Michigan at Ohio State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio Stadium - Columbus, OH

 
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -16.5  (SP+ OSU -18)
Projected Score: MICH: 15 - OSU: 32 (47)
OSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
MICH Travel: 161 miles
Buckeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (82 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Michigan vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Oklahoma+2
Sat 9/19 Michigan vs UTEP-31
Sat 9/26 Michigan vs Iowa-4
Sat 10/3 Michigan at Minnesota-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Michigan vs Penn State-3
Sat 10/24 Michigan vs Indiana+11
Sat 10/31 Michigan at Rutgers-14
Sat 11/7 Michigan vs Michigan State-20
Sat 11/14 Michigan at Oregon+12.5
Sat 11/21 Michigan vs UCLA-20
Sat 11/28 Michigan at Ohio State+16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Ohio State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ohio State vs Ball State-53.5
Sat 9/12 Ohio State at Texas-5.5
Sat 9/19 Ohio State vs Kent State-49.5
Sat 9/26 Ohio State vs Illinois-21
Sat 10/3 Ohio State at Iowa-13.5
Sat 10/10 Ohio State vs Maryland-30
Sat 10/17 Ohio State at Indiana+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Ohio State at USC-6
Sat 11/7 Ohio State vs Oregon-6.5
Sat 11/14 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.5
Sat 11/21 Ohio State at Nebraska-21.5
Sat 11/28 Ohio State vs Michigan-16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#54 (.19)44% (47)27.549% (13)3.29 (16)21140% (89)1873.64 (75)#52 (.12)42% (78)20.441% (58)44% (105)3.79 (80)39.11.31.4
OSU#10 (.31)52% (2)33.445% (47)2.99 (61)15558% (1)2684.83 (5)#3 (-.02)34% (6)9.331% (3)38% (32)2.64 (8)38.50.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1327.526.444.4%3.641.3203982111875.554%44%49%40%12%.19
OSU Defense149.37.434.4%2.641 - - - - - 48%50%31%38%16%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1320.424.442.3%3.791.4 - - - - - 46%52%41%44%17%.12
OSU Offense1433.441.651.7%4.830.8234231552684.648%51%45%58%11%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1329:4720.244%39%4.439.11.31.45.82.2031.1
Ohio State1433:0022.653%67%4.138.50.815.62.5129
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1354% (33)49% (13)38.2211.25.533 (23).23 (17)3.29 (16)77% (32)8% (27)0.98 (62)
OSU Defense1448% (50)31% (3) - - - - -.09 (4)2.5 (10)59% (9)11% (17)0.82 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1346% (23)41% (58) - - - - .07 (49)2.68 (28)59% (11)10% (52)0.88 (23)
OSU Offense1448% (80)45% (47)33.6154.84.625 (60).08 (89)2.99 (61)73% (61)7% (14)0.78 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1344% (103)40% (89)15.526.2186.87.11211 (106)10 (20).2 (96)1.5 (107)30% (51)30% (74).25 (91)4% (20)1.7 (132)
OSU Defense1450% (89)38% (32) - - - - - - 8 (100).05 (5)1.2 (1)36% (12)23% (5).08 (5)5% (108)1.7 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1352% (116)44% (105) - - - - - - 13 (4).22 (57)1.3 (3)30% (98)33% (111).4 (114)7% (38)2 (69)
OSU Offense1451% (54)58% (1)22.429.1268.29.21233 (22)8 (20).54 (3)1.4 (117)24% (2)39% (7).5 (12)4% (17)1.9 (90)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 18.45  #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.68  #15
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.23  #17
2026 Talent Rating: 928.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 18.45   Ohio State: 32.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 12.4   Ohio State: 30.1




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.03  #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.91  #3
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -2.53  #1
2026 Talent Rating: 1070.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Ohio State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Ohio State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.1  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #13
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.7  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 32
Michigan 15

Projected Total Points: 47
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Michigan9Ohio State27Ohio State -9.5Ohio State43.5Under
202411/30Ohio State10Michigan13Ohio State -20.5Michigan41.5Under
202311/25Michigan30Ohio State24Michigan -3.0Michigan47.0Over
202211/26Ohio State23Michigan45Ohio State -9Michigan56.0Over
202111/27Michigan42Ohio State27Ohio State -6.5Michigan63.5Over
201911/30Michigan27Ohio State56Ohio State -9Ohio State53.0Over
201811/24Ohio State62Michigan39Michigan -4.5Ohio State52.5Over
201711/25Michigan20Ohio State31Ohio State -12.5Michigan49.0Over
201611/26Ohio State30Michigan27Ohio State -7Michigan44.5Over
201511/28Michigan13Ohio State42Ohio State -2.5Ohio State46.0Over
201411/29Ohio State42Michigan28Ohio State -20Michigan0
201311/30Michigan41Ohio State42Ohio State -13Michigan0
201211/24Ohio State26Michigan21
201111/26Michigan40Ohio State34
201011/27Ohio State37Michigan7
200911/21Michigan10Ohio State21
200811/22Ohio State42Michigan7
200711/17Michigan3Ohio State14
200611/18Ohio State42Michigan39
200511/19Michigan21Ohio State25
200411/20Ohio State37Michigan21
200311/22Michigan35Ohio State21
200111/24Michigan20Ohio State26
200011/17Ohio State26Michigan38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State1748 Overs
Michigan782 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 125 - 71 - 44 - 3
Road Teams12 - 127 - 53 - 44 - 1

(#16) MICH at (#3) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #16 #3
SP+SP+ #25 #2
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #24 #6
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #47 #6
ExplosiveExp #119 #2
PPAPPA #54 #3
PowerPwr #15 #1
SP+SP+ #48 #1
Pts POPPO #75 #8
HavocHav #13 #57
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #3
Run ExplRExp #62 #7
PPAExp #17 #4
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #16 #10
Stuff RateStuff #9 #14
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #89 #32
Pass ExplPExl #107 #1
PPAExp #96 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #27 #17
DB HavocDB #20 #108
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #2 #78
ExplosiveExp #124 #10
PPAPPA #10 #52
PowerPwr #3 #17
SP+SP+ #13 #15
Pts POPPO #5 #80
HavocHav #6 #46
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #58
Run ExplRExp #133 #23
PPAExp #89 #49
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #61 #28
Stuff RateStuff #73 #85
TackleTak - NR
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #105
Pass ExplPExl #117 #3
PPAExp #3 #57
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #52
DB HavocDB #17 #38
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Michigan last year (27-9)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2024 (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)

  
MICH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood20233560%24281197.2
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (Tr)448254%488126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Bryce Underwood8839264.537
Tomas O'Meara118307.537
Smith Snowden (Tr)84015.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh45651414.569
JJ Buchanan (Tr)26427516.460
Zack Marshall16199112.437
Channing Goodwin12148012.339

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
John Henry Daley45181201
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Dominic Nichols196210
Max Alford (Tr)212110
Jyaire Hill363105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105

OSU's OC Arthur Smith (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Julian Sayin30139177%36103289.2
Tavien St. Clair020%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bo Jackson179109066.164
Isaiah West5931025.338
Ja'Kobi Jackson (Tr)279803.627
Jeremiah Smith32117.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith8712431214.387
Devin Mccuin (Tr)65726811.252
Kyle Parker (Tr)31330410.643
Hunter Welcing (Tr)28296210.636

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Jaylen McClain530003
Christian Alliegro (Tr)488401
Payton Pierce442000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenyatta Jackson2811722
Christian Alliegro (Tr)488401
Eddrick Houston214310
James Smith (Tr)267321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominick Kelly (Tr)30003
Jaylen McClain530003
Earl Little II762002