UAB at Illinois - 2026 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL

 
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (2 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Illinois -30.5  (SP+ ILL -29)
Projected Score: UAB: 13 - ILL: 44 (57)
ILL Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
UAB Travel: 461 miles
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (37 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UAB's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UAB at Illinois+30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Illinois's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Illinois vs UAB-30.5
Sat 9/12 Illinois vs Duke-9
Sat 9/19 Illinois vs Southern Illinois-34.5
Sat 9/26 Illinois at Ohio State+21
Sat 10/3 Illinois vs Purdue-16.5
Sat 10/10 Illinois at Michigan State-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Illinois vs Oregon+12
Sat 10/31 Illinois at Maryland-6.5
Sat 11/7 Illinois vs Nebraska-8
Sat 11/14 Illinois at UCLA-10.5
Sat 11/21 Illinois vs Iowa+0.5
Sat 11/28 Illinois vs Northwestern-10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#52 (.19)42% (65)26.444% (61)3.12 (36)13942% (61)2663.63 (76)#135 (.34)49% (132)38.350% (131)48% (125)4.71 (135)61.21.80.8
ILL#39 (.21)48% (15)29.448% (15)3.04 (52)13848% (14)2364.21 (29)#96 (.2)45% (114)23.641% (53)49% (133)4.33 (125)39.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.424.742.4%3.631.8224041392664.245%53%44%42%15%.19
ILL Defense1323.614.445.2%4.331.2 - - - - - 44%54%41%49%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1238.338.848.9%4.710.8 - - - - - 61%38%50%48%12%.34
ILL Offense1329.431.347.8%4.210.8213741382363.951%48%48%48%16%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1231:182246%47%7.461.21.80.84.11.4128.9
Illinois1330:5421.242%57%4.639.50.81.24.92.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (109)44% (61)32.9138.84.220 (49).17 (42)3.12 (36)71% (79)9% (67)1.09 (24)
ILL Defense1344% (10)41% (53) - - - - .07 (50)2.88 (70)75% (97)9% (80)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1261% (136)50% (131) - - - - .22 (127)3.35 (131)83% (129)8% (115)0.91 (42)
ILL Offense1351% (59)48% (15)35.2138.23.921 (40).08 (87)3.04 (52)73% (56)10% (87)0.8 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1253% (32)42% (61)23.936.5265.67.311.120 (42)16 (88).27 (59)1.5 (72)31% (66)33% (30).36 (48)6% (65)2.1 (39)
ILL Defense1354% (122)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (123).32 (102)1.3 (5)28% (126)36% (130).39 (112)6% (67)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1238% (1)48% (125) - - - - - - 4 (100).52 (136)1.9 (135)27% (131)32% (93).41 (115)4% (130)2.1 (106)
ILL Offense1348% (76)48% (14)19.328.6235.88.212.223 (33)6 (7).41 (21)1.6 (56)29% (34)37% (14).37 (43)6% (51)1.9 (111)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -18.36  #128
UAB's Offense Rating: 4.75  #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 28.11  #136
2026 Talent Rating: 486.00  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #17
UAB's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
UAB's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 536
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -18.36   Illinois: 13.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8   Illinois: 12.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 13.45  #28
Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.72  #27
Illinois's Defense Rating: 12.72  #36
2026 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Illinois's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Illinois's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 44
UAB 13


Projected Total Points: 57
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois000 Overs
UAB000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#128) UAB at (#28) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #128 #28
SP+SP+ #125 #24
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #115 #30
Blue ChipsBC% #17 #24
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #65 #114
ExplosiveExp #29 #37
PPAPPA #52 #96
PowerPwr #105 #36
SP+SP+ #80 #41
Pts POPPO #76 #125
HavocHav #64 #75
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #53
Run ExplRExp #24 #51
PPAExp #42 #50
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #36 #70
Stuff RateStuff #54 #70
TackleTak - NR
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #61 #133
Pass ExplPExl #72 #5
PPAExp #59 #102
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #80
DB HavocDB #65 #67
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffUAB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #15 #132
ExplosiveExp #118 #91
PPAPPA #39 #135
PowerPwr #27 #136
SP+SP+ #27 #132
Pts POPPO #29 #135
HavocHav #70 #130
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffUAB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #131
Run ExplRExp #131 #42
PPAExp #87 #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #52 #131
Stuff RateStuff #81 #130
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffUAB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #125
Pass ExplPExl #56 #135
PPAExp #21 #136
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #115
DB HavocDB #51 #130
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryder Burton629863%708757.2
Nate Rogers1250%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)12559024.746
Nate Rogers138426.515
Roderick Robinson II (Tr)62203.710
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Brown17255215.061
Antonio Ferguson10115011.521
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)158015.314
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)177404.421

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Calvin Pitcher381101
Muaaz Byard (Tr)374112
Darrell Sweeting (Tr)371100
Shaun Myers (Tr)375101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Hall (Tr)115413
Chris Burge325470
Eli Ennis112200
Calvin Pitcher381101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Jordan (Tr)192106
Eli Hall (Tr)115413
Delvon Gulley191013

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)26940866%33001968.1
Ty Robinson (Tr)2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Katin Houser (Tr)8519392.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Jayshon Platt (Tr)46720515.748
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement36454312.627

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Robert Edmonson (Tr)474150
William Holmes (Tr)457250
James Thompson Jr.403221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darrell Prater (Tr)214400
William Holmes (Tr)457250
James Thompson Jr.403221
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
James Kreutz304003
Deuce Fillmore (Tr)390003