Southern Miss at Auburn - 2026 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL

 
Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#64)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Auburn -24.5  (SP+ AUB -19)
Projected Score: USM: 13 - AUB: 38 (51)
AUB Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
USM Travel: 242 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Southern Miss at Auburn+24.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Auburn's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Auburn vs Baylor-13
Sat 9/12 Auburn vs Southern Miss-24.5
Sat 9/19 Auburn vs Florida-6
Sat 9/26 Auburn vs Vanderbilt+1.5
Sat 10/3 Auburn at Tennessee+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Auburn at Georgia+16
Sat 10/24 Auburn vs LSU+2
Sat 10/31 Auburn at Ole Miss+10
Sat 11/7 Auburn vs Arkansas-11.5
Sat 11/14 Auburn at Mississippi State-4
Sat 11/21 Auburn vs Samford-36.5
Sat 11/28 Auburn at Alabama+7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#68 (.18)39% (104)28.839% (106)2.96 (65)13640% (91)2663.6 (81)#38 (.1)41% (64)27.443% (75)41% (61)3.94 (97)60.21.22.2
AUB#72 (.17)43% (56)26.847% (30)3.19 (23)17740% (90)1973.9 (51)#19 (.07)38% (26)20.733% (5)44% (99)3.37 (42)63.70.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1328.828.439.3%3.61.2224021362663.848%51%39%40%16%.18
AUB Defense1220.716.438.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1327.427.641.5%3.942.2 - - - - - 52%45%43%41%17%.1
AUB Offense1226.826.443.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1327:4321.640%48%7.560.21.22.262.3329.5
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1348% (77)39% (106)36.1135.83.818 (78).1 (74)2.96 (65)67% (99)9% (47)0.93 (81)
AUB Defense1248% (44)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (2)2.25 (4)70% (59)11% (20)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1352% (100)43% (75) - - - - .14 (90)2.99 (89)78% (113)9% (89)1.01 (93)
AUB Offense1251% (60)47% (30)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (13)3.19 (23)80% (17)11% (116)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1351% (56)40% (91)22.234.92667.61226 (33)11 (34).28 (57)1.7 (15)34% (119)30% (73).33 (56)8% (121)2.1 (45)
AUB Defense1251% (97)44% (99) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (81)32% (54)31% (90).3 (70)5% (90)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1345% (33)41% (61) - - - - - - 23 (3).13 (19)1.5 (41)32% (67)30% (73).27 (61)8% (7)2.2 (122)
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (90)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (105)6% (51)2 (87)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -11.22  #99
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 5.35  #97
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 21.57  #103
2026 Talent Rating: 646.00  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Southern Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Southern Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1  #94
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #69
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 516.43
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -11.22   Auburn: 15.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -7.1   Auburn: 11.6




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 15.33  #21
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.44  #28
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.38  #18
2026 Talent Rating: 950.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 38
Southern Miss 13

Projected Total Points: 51
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/29Auburn24Southern Miss13Auburn -27Southern Miss51.0Under
200809/06Auburn27Southern Miss13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn200 Overs
Southern Miss011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#99) USM at (#21) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #21
SP+SP+ #94 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #12
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #104 #26
ExplosiveExp #24 #89
PPAPPA #68 #19
PowerPwr #97 #18
SP+SP+ #69 #16
Pts POPPO #81 #42
HavocHav #89 #50
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #5
Run ExplRExp #81 #29
PPAExp #74 #2
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #65 #4
Stuff RateStuff #70 #5
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #99
Pass ExplPExl #15 #81
PPAExp #57 #80
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #47 #20
DB HavocDB #121 #90
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #56 #64
ExplosiveExp #131 #49
PPAPPA #72 #38
PowerPwr #28 #103
SP+SP+ #59 #103
Pts POPPO #51 #97
HavocHav #99 #30
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #75
Run ExplRExp #54 #93
PPAExp #13 #90
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #23 #89
Stuff RateStuff #20 #73
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #61
Pass ExplPExl #134 #41
PPAExp #120 #19
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #89
DB HavocDB #51 #7
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Landy Lyddy345265%406237.8
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeffery Pittman15669584.525
Brandon Hood (Tr)9836823.890
Robert Briggs6230414.924
Jaylin Carter3816624.427
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyirin Heath19228312.034
Jaylin Carter2113706.514
Jeffery Pittman2510704.337
Robert Briggs139517.322

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Joe Bolden (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Harper502002
Melvin Spriggs (Tr)455331
Mathis Haygood444111
Jameer Lewis325320
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jameer Lewis325320
Melvin Spriggs (Tr)455331
Mathis Haygood444111
Joseph Harper502002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ishmael Ibraheem10002
Joseph Harper502002
Jyaire Brown (Tr)71001

AUB's OC Kodi Burns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown (Tr)22634166%31582879.3
Tristan Ti'a (Tr)375370%385327.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown (Tr)1751008145.860
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Bryson Washington (Tr)15478865.141
Tae Meadows (Tr)15969564.447
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton (Tr)50877817.566
Jeremiah Koger (Tr)38597815.763
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355
Christian Neptune (Tr)3833518.843

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins8417971
Fred Gaskin (Tr)533112
Kaleb Harris502101
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins8417971
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
Jared Smith54210
Da'Shawn Womack (Tr)275270
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Jordan1900010
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
Sylvester Smith282003