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
Duke won vs Virginia this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)

  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD