Kansas at Coastal Carolina Week 2 College Football Matchup Kansas at Coastal Carolina Matchup - Week 2
Fri, Sep 10 2021 · Week 2 · 🏟 Brooks Stadium Conway, SC · Turf · 9,214 cap
Kansas✈ 969 mi+1 hr TZ
Away
22 49
Final
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Kansas
13
Coastal Carolina
44
P&R Line Coastal Carolina -31
P&R Total O/U 57.5
Confidence 90 High
Vegas Coastal Carolina -26.5 · O/U 52.0
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Coastal Carolina wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Coastal Carolina -26.5
O/U 52.0
teamrankings
Advanced Stats
All 4 factors agree → Coastal Carolina · 83.1% ATS historically when all four align
↓ See full breakdown
🏠 Coastal Carolina 3rd straight Home Game
Kansas 2021 Schedule
Kansas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3Kansas vs South Dakota-11.5W17–1455.5W17–14UN
Fri 9/10Kansas at Coastal Carolina+26.5L22–4952.0L22–49ON
Sat 9/18Kansas vs Baylor+17.0L7–4548.5L7–45ON
Sat 9/25Kansas at Duke+16.5L33–5257.5L33–52ON
Sat 10/2Kansas at Iowa State+34.5L7–5957.5L7–59ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/16Kansas vs Texas Tech+18.5L14–4167.5L14–41UN
Sat 10/23Kansas vs Oklahoma+38.0L23–3566.5L23–35UY
Sat 10/30Kansas at Oklahoma State+28.5L3–5554.5L3–55ON
Sat 11/6Kansas vs Kansas State+24.0L10–3556.0L10–35UN
Sat 11/13Kansas at Texas+31.0W57–5661.5W57–56OY
Sat 11/20Kansas at TCU+21.0L28–3164.0L28–31UY
Sat 11/27Kansas vs West Virginia+15.5L28–3455.5L28–34OY
Coastal Carolina 2021 Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel-33.5W52–1454.5W52–14OY
Sat 9/4Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel-29
Fri 9/10Coastal Carolina vs Kansas-26.5W49–2252.0W49–22OY
Sat 9/18Coastal Carolina at Buffalo-14.0W28–2558.0W28–25UN
Sat 9/25Coastal Carolina vs Massachusetts-36.0W53–366.0W53–3UY
Sat 10/2Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe-33.5W59–657.5W59–6OY
Thu 10/7Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State-20.5W52–2074.5W52–20UY
— Bye Week —
Wed 10/20Coastal Carolina at App State-4.5L27–3061.0L27–30UN
Thu 10/28Coastal Carolina vs Troy-17.0W35–2850.0W35–28ON
Sat 11/6Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern-16.0W28–856.5W28–8UY
Sat 11/13Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-12.5L40–4253.5L40–42ON
Sat 11/20Coastal Carolina vs Texas State-24.5W35–2160.5W35–21UN
Fri 11/26Coastal Carolina at South Alabama-14.5W27–2155.5W27–21UN
Fri 12/17Coastal Carolina vs Northern Illinois-11.0W47–4163.0W47–41ON
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2021 season
Coastal Carolina PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
All 4 Agree
→ Coastal Carolina
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
3 Agree
→ Coastal Carolina
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Both Agree
→ Coastal Carolina
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
Kansas
+0.326
Coastal Carolina
+0.879
Coastal Carolina Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
Kansas
+0.536
Coastal Carolina
+1.177
Coastal Carolina Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
Kansas
0.114
Coastal Carolina
0.189
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
Coastal Carolina Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
Kansas
+7.825
Coastal Carolina
+9.994
Coastal Carolina Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
Kansas
+0.783
Coastal Carolina
+1.083
Coastal Carolina Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
Kansas
69.9
Coastal Carolina
70.7
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
Kansas Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2021 season · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
Kansas Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
Kansas
-0.3
Coastal Carolina
-14.3
Offense Rating
Kansas
15.2
Coastal Carolina
7.8
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
Kansas
15.5
Coastal Carolina
22.1
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Kansas Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Kansas #91
0.00
Coastal Carolina #22
0.00
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Kansas #138
0.00
Coastal Carolina #19
0.00
Kansas +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 0 games this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Coastal Carolina Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Kansas #1
66.1
Coastal Carolina #1
97.7
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Kansas #128
13.3
Coastal Carolina #2
0.3
Coastal Carolina +31.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 1 game this season
Actual Result
CSS Battle
Coastal Carolina
2 — 0 sequences
✗ Predicted incorrectly
GC Battle
Coastal Carolina
89.7 — 4.1 GC score
✓ Predicted correctly
Game Result
Coastal Carolina won by 27
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season

Both metrics agree on Coastal Carolina with a large edge. Historically, dominant teams like this are fully priced into the spread — the agreed-upon team covers just 50.2% of the time. The metrics predict game control better than they beat the number.

ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.

Coaching Matchup
Kansas
Lance Leipold #1
1–2 (33%) · Yr 1 at school
OC Andy Kotelnicki Yr 1 #1
DC Brian Borland Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
Coastal Carolina
Jamey Chadwell #1
22–17 (56%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Willy Korn Yr 1 #1
DC Chad Staggs Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself