Michigan at Rutgers - 2026 Matchup Preview

Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
SHI Stadium - Piscataway, NJ (Big Ten)

Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)

Our Line: Michigan -15 (SP+ MICH -11.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 36 - RUTG: 21 (56)
MICH Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
MICH Travel: 6556 miles

Scarlet Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (99 - 108)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#73)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Michigan vs Western Michigan	-27	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Michigan vs Oklahoma	+0.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Michigan vs UTEP	-36.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Michigan vs Iowa	-5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	Michigan at Minnesota	-10.5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17	Michigan vs Penn State	-4	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Michigan vs Indiana	+8	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/31	Michigan at Rutgers	-15	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	Michigan vs Michigan State	-22	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	Michigan at Oregon	+9.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	Michigan vs UCLA	-18.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	Michigan at Ohio State	+13	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Rutgers's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Rutgers vs Massachusetts	-34.5	—	—	—	—
Fri 9/11	Rutgers at Boston College	-2	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Rutgers vs USC	+16.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Rutgers vs Howard	-25	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	Rutgers vs Indiana	+25.5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17	Rutgers at Maryland	+3	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Rutgers at Northwestern	+4	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/31	Rutgers vs Michigan	+15	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+1	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	Rutgers vs Nebraska	+2	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	Rutgers at Penn State	+18.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.5	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#54 (.19)	44% (47)	27.5	49% (13)	3.29 (16)	211	40% (89)	187	3.64 (75)	#52 (.12)	42% (78)	20.4	41% (58)	44% (105)	3.79 (80)	39.1	1.3	1.4
RUTG	#37 (.21)	47% (20)	28.7	46% (41)	3.03 (55)	142	47% (18)	266	3.38 (102)	#134 (.31)	47% (128)	31.8	47% (113)	49% (132)	4.45 (131)	32.6	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	13	27.5	26.4	44.4%	3.64	1.3	20	398	211	187	5.5	54%	44%	49%	40%	12%	.19
RUTG Defense	12	31.8	30.3	47.4%	4.45	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	47%	49%	12%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	13	20.4	24.4	42.3%	3.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	41%	44%	17%	.12
RUTG Offense	12	28.7	35.4	46.8%	3.38	0.9	23	408	142	266	3.7	49%	50%	46%	47%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	13	29:47	20.2	44%	39%	4.4	39.1	1.3	1.4	5.8	2.2	0	31.1
Rutgers	12	32:31	23.3	43%	62%	4.1	32.6	0.9	1	3.9	0.9	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	13	54% (33)	49% (13)	38.2	211.2	5.5	33 (23)	.23 (17)	3.29 (16)	77% (32)	8% (27)	0.98 (62)
RUTG Defense	12	50% (64)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.26 (134)	3.15 (110)	66% (28)	9% (106)	1.13 (131)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	13	46% (23)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	.07 (49)	2.68 (28)	59% (11)	10% (52)	0.88 (23)
RUTG Offense	12	49% (74)	46% (41)	38.8	141.5	3.7	19 (49)	.09 (80)	3.03 (55)	75% (46)	9% (44)	0.86 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	13	44% (103)	40% (89)	15.5	26.2	186.8	7.1	12	11 (106)	10 (20)	.2 (96)	1.5 (107)	30% (51)	30% (74)	.25 (91)	4% (20)	1.7 (132)
RUTG Defense	12	49% (74)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (100)	.44 (134)	1.6 (66)	30% (96)	34% (118)	.36 (100)	4% (133)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	13	52% (116)	44% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (4)	.22 (57)	1.3 (3)	30% (98)	33% (111)	.4 (114)	7% (38)	2 (69)
RUTG Offense	12	50% (62)	47% (18)	19.5	31.5	266.1	8.5	13.7	22 (42)	7 (60)	.34 (39)	1.5 (89)	29% (36)	36% (20)	.33 (57)	7% (110)	1.8 (129)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.02 #11
Michigan's Offense Rating: 23.80 #12
Michigan's Defense Rating: 2.78 #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1000.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.02 Rutgers: 4.195

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 12.4 Rutgers: 1.0

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 4.195 #69
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 16.01 #42
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 18.62 #87
2026 Talent Rating: 816.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #47
Rutgers's 2026 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Rutgers's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #72
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #95

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 36
Rutgers 21

Projected Total Points: 56

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Michigan	31	Rutgers	7	Michigan -24	Push	44.5	Under
2022	11/05	Rutgers	17	Michigan	52	Michigan -26	Michigan	45.0	Over
2021	09/25	Michigan	20	Rutgers	13	Michigan -20	Rutgers	50.0	Under
2020	11/21	Rutgers	42	Michigan	48	Michigan -13.5	Rutgers	52.5	Over
2019	09/28	Michigan	52	Rutgers	0	Michigan -27.5	Michigan	50.0	Over
2018	11/10	Rutgers	7	Michigan	42	Michigan -36.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2017	10/28	Michigan	35	Rutgers	14	Michigan -22.5	Rutgers	43.5	Over
2016	10/08	Rutgers	0	Michigan	78	Michigan -26.5	Michigan	52.5	Over
2015	11/07	Michigan	49	Rutgers	16	Michigan -21.5	Michigan	49.0	Over
2014	10/04	Rutgers	26	Michigan	24	Rutgers -3.5	Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	1	4	7 Overs
Michigan	9	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	2 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2	3 - 2

(#11) MICH at (#69) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#11	#69
SP+SP+	#25	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#13	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	#11	#47

Michigan Notes(2/14) Vibes: Unclear, but new staff + QB exciting
(2/4) RB Marshall back, big expectations for 5* Fr Hiter
(2/4) New Staff, great HC/OC/DC. Huge upgrade
(1/28) WR has Marsh and ? Buchanan (TE) helps
(1/28) IOL lacks exp, OT's solid. RB2 will be a FR
(1/28) QB Underwood w/ new OC Beck, big leap?
(1/28) DL looks good, LB has ? but 3 portal adds help
(1/28) CB starters good, S looks ? Depth is inexp.
Michigan Injury Report

Rutgers Notes(3/3) Vibes: Meh, no NIL, 3rd lowest P4 portal class
(2/8) New DC Travis Johansen was S Dakota's HC
(2/5) QB Lonergan (BC) serviceable, can't run. Depth?
(2/5) RB Raymond one of CFBs best. Good depth here
(2/5) WR Duff a great target, but there's no proven depth
(2/5) OL 1 starter back, 2 more G5/FCS. Options here but ?
(2/5) DL 4 portals, biggest area needed. Looks OK
(2/5) LB has 2 w starting exp but avg. Need more
(2/5) DBs big ? CBs w most exp are portals. S looks bad
(2/5) Two good weapons and lots of ? in lots of areas
Rutgers Injury Report

Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#47	#128
ExplosiveExp	#119	#114
PPAPPA	#54	#134
PowerPwr	#12	#87
SP+SP+	#48	#95
Pts POPPO	#75	#131
HavocHav	#13	#125

Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#13	#113
Run ExplRExp	#62	#131
PPAExp	#17	#134
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#110
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#62
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#66
PPAExp	#96	#134
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#27	#106
DB HavocDB	#20	#133

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#20	#78
ExplosiveExp	#89	#10
PPAPPA	#37	#52
PowerPwr	#42	#12
SP+SP+	#39	#15
Pts POPPO	#102	#80
HavocHav	#76	#46

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#41	#58
Run ExplRExp	#117	#23
PPAExp	#80	#49
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#28
Stuff RateStuff	#21	#85
TackleTak	-	NR

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#18	#105
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#3
PPAExp	#39	#57
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#44	#52
DB HavocDB	#110	#38

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Rutgers in 2023 (31-7)

MICH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Underwood	202	335	60%	2428	11	9	7.2
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (Tr)	44	82	54%	488	1	2	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Marshall	150	932	10	6.2	65
Bryce Underwood	88	392	6	4.5	37
Bryson Kuzdzal	76	326	4	4.3	22
Tomas O'Meara	11	83	0	7.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Marsh	45	651	4	14.5	69
JJ Buchanan (Tr)	26	427	5	16.4	60
Zack Marshall	16	199	1	12.4	37
Channing Goodwin	12	148	0	12.3	39

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
John Henry Daley	45	18	12	0	1
Smith Snowden (Tr)	37	2	0	0	9
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Henry Daley	45	18	12	0	1
Dominic Nichols	19	6	2	1	0
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	0	5
Jonah Lea'Ea (Tr)	34	3	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zeke Berry	33	0	0	10
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	1	9
Smith Snowden (Tr)	37	2	0	9

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)	190	284	67%	2025	12	5	7.1
AJ Surace	4	9	44%	58	2	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwan Raymond	244	1241	13	5.1	51
Clay Thevenin (Tr)	131	634	8	4.8	50
Ja'shon Benjamin	68	328	2	4.8	19
Edd Guerrier	7	25	0	3.6	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
KJ Duff	60	1084	7	18.1	72
Clay Thevenin (Tr)	33	269	0	8.2	30
Kenny Fletcher	26	236	0	9.1	39
Antwan Raymond	18	225	2	12.5	48

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Travis Johansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3
Kaj Sanders	64	0	0	0	1
Abram Wright	53	1	0	1	2
Rondarius Porter	39	5	2	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	28	10	7	1	1
Malachi Davis (Tr)	35	10	6	8	1
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3
Rondarius Porter	39	5	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rondarius Porter	39	5	2	4	4
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3
Abram Wright	53	1	0	1	2