Sun, Oct 2 2022
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Week 5
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🏟 Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Gainesville, FL
·
Turf
·
88,548 cap
Eastern Washington✈ 2,238 mi+3 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Florida wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Florida -32
O/U 71.5
consensus
Eastern Washington 2022 Schedule
Eastern Washington's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/10 | Eastern Washington at Oregon | +27.5L14–70 | 69.5 | L14–70 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sun 10/2 | Eastern Washington at Florida | +32.0L17–52 | 71.5 | L17–52 | U | N |
Florida 2022 Schedule
Florida's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Florida vs Utah | +2.5W29–26 | 52.0 | W29–26 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Florida vs Kentucky | -6.0L16–26 | 53.0 | L16–26 | U | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Florida vs South Florida | -23.5W31–28 | 58.0 | W31–28 | O | N |
| Sat 9/24 | Florida at Tennessee | +11.0L33–38 | 62.0 | L33–38 | O | Y |
| Sun 10/2 | Florida vs Eastern Washington | -32.0W52–17 | 71.5 | W52–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/8 | Florida vs Missouri | -11.0W24–17 | 53.5 | W24–17 | U | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Florida vs LSU | -2.0L35–45 | 51.5 | L35–45 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/29 | Florida vs Georgia | +23.0L20–42 | 56.5 | L20–42 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/5 | Florida at Texas A&M | +1.5W41–24 | 53.5 | W41–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Florida vs South Carolina | -8.0W38–6 | 58.0 | W38–6 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Florida at Vanderbilt | -14.0L24–31 | 58.0 | L24–31 | U | N |
| Fri 11/25 | Florida at Florida State | +10.0L38–45 | 58.5 | L38–45 | O | Y |
| Sat 12/17 | Florida vs Oregon State | +7.5L3–30 | 52.0 | L3–30 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Eastern Washington Edge
Eastern Washington +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Florida Edge
Florida +15.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓