North Carolina at Virginia - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (29 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 30 - UVA: 26 (56)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 150 miles
Cavaliers (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (26 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina at Louisville+2.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/20 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/27 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Thu 11/15 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Virginia's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Virginia vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/8 Virginia vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Virginia at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/22 Virginia at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 Virginia vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 10/6 Virginia at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/13 Virginia vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/20 Virginia vs Wake Forest-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Virginia at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Virginia vs Miami-23.5
Thu 11/15 Virginia vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/24 Virginia at Virginia Tech+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1547%40.647%319445%292-0.14.0538%25.738%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
UVA.0640%22.842%2.8712936%2680-.0138%28.937%36%058.82.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1240.629.247%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15
UVA Defense1228.928.437.5%01 - - - - - 50%48%37%36%2%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1225.725.438.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
UVA Offense1222.82639.5%02.2193971292683.744%55%42%36%3%.06

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Virginia1233:051936%56%6.858.82.2100028.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73
UVA Defense1250%37% - - - - -.062.4659%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
UVA Offense1244%42%34.8128.53.7102.8769%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5
UVA Defense1248%36% - - - - - - 4.061.233%29%.092%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
UVA Offense1255%36%2339.52686.811.72315.121.234%34%.323%1.5

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Virginia: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Virginia:




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2012 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Virginia 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 28
North Carolina 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 32
Virginia 25

Total Points: 57
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.4

Virginia's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1463 Overs
North Carolina1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 40°
Rematch from Week 12
()
North Carolina won at Virginia this year (37-13)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

  
UNC's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD