Southern Miss at Auburn - 2026 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Auburn Tigers

Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL

Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Auburn -23 (SP+ AUB -19)
Projected Score: USM: 14 - AUB: 37 (51)
AUB Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
USM Travel: 242 miles

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#39)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Southern Miss at Auburn	+23
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss vs UConn	+1
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss at Tulane	+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Auburn's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Auburn vs Baylor	-13.5
Sat 9/12	Auburn vs Southern Miss	-23
Sat 9/19	Auburn vs Florida	-8
Sat 9/26	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-1.5
Sat 10/3	Auburn at Tennessee	+6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Auburn at Georgia	+14
Sat 10/24	Auburn vs LSU	+1.5
Sat 10/31	Auburn at Ole Miss	+10
Sat 11/7	Auburn vs Arkansas	-12.5
Sat 11/14	Auburn at Mississippi State	-8.5
Sat 11/21	Auburn vs Samford	-38.5
Sat 11/28	Auburn at Alabama	+6.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	#68 (.18)	39% (104)	28.8	39% (106)	2.96 (65)	136	40% (91)	266	3.6 (81)	#38 (.1)	41% (64)	27.4	43% (75)	41% (61)	3.94 (97)	60.2	1.2	2.2
AUB	#72 (.17)	43% (56)	26.8	47% (30)	3.19 (23)	177	40% (90)	197	3.9 (51)	#19 (.07)	38% (26)	20.7	33% (5)	44% (99)	3.37 (42)	63.7	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	28.8	28.4	39.3%	3.6	1.2	22	402	136	266	3.8	48%	51%	39%	40%	16%	.18
AUB Defense	12	20.7	16.4	38.3%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	33%	44%	17%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.6	41.5%	3.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	45%	43%	41%	17%	.1
AUB Offense	12	26.8	26.4	43.4%	3.9	0.7	21	374	177	197	4.7	51%	48%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	27:43	21.6	40%	48%	7.5	60.2	1.2	2.2	6	2.3	3	29.5
Auburn	12	29:25	20.8	39%	52%	7.8	63.7	0.7	1.4	6.6	2.6	3	26.8

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	48% (77)	39% (106)	36.1	135.8	3.8	18 (78)	.1 (74)	2.96 (65)	67% (99)	9% (47)	0.93 (81)
AUB Defense	12	48% (44)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.11 (2)	2.25 (4)	70% (59)	11% (20)	0.89 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	52% (100)	43% (75)	-	-	-	-	.14 (90)	2.99 (89)	78% (113)	9% (89)	1.01 (93)
AUB Offense	12	51% (60)	47% (30)	37.8	176.9	4.7	23 (36)	.24 (13)	3.19 (23)	80% (17)	11% (116)	1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	51% (56)	40% (91)	22.2	34.9	266	7.6	12	26 (33)	11 (34)	.28 (57)	1.7 (15)	34% (119)	30% (73)	.33 (56)	8% (121)	2.1 (45)
AUB Defense	12	51% (97)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.27 (80)	1.6 (81)	32% (54)	31% (90)	.3 (70)	5% (90)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	45% (33)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	23 (3)	.13 (19)	1.5 (41)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.27 (61)	8% (7)	2.2 (122)
AUB Offense	12	48% (78)	40% (90)	18.4	30.2	197.1	6.5	10.7	11 (121)	4 (3)	.13 (120)	1.3 (134)	31% (61)	27% (106)	.21 (105)	6% (51)	2 (87)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -3.91 #86
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.06 #99
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 16.97 #77
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #64
Southern Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Southern Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #94
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 538.15
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.91 Auburn: 17.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -7.1 Auburn: 11.6

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 17.6 #19
Auburn's Offense Rating: 19.13 #27
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.53 #16
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #19
Auburn's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Auburn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 37
Southern Miss 14

Projected Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/29	Auburn	24	Southern Miss	13	Auburn -27	Southern Miss	51.0	Under
2008	09/06	Auburn	27	Southern Miss	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	2	0	0 Overs
Southern Miss	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#86) USM at (#19) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#86	#19
SP+SP+	#94	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	#64	#19

Southern Miss Notes(2/26) Vibes: Anderson wins, but bowling looks difficult
(2/26) QB1? Lyddy PT last year, Hampton most exp'd
(2/26) RB good stable w/ Pittman, Hood & Briggs
(2/26) WR counting on 2 FCS & P4s that haven't played
(2/26) OL is ok, 4 w starting exp. Added 5 portals
(2/26) DL 6 portals, some exp, lot of bodies, we'll see
(2/26) DBs 13 portals, should build a decent unit here
(2/24) HC Anderson won at Ark St & Utah St (74-54)
Southern Miss Injury Report

Auburn Notes(2/16) Vibes: Excited for Golesh era & new Offense
(2/26) WRs top 5 were big time weapons at USF
(2/16) RBs extremely deep w Cobb + 3 portal starters
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 50% of drop backs LY
(1/29) New staff under Golesh. DC Durkin remains
(1/29) 60 new on roster after 41 portals out, 39 in
(1/29) QB Brown dynamic under OC Gordon at USF
(1/29) OL 8 portals. 2 FT starters, 3 PT. Lots of G5 guys
(1/29) DL a mix of 5 portals + talented depth. Big ?
(1/29) DBs 7 portals. CBs look OK, S looks avg.
Auburn Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#104	#26
ExplosiveExp	#24	#89
PPAPPA	#68	#19
PowerPwr	#99	#16
SP+SP+	#69	#16
Pts POPPO	#81	#42
HavocHav	#89	#50

Southern Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#5
Run ExplRExp	#81	#29
PPAExp	#74	#2
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#65	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#70	#5
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#15	#81
PPAExp	#57	#80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#47	#20
DB HavocDB	#121	#90

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#56	#64
ExplosiveExp	#131	#49
PPAPPA	#72	#38
PowerPwr	#27	#77
SP+SP+	#59	#103
Pts POPPO	#51	#97
HavocHav	#99	#30

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#30	#75
Run ExplRExp	#54	#93
PPAExp	#13	#90
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#89
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#73
TackleTak	-	NR

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#90	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#134	#41
PPAExp	#120	#19
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#116	#89
DB HavocDB	#51	#7

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USM's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Landy Lyddy	34	52	65%	406	2	3	7.8
Ethan Hampton (Tr)	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)	98	368	2	3.8	90
Robert Briggs	62	304	1	4.9	24
Jamarice Wilder (Tr)	4	15	0	3.8	7
Landy Lyddy	6	12	1	2.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Little (Tr)	27	345	1	12.8	42
Robert Briggs	13	95	1	7.3	22
Brandon Hood (Tr)	11	88	0	8.0	21
Davis Dalton	4	82	1	20.5	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Joe Bolden (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Melvin Spriggs (Tr)	45	5	3	3	1
Mathis Haygood	44	4	1	1	1
Will Smith Jr.	20	0	0	0	0
Ronald Lewis	16	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Melvin Spriggs (Tr)	45	5	3	3	1
Xavier McIver (Tr)	6	2	1	0	0
Mathis Haygood	44	4	1	1	1
Laquan Robinson (Tr)	4	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ishmael Ibraheem	1	0	0	0	2
Melvin Spriggs (Tr)	45	5	3	3	1
Ronald Lewis	16	0	0	0	1

AUB's OC Joel Gordon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Byrum Brown (Tr)	226	341	66%	3158	28	7	9.3
Tristan Ti'a (Tr)	37	53	70%	385	3	2	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Byrum Brown (Tr)	175	1008	14	5.8	60
Jeremiah Cobb	175	969	5	5.5	46
Bryson Washington (Tr)	154	788	6	5.1	41
Tae Meadows (Tr)	159	695	6	4.4	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keshaun Singleton (Tr)	50	877	8	17.5	66
Jeremiah Koger (Tr)	38	597	8	15.7	63
Chas Nimrod (Tr)	23	466	3	20.3	55
Christian Neptune (Tr)	38	335	1	8.8	43

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Atkins	84	17	9	7	1
Fred Gaskin (Tr)	53	3	1	1	2
Kaleb Harris	50	2	1	0	1
Cody Sigler (Tr)	34	7	5	6	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Atkins	84	17	9	7	1
Cody Sigler (Tr)	34	7	5	6	6
Jared Smith	5	4	2	1	0
Da'Shawn Womack (Tr)	27	5	2	7	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andre Jordan	19	0	0	0	10
Cody Sigler (Tr)	34	7	5	6	6
Sylvester Smith	28	2	0	0	3