Marshall at Old Dominion Week 13 College Football Matchup Marshall at Old Dominion Matchup - Week 13
Sun, Nov 24 2024 · Week 13 · 🏟 Foreman Field Norfolk, VA · Turf · 20,118 cap
Marshall✈ 350 miSame TZ
Away
42 35
Final
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Marshall
28
MRSH +3
Old Dominion
25
P&R Line Marshall -3
P&R Total O/U 53
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Old Dominion -3 · O/U 51.0
Matchup Prediction
Metrics disagree on this matchup
Momentum Control favors Old Dominion, while Game Control favors Marshall. Split signals historically show weaker predictive confidence — treat as a toss-up.
⚡ Split Signal — Metrics Disagree
Momentum Control
58.4%
Old Dominion wins
Lean
Game Control
64.9%
Marshall wins
Lean
Vegas Spread
Old Dominion -3
O/U 51.0
DraftKings
Advanced Stats
Advanced factors are split · No strong agreement signal
↓ See full breakdown
🏠 Old Dominion 2nd straight Home Game
Marshall 2024 Schedule
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.5W45–356.5W45–3UY
Sat 9/7Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.5L14–3152.5L14–31UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/21Marshall at Ohio State+40.0L14–4957.0L14–49OY
Sat 9/28Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.5W27–2053.5W27–20UY
Sat 10/5Marshall vs App State-3.0W52–3756.5W52–37OY
Sat 10/12Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.0L23–2458.5L23–24UY
Thu 10/17Marshall vs Georgia State-9.5W35–2051.5W35–20OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/2Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.5W28–2348.0W28–23ON
Sat 11/9Marshall at Southern Miss-13.5W37–353.5W37–3UY
Sat 11/16Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.5W31–1957.0W31–19UY
Sat 11/23Marshall at Old Dominion+3.0W42–3551.0W42–35OY
Sat 11/30Marshall at James Madison+2.5W35–3352.5W35–33OY
Sat 12/7Marshall at Louisiana+5.0W31–358.0W31–3UY
Old Dominion 2024 Schedule
Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31Old Dominion at South Carolina+20.5L19–2349.5L19–23UY
Sat 9/7Old Dominion vs East Carolina-1.5L14–2053.5L14–20UN
Sat 9/14Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+15.5L17–3747.5L17–37ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/28Old Dominion at Bowling Green+11.0W30–2751.5W30–27OY
Sat 10/5Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+4.0L37–4551.5L37–45ON
Sat 10/12Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.0W21–1453.0W21–14UY
Sat 10/19Old Dominion vs Texas State+10.5W24–1460.0W24–14UY
Thu 10/24Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern+1.0W47–1952.0W47–19OY
Sat 11/2Old Dominion at App State-2.5L20–2858.0L20–28UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/16Old Dominion vs James Madison+1.5L32–3551.0L32–35ON
Sat 11/23Old Dominion vs Marshall-3.0L35–4251.0L35–42ON
Sat 11/30Old Dominion at Arkansas State-5.5W40–3258.5W40–32OY
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2024 season
Marshall PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Split
Metrics disagree
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Marshall #60
+0.375
Old Dominion #47
+0.358
Marshall Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Marshall #82
+0.513
Old Dominion #61
+0.393
Marshall Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Marshall #19
0.190
Old Dominion #68
0.160
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Marshall Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Marshall #66
+7.570
Old Dominion #6
+8.618
Old Dominion Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Marshall #66
+0.817
Old Dominion #71
+0.824
Old Dominion Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Marshall #26
68.9
Old Dominion #108
72.7
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Marshall Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2024 season · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Old Dominion Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Marshall
-3.0
Old Dominion
-0.6
Offense Rating
Marshall
13.9
Old Dominion
13.4
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Marshall
16.9
Old Dominion
14.0
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Old Dominion Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Marshall #120
0.89
Old Dominion #32
1.20
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Marshall #94
1.00
Old Dominion #31
0.60
Old Dominion +0.31
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 10 games this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Marshall Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Marshall #1
54.3
Old Dominion #1
39.8
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Marshall #22
26.5
Old Dominion #71
38.7
Marshall +14.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 64.9% of games historically
Based on 10 games this season
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season

CSS and GC disagree on this matchup. When the metrics split, historical cover rates are essentially random — treat this as a coin flip against the spread.

ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.

Coaching Matchup
Marshall
Charles Huff #1
22–17 (56%) · Yr 4 at school
OC Seth Doege Yr 1 #1
DC Jason Semore Yr 2 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
Old Dominion
Ricky Rahne #1
15–23 (40%) · Yr 5 at school
OC Kevin Decker Yr 2 #1
DC Blake Seiler Yr 3 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself