Oregon at Ohio State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo Oregon Ducks at Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio Stadium - Columbus, OH

 
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (48 - 9)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -6.5  (SP+ OSU -4)

Projected Score: ORE: 21 - OSU: 28 (49)
OSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ORE Travel: 2054 miles, 3 hrs behind
Buckeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (82 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon vs Boise State-28.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon at Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 9/19 Oregon vs Portland State-49
Sat 9/26 Oregon at USC-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oregon vs UCLA-30
Sat 10/17 Oregon vs Nebraska-22.5
Sat 10/24 Oregon at Illinois-12
Sat 10/31 Oregon vs Northwestern-24.5
Sat 11/7 Oregon at Ohio State+6.5
Sat 11/14 Oregon vs Michigan-12.5
Sat 11/21 Oregon at Michigan State-25
Sat 11/28 Oregon vs Washington-9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Ohio State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ohio State vs Ball State-53.5
Sat 9/12 Ohio State at Texas-5.5
Sat 9/19 Ohio State vs Kent State-49.5
Sat 9/26 Ohio State vs Illinois-21
Sat 10/3 Ohio State at Iowa-13.5
Sat 10/10 Ohio State vs Maryland-30
Sat 10/17 Ohio State at Indiana+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Ohio State at USC-6
Sat 11/7 Ohio State vs Oregon-6.5
Sat 11/14 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.5
Sat 11/21 Ohio State at Nebraska-21.5
Sat 11/28 Ohio State vs Michigan-16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#13 (.3)48% (17)36.948% (18)3.08 (45)19949% (13)2544.1 (36)#13 (.05)36% (12)17.938% (24)36% (14)3.9 (92)49.711.5
OSU#10 (.31)52% (2)33.445% (47)2.99 (61)15558% (1)2684.83 (5)#3 (-.02)34% (6)9.331% (3)38% (32)2.64 (8)38.50.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1536.932.847.8%4.11224521992545.452%46%48%49%11%.3
OSU Defense149.37.434.4%2.641 - - - - - 48%50%31%38%16%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1517.915.636.4%3.91.5 - - - - - 49%48%38%36%18%.05
OSU Offense1433.441.651.7%4.830.8234231552684.648%51%45%58%11%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1530:4821.947%56%5.149.711.552531.1
Ohio State1433:0022.653%67%4.138.50.815.62.5129
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1552% (46)48% (18)36.7198.65.435 (16).23 (16)3.08 (45)71% (73)8% (26)1.04 (42)
OSU Defense1448% (50)31% (3) - - - - -.09 (4)2.5 (10)59% (9)11% (17)0.82 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1549% (57)38% (24) - - - - .05 (39)2.72 (35)71% (69)10% (68)0.98 (79)
OSU Offense1448% (80)45% (47)33.6154.84.625 (60).08 (89)2.99 (61)73% (61)7% (14)0.78 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1546% (93)49% (13)20.929.1253.68.712.231 (6)10 (34).42 (16)1.6 (38)26% (12)31% (55).39 (36)3% (6)2.1 (61)
OSU Defense1450% (89)38% (32) - - - - - - 8 (100).05 (5)1.2 (1)36% (12)23% (5).08 (5)5% (108)1.7 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1548% (69)36% (14) - - - - - - 15 (22).15 (26)1.6 (90)36% (14)28% (52).21 (30)9% (6)2 (61)
OSU Offense1451% (54)58% (1)22.429.1268.29.21233 (22)8 (20).54 (3)1.4 (117)24% (2)39% (7).5 (12)4% (17)1.9 (90)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.40  #9
Oregon's Offense Rating: 23.41  #6
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.01  #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1022.00  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Oregon's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Oregon's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.40   Ohio State: 32.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9   Ohio State: 30.1




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.03  #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.91  #3
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -2.53  #1
2026 Talent Rating: 1070.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Ohio State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Ohio State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.1  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #13
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.7  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 28
Oregon 21


Projected Total Points: 49
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Oregon32Ohio State31Ohio State -3.5Oregon54.5Over
202401/01Oregon21Ohio State41Ohio State -2.5Ohio State55.5Over
202109/11Ohio State28Oregon35Ohio State -14.5Oregon65.0Under
201401/12Ohio State42Oregon20Oregon -5.5Ohio State72.0Under
200901/01Oregon17Ohio State26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State322 Overs
Oregon222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 21 - 0

(#9) ORE at (#3) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #9 #3
SP+SP+ #4 #2
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #9 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #17 #6
ExplosiveExp #35 #2
PPAPPA #13 #3
PowerPwr #6 #1
SP+SP+ #10 #1
Pts POPPO #36 #8
HavocHav #4 #57
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #3
Run ExplRExp #42 #7
PPAExp #16 #4
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #45 #10
Stuff RateStuff #31 #14
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #32
Pass ExplPExl #38 #1
PPAExp #16 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #26 #17
DB HavocDB #6 #108
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #2 #12
ExplosiveExp #124 #83
PPAPPA #10 #13
PowerPwr #3 #12
SP+SP+ #13 #5
Pts POPPO #5 #92
HavocHav #6 #21
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #24
Run ExplRExp #133 #79
PPAExp #89 #39
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #61 #35
Stuff RateStuff #73 #100
TackleTak - NR
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #14
Pass ExplPExl #117 #90
PPAExp #3 #26
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #68
DB HavocDB #17 #6
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Oregon in 2024 (41-21)

  
ORE's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Dylan Raiola (Tr)18125072%20001868.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Dante Moore7315622.149
Da'Jaun Riggs178605.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks (Tr)72927712.951
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson32510315.956
Dakorien Moore34497314.665

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koi Perich (Tr)823102
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Jerry Mixon574147
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
A'Mauri Washington335257
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerry Mixon574147
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
A'Mauri Washington335257

OSU's OC Arthur Smith (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin30139177%36103289.2
Tavien St. Clair020%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson179109066.164
Isaiah West5931025.338
Ja'Kobi Jackson (Tr)279803.627
Jeremiah Smith32117.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8712431214.387
Devin Mccuin (Tr)65726811.252
Kyle Parker (Tr)31330410.643
Hunter Welcing (Tr)28296210.636

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Jaylen McClain530003
Christian Alliegro (Tr)488401
Payton Pierce442000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenyatta Jackson2811722
Christian Alliegro (Tr)488401
Eddrick Houston214310
James Smith (Tr)267321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominick Kelly (Tr)30003
Jaylen McClain530003
Earl Little II762002