Oregon at Illinois - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo Oregon Ducks at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Champaign, IL

 
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (48 - 9)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -12  (SP+ ORE -13)
Projected Score: ORE: 32 - ILL: 20 (51)
ORE Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
ORE Travel: 1794 miles, 2 hrs behind
Fighting Illini (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (37 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon vs Boise State-28.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon at Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 9/19 Oregon vs Portland State-49
Sat 9/26 Oregon at USC-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oregon vs UCLA-30
Sat 10/17 Oregon vs Nebraska-22.5
Sat 10/24 Oregon at Illinois-12
Sat 10/31 Oregon vs Northwestern-24.5
Sat 11/7 Oregon at Ohio State+6.5
Sat 11/14 Oregon vs Michigan-12.5
Sat 11/21 Oregon at Michigan State-25
Sat 11/28 Oregon vs Washington-9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Illinois's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Illinois vs UAB-30.5
Sat 9/12 Illinois vs Duke-9
Sat 9/19 Illinois vs Southern Illinois-34.5
Sat 9/26 Illinois at Ohio State+21
Sat 10/3 Illinois vs Purdue-16.5
Sat 10/10 Illinois at Michigan State-10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Illinois vs Oregon+12
Sat 10/31 Illinois at Maryland-6.5
Sat 11/7 Illinois vs Nebraska-8
Sat 11/14 Illinois at UCLA-10.5
Sat 11/21 Illinois vs Iowa+0.5
Sat 11/28 Illinois vs Northwestern-10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#13 (.3)48% (17)36.948% (18)3.08 (45)19949% (13)2544.1 (36)#13 (.05)36% (12)17.938% (24)36% (14)3.9 (92)49.711.5
ILL#39 (.21)48% (15)29.448% (15)3.04 (52)13848% (14)2364.21 (29)#96 (.2)45% (114)23.641% (53)49% (133)4.33 (125)39.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1536.932.847.8%4.11224521992545.452%46%48%49%11%.3
ILL Defense1323.614.445.2%4.331.2 - - - - - 44%54%41%49%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1517.915.636.4%3.91.5 - - - - - 49%48%38%36%18%.05
ILL Offense1329.431.347.8%4.210.8213741382363.951%48%48%48%16%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1530:4821.947%56%5.149.711.552531.1
Illinois1330:5421.242%57%4.639.50.81.24.92.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1552% (46)48% (18)36.7198.65.435 (16).23 (16)3.08 (45)71% (73)8% (26)1.04 (42)
ILL Defense1344% (10)41% (53) - - - - .07 (50)2.88 (70)75% (97)9% (80)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1549% (57)38% (24) - - - - .05 (39)2.72 (35)71% (69)10% (68)0.98 (79)
ILL Offense1351% (59)48% (15)35.2138.23.921 (40).08 (87)3.04 (52)73% (56)10% (87)0.8 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1546% (93)49% (13)20.929.1253.68.712.231 (6)10 (34).42 (16)1.6 (38)26% (12)31% (55).39 (36)3% (6)2.1 (61)
ILL Defense1354% (122)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (123).32 (102)1.3 (5)28% (126)36% (130).39 (112)6% (67)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1548% (69)36% (14) - - - - - - 15 (22).15 (26)1.6 (90)36% (14)28% (52).21 (30)9% (6)2 (61)
ILL Offense1348% (76)48% (14)19.328.6235.88.212.223 (33)6 (7).41 (21)1.6 (56)29% (34)37% (14).37 (43)6% (51)1.9 (111)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.40  #9
Oregon's Offense Rating: 23.41  #6
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.01  #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1022.00  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Oregon's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Oregon's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.40   Illinois: 13.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9   Illinois: 12.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 13.45  #28
Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.72  #27
Illinois's Defense Rating: 12.72  #36
2026 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Illinois's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Illinois's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 32
Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 51
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Oregon38Illinois9Oregon -22.5Oregon54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois000 Overs
Oregon111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#9) ORE at (#28) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #9 #28
SP+SP+ #4 #24
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #9 #30
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #17 #114
ExplosiveExp #35 #37
PPAPPA #13 #96
PowerPwr #6 #36
SP+SP+ #10 #41
Pts POPPO #36 #125
HavocHav #4 #75
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #53
Run ExplRExp #42 #51
PPAExp #16 #50
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #45 #70
Stuff RateStuff #31 #70
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #133
Pass ExplPExl #38 #5
PPAExp #16 #102
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #26 #80
DB HavocDB #6 #67
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #15 #12
ExplosiveExp #118 #83
PPAPPA #39 #13
PowerPwr #27 #12
SP+SP+ #27 #5
Pts POPPO #29 #92
HavocHav #70 #21
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #24
Run ExplRExp #131 #79
PPAExp #87 #39
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #52 #35
Stuff RateStuff #81 #100
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatILL OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #14
Pass ExplPExl #56 #90
PPAExp #21 #26
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #68
DB HavocDB #51 #6
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Illinois in 2024 (38-9)

  
ORE's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Dylan Raiola (Tr)18125072%20001868.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Dante Moore7315622.149
Da'Jaun Riggs178605.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks (Tr)72927712.951
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson32510315.956
Dakorien Moore34497314.665

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koi Perich (Tr)823102
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Jerry Mixon574147
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
A'Mauri Washington335257
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerry Mixon574147
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
A'Mauri Washington335257

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)26940866%33001968.1
Ty Robinson (Tr)2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Katin Houser (Tr)8519392.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Jayshon Platt (Tr)46720515.748
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement36454312.627

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Robert Edmonson (Tr)474150
William Holmes (Tr)457250
James Thompson Jr.403221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darrell Prater (Tr)214400
William Holmes (Tr)457250
James Thompson Jr.403221
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
James Kreutz304003
Deuce Fillmore (Tr)390003