Texas at Oklahoma State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Texas logo   Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys  Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -6.5 (58.5)
Oklahoma State 41 - Texas: 34  (Big 12)

 
Longhorns (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
TEX is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TEX -12)

Projected Score: TEX: 28 - OKST: 19 (47)
TEX Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TEX Travel: 406 miles
Cowboys (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (149 - 69)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas vs UL Monroe-37.064.5W 52 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Texas vs Alabama+21.064.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 Texas vs UTSA-13.057.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 9/24 Texas at Texas Tech-7.060.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/1 Texas vs West Virginia-7.561.0W 38 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Texas vs Oklahoma-7.565.0W 49 - 0UY
Sat 10/15 Texas vs Iowa State-15.548.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/22 Texas at Oklahoma State-6.558.5L 34 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Texas at Kansas State-3.054.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/12 Texas vs TCU-7.565.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/19 Texas at Kansas-9.063.5W 55 - 14OY
Fri 11/25 Texas vs Baylor-10.055.0W 38 - 27OY
Thu 12/29 Texas vs Washington-3.067.0L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Oklahoma State vs Central Michigan-20.558.0W 58 - 44ON
Sat 9/10 Oklahoma State vs Arizona State-12.058.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/17 Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.564.5W 63 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Oklahoma State at Baylor+2.556.0W 36 - 25OY
Sat 10/8 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech-11.066.0W 41 - 31ON
Sat 10/15 Oklahoma State at TCU+5.069.5L 40 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Oklahoma State vs Texas+6.558.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/29 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+2.557.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 11/5 Oklahoma State at Kansas+3.059.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 11/12 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+2.547.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/19 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma+7.067.5L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/26 Oklahoma State vs West Virginia-5.559.5L 19 - 24UN
Tue 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Wisconsin+5.045.0L 17 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX.2845%30.546%3.4419943%2254.44.2846%20.346%46%4.3248.31.41.3
OKST.1642%14.241%2.7218644%2323.87.0536%33.334%38%3.0555.81.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1230.519.844.6%4.441.4204251992255.252%48%46%43%16%.28
OKST Defense1433.327.636%3.051.5 - - - - - 44%56%34%38%23%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1220.325.846.1%4.321.3 - - - - - 54%46%46%46%16%.28
OKST Offense1414.21742.4%3.871.4244171862324.254%46%41%44%16%.16

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1228:0420.344%45%5.848.31.41.361.7129.4
Oklahoma State1430:5223.643%54%655.81.41.58.44.1431
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1252%46%38.1199.35.225.233.4480%11%0.94
OKST Defense1444%34% - - - - -.032.3547%16%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1254%46% - - - - .213.1667%11%1.03
OKST Offense1454%41%44.3185.54.227.042.7265%11%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1248%43%18.128.8225.47.812.52910.361.730%31%.335%2
OKST Defense1456%38% - - - - - - 9.131.535%25%.126%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 7.351.529%34%.395%2
OKST Offense1446%44%19.631.9231.97.311.92313.321.531%29%.266%2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.1  #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #20
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas:    Oklahoma State: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 23.1   Oklahoma State: 11.3




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #31
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 28
Oklahoma State 19


Projected Total Points: 47
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Texas49Oklahoma State21Texas -14Texas55.0Over
202210/22Oklahoma State41Texas34Texas -6.5Oklahoma State58.5Over
202110/16Texas24Oklahoma State32Texas -3Oklahoma State61.0Under
202010/31Oklahoma State34Texas41Oklahoma State -3.5Texas0
201909/21Texas36Oklahoma State30Texas -7Oklahoma State71.5Under
201810/27Oklahoma State38Texas35Texas -2.5Oklahoma State60.5Over
201710/21Texas10Oklahoma State13Oklahoma State -7Texas65.0Under
201610/01Oklahoma State49Texas31Oklahoma State -3Oklahoma State68.0Over
201509/26Texas27Oklahoma State30Oklahoma State -5Texas63.0Under
201411/15Oklahoma State7Texas28Oklahoma State -1Texas0
201311/16Texas13Oklahoma State38Oklahoma State -2Oklahoma State0
201209/29Oklahoma State36Texas41
201110/15Texas26Oklahoma State38
201011/13Texas16Oklahoma State33
200910/31Oklahoma State14Texas41
200810/25Texas28Oklahoma State24
200711/03Oklahoma State35Texas38
200611/04Texas36Oklahoma State10
200510/29Oklahoma State28Texas47
200411/06Texas56Oklahoma State35
200311/08Oklahoma State16Texas55
200210/05Texas17Oklahoma State15
200110/13Oklahoma State17Texas45
200009/29Texas42Oklahoma State7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State964 Overs
Texas1554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 146 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams14 - 105 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#) TEX at (#) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEXOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #31
Perf GradeGrade #20 #89
OffenseOff #32 #116
DefenseDef #27 #56
Spec TeamsST #18 #5
TalentTal #6 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
TEX OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #56
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #1 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #123
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #63 #63
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #30 #49
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCatOKST OffTEX Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #116 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCatOKST OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #103 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #89 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Texas 6.5 (58.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Texas this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (49-21)

  
TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD