Michigan at Ohio State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes

Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio Stadium - Columbus, OH (Big Ten)

Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)

OSU is playing their 5th straight game
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -13 (SP+ OSU -18)
Projected Score: MICH: 17 - OSU: 30 (47)
OSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MICH Travel: 161 miles

Buckeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (82 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Michigan vs Western Michigan	-27	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Michigan vs Oklahoma	+0.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Michigan vs UTEP	-36.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Michigan vs Iowa	-5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	Michigan at Minnesota	-10.5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17	Michigan vs Penn State	-4	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Michigan vs Indiana	+8	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/31	Michigan at Rutgers	-15	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	Michigan vs Michigan State	-22	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	Michigan at Oregon	+9.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	Michigan vs UCLA	-18.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	Michigan at Ohio State	+13	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Ohio State's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ohio State vs Ball State	-53.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Ohio State at Texas	-4.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Ohio State vs Kent State	-49	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Ohio State vs Illinois	-19	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	Ohio State at Iowa	-10.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/10	Ohio State vs Maryland	-30	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/17	Ohio State at Indiana	+2.5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31	Ohio State at USC	-6.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	Ohio State vs Oregon	-5.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	Ohio State at Nebraska	-21	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	Ohio State vs Michigan	-13	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#54 (.19)	44% (47)	27.5	49% (13)	3.29 (16)	211	40% (89)	187	3.64 (75)	#52 (.12)	42% (78)	20.4	41% (58)	44% (105)	3.79 (80)	39.1	1.3	1.4
OSU	#10 (.31)	52% (2)	33.4	45% (47)	2.99 (61)	155	58% (1)	268	4.83 (5)	#3 (-.02)	34% (6)	9.3	31% (3)	38% (32)	2.64 (8)	38.5	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	13	27.5	26.4	44.4%	3.64	1.3	20	398	211	187	5.5	54%	44%	49%	40%	12%	.19
OSU Defense	14	9.3	7.4	34.4%	2.64	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	31%	38%	16%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	13	20.4	24.4	42.3%	3.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	41%	44%	17%	.12
OSU Offense	14	33.4	41.6	51.7%	4.83	0.8	23	423	155	268	4.6	48%	51%	45%	58%	11%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	13	29:47	20.2	44%	39%	4.4	39.1	1.3	1.4	5.8	2.2	0	31.1
Ohio State	14	33:00	22.6	53%	67%	4.1	38.5	0.8	1	5.6	2.5	1	29

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	13	54% (33)	49% (13)	38.2	211.2	5.5	33 (23)	.23 (17)	3.29 (16)	77% (32)	8% (27)	0.98 (62)
OSU Defense	14	48% (50)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.09 (4)	2.5 (10)	59% (9)	11% (17)	0.82 (7)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	13	46% (23)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	.07 (49)	2.68 (28)	59% (11)	10% (52)	0.88 (23)
OSU Offense	14	48% (80)	45% (47)	33.6	154.8	4.6	25 (60)	.08 (89)	2.99 (61)	73% (61)	7% (14)	0.78 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	13	44% (103)	40% (89)	15.5	26.2	186.8	7.1	12	11 (106)	10 (20)	.2 (96)	1.5 (107)	30% (51)	30% (74)	.25 (91)	4% (20)	1.7 (132)
OSU Defense	14	50% (89)	38% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.05 (5)	1.2 (1)	36% (12)	23% (5)	.08 (5)	5% (108)	1.7 (7)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	13	52% (116)	44% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (4)	.22 (57)	1.3 (3)	30% (98)	33% (111)	.4 (114)	7% (38)	2 (69)
OSU Offense	14	51% (54)	58% (1)	22.4	29.1	268.2	9.2	12	33 (22)	8 (20)	.54 (3)	1.4 (117)	24% (2)	39% (7)	.5 (12)	4% (17)	1.9 (90)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.02 #11
Michigan's Offense Rating: 23.80 #12
Michigan's Defense Rating: 2.78 #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1000.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.02 Ohio State: 32.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 12.4 Ohio State: 30.1

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.135 #2
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 32.14 #2
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -4.12 #2
2026 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 68 #1
Ohio State's 2026 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.1 #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #13
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.7 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 30
Michigan 17

Projected Total Points: 47

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Michigan	9	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -9.5	Ohio State	43.5	Under
2024	11/30	Ohio State	10	Michigan	13	Ohio State -20.5	Michigan	41.5	Under
2023	11/25	Michigan	30	Ohio State	24	Michigan -3.0	Michigan	47.0	Over
2022	11/26	Ohio State	23	Michigan	45	Ohio State -9	Michigan	56.0	Over
2021	11/27	Michigan	42	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -6.5	Michigan	63.5	Over
2019	11/30	Michigan	27	Ohio State	56	Ohio State -9	Ohio State	53.0	Over
2018	11/24	Ohio State	62	Michigan	39	Michigan -4.5	Ohio State	52.5	Over
2017	11/25	Michigan	20	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -12.5	Michigan	49.0	Over
2016	11/26	Ohio State	30	Michigan	27	Ohio State -7	Michigan	44.5	Over
2015	11/28	Michigan	13	Ohio State	42	Ohio State -2.5	Ohio State	46.0	Over
2014	11/29	Ohio State	42	Michigan	28	Ohio State -20	Michigan	0
2013	11/30	Michigan	41	Ohio State	42	Ohio State -13	Michigan	0
2012	11/24	Ohio State	26	Michigan	21
2011	11/26	Michigan	40	Ohio State	34
2010	11/27	Ohio State	37	Michigan	7
2009	11/21	Michigan	10	Ohio State	21
2008	11/22	Ohio State	42	Michigan	7
2007	11/17	Michigan	3	Ohio State	14
2006	11/18	Ohio State	42	Michigan	39
2005	11/19	Michigan	21	Ohio State	25
2004	11/20	Ohio State	37	Michigan	21
2003	11/22	Michigan	35	Ohio State	21
2001	11/24	Michigan	20	Ohio State	26
2000	11/17	Ohio State	26	Michigan	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	17	4	8 Overs
Michigan	7	8	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	5 - 7	1 - 4	4 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 12	7 - 5	3 - 4	4 - 1

(#11) MICH at (#2) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	OSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#11	#2
SP+SP+	#25	#2
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#13	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	#11	#1

Michigan Notes(2/14) Vibes: Unclear, but new staff + QB exciting
(2/4) RB Marshall back, big expectations for 5* Fr Hiter
(2/4) New Staff, great HC/OC/DC. Huge upgrade
(1/28) WR has Marsh and ? Buchanan (TE) helps
(1/28) IOL lacks exp, OT's solid. RB2 will be a FR
(1/28) QB Underwood w/ new OC Beck, big leap?
(1/28) DL looks good, LB has ? but 3 portal adds help
(1/28) CB starters good, S looks ? Depth is inexp.
Michigan Injury Report

Ohio State Notes(2/15) Vibes: High, although expectations are extreme
(2/26) Day wants more tempo, is that OC Smith’s style?
(2/15) DBs great S adds (Moore, Little). CB could be ?
(2/15) 10 portal adds were starters (8 from P4)
(2/7) Shocking that OSU has not won B1G since '20
(2/6) QB Sayin back, most accurate QB in CFB, depth?
(1/29) New OC Smith (Steelers/Atl HC). More NFL guys?
(1/29) RB Jackson a revelation LY. Have depth + portal
(1/29) WR Smith best in CFB + Inniss, 2 good Portal adds
(1/29) OL has 4 starters back, lots of talented options
(1/29) DL big boost w/ Jackson & Atkinson back. Deep
(1/29) DT has depth + 2 portal starters. Have options
Ohio State Injury Report

Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#47	#6
ExplosiveExp	#119	#2
PPAPPA	#54	#3
PowerPwr	#12	#2
SP+SP+	#48	#1
Pts POPPO	#75	#8
HavocHav	#13	#57

Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#13	#3
Run ExplRExp	#62	#7
PPAExp	#17	#4
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#14
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#1
PPAExp	#96	#5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#27	#17
DB HavocDB	#20	#108

Ohio State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#2	#78
ExplosiveExp	#124	#10
PPAPPA	#10	#52
PowerPwr	#2	#12
SP+SP+	#13	#15
Pts POPPO	#5	#80
HavocHav	#6	#46

Ohio State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#47	#58
Run ExplRExp	#133	#23
PPAExp	#89	#49
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#61	#28
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#85
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#1	#105
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#3
PPAExp	#3	#57
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#14	#52
DB HavocDB	#17	#38

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Michigan last year (27-9)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2024 (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)

MICH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Underwood	202	335	60%	2428	11	9	7.2
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (Tr)	44	82	54%	488	1	2	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Marshall	150	932	10	6.2	65
Bryce Underwood	88	392	6	4.5	37
Bryson Kuzdzal	76	326	4	4.3	22
Tomas O'Meara	11	83	0	7.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Marsh	45	651	4	14.5	69
JJ Buchanan (Tr)	26	427	5	16.4	60
Zack Marshall	16	199	1	12.4	37
Channing Goodwin	12	148	0	12.3	39

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
John Henry Daley	45	18	12	0	1
Smith Snowden (Tr)	37	2	0	0	9
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Henry Daley	45	18	12	0	1
Dominic Nichols	19	6	2	1	0
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	0	5
Jonah Lea'Ea (Tr)	34	3	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zeke Berry	33	0	0	10
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	1	9
Smith Snowden (Tr)	37	2	0	9

OSU's OC Arthur Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Sayin	301	391	77%	3610	32	8	9.2
Tavien St. Clair	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bo Jackson	179	1090	6	6.1	64
Isaiah West	59	310	2	5.3	38
Ja'Kobi Jackson (Tr)	27	98	0	3.6	27
Jeremiah Smith	3	21	1	7.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	87	1243	12	14.3	87
Devin Mccuin (Tr)	65	726	8	11.2	52
Kyle Parker (Tr)	31	330	4	10.6	43
Hunter Welcing (Tr)	28	296	2	10.6	36

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Matt Patricia (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Earl Little II	76	2	0	2
Jaylen McClain	53	0	0	3
Christian Alliegro (Tr)	48	8	4	1
Payton Pierce	44	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenyatta Jackson	28	11	7	2	2
Christian Alliegro (Tr)	48	8	4	0	1
Eddrick Houston	21	4	3	1	0
James Smith (Tr)	26	7	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dominick Kelly (Tr)	3	0	3
Jaylen McClain	53	0	3
Earl Little II	76	2	2