Florida at Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -11 (62.0)
Tennessee 38 - Florida: 33 (SEC)

Gators (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ TENN -15)
Projected Score: FLA: 23 - TENN: 34 (57)
TENN Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 445 miles

Volunteers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Utah	+2.5	52.0	W 29 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-6.0	53.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida vs South Florida	-23.5	58.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+11.0	62.0	L 33 - 38	O	Y
Sun 10/2	Florida vs Eastern Washington	-32.0	71.5	W 52 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida vs Missouri	-11.0	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida vs LSU	-2.0	51.5	L 35 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	+23.0	56.5	L 20 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Texas A&M	+1.5	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-8.0	58.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida at Vanderbilt	-14.0	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/25	Florida at Florida State	+10.0	58.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Florida vs Oregon State	+7.5	52.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Tennessee vs Ball State	-37.0	66.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Tennessee at Pittsburgh	-6.0	63.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Tennessee vs Akron	-47.5	67.0	W 63 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Tennessee vs Florida	-11.0	62.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Tennessee at LSU	-2.5	63.0	W 40 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Tennessee vs Alabama	+9.0	68.0	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Tennessee vs UT Martin	-38.5	71.5	W 65 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-10.5	62.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Tennessee at Georgia	+9.5	65.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Tennessee vs Missouri	-18.5	57.5	W 66 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Tennessee at South Carolina	-22.5	66.5	L 38 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/26	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-14.0	63.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Tennessee vs Clemson	+4.0	62.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.27	47%	21.6	46%	3.35	209	48%	254	4.11	.17	41%	24	44%	39%	3.73	70.6	1.6	1
TENN	.32	48%	39.8	51%	3.39	218	44%	257	4.27	.22	42%	28.8	42%	42%	4.16	60.6	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	21.6	13	46.6%	4.11	1.6	22	463	209	254	5.5	52%	47%	46%	48%	16%	.27
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	41.8%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	42%	42%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	24	30.4	41%	3.73	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	39%	16%	.17
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	48%	4.27	1	24	475	218	257	4.9	55%	45%	51%	44%	13%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	30:30	22.4	41%	54%	8	70.6	1.6	1	6.2	2.8	0	28.4
Tennessee	13	24:30	24.3	45%	48%	6.8	60.6	1	1.2	7.9	2.6	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	52%	46%	38.1	208.8	5.5	26	.25	3.35	69%	9%	1.07
TENN Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.22	75%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.11	69%	11%	1.01
TENN Offense	13	55%	51%	44.4	217.8	4.9	30	.26	3.39	70%	10%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	47%	48%	20.4	32	254.2	7.9	12.5	27	18	.37	1.6	30%	30%	.31	7%	2.2
TENN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.27	1.7	34%	37%	.51	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.21	1.6	32%	29%	.3	6%	1.9
TENN Offense	13	45%	44%	18.7	28.8	257.1	8.9	13.8	33	3	.39	1.7	29%	32%	.45	3%	2.2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Tennessee: 15.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 10.4 Tennessee: 25.2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.1 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.2 #5
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.3 #1
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 34
Florida 23

Projected Total Points: 57

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Florida	11	Tennessee	31	Tennessee -3.5	Tennessee	57.5	Under
2024	10/12	Tennessee	23	Florida	17	Tennessee -13.5	Florida	54.5	Under
2023	09/16	Florida	29	Tennessee	16	Tennessee -5	Florida	57.0	Under
2022	09/24	Tennessee	38	Florida	33	Tennessee -11	Florida	62.0	Over
2021	09/25	Florida	38	Tennessee	14	Florida -19	Florida	65.0	Under
2020	12/05	Tennessee	19	Florida	31	Florida -18.5	Tennessee	63.0	Under
2019	09/21	Florida	34	Tennessee	3	Florida -12.5	Florida	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	Tennessee	21	Florida	47	Florida -3.5	Florida	46.0	Over
2017	09/16	Florida	26	Tennessee	20	Florida -6.5	Tennessee	50.5	Under
2016	09/24	Tennessee	38	Florida	28	Tennessee -8	Tennessee	42.5	Over
2015	09/26	Florida	28	Tennessee	27	Florida -3	Tennessee	50.5	Over
2014	10/04	Tennessee	9	Florida	10	Florida -1.5	Tennessee	0
2013	09/21	Florida	31	Tennessee	17	Florida -15.5	Tennessee	0
2012	09/15	Tennessee	20	Florida	37
2011	09/17	Florida	33	Tennessee	23
2010	09/18	Tennessee	17	Florida	31
2009	09/19	Florida	23	Tennessee	13
2008	09/20	Tennessee	6	Florida	30
2007	09/15	Florida	59	Tennessee	20
2006	09/16	Tennessee	20	Florida	21
2005	09/17	Florida	16	Tennessee	7
2004	09/18	Tennessee	30	Florida	28
2003	09/20	Florida	10	Tennessee	24
2002	09/21	Tennessee	13	Florida	30
2001	12/01	Florida	32	Tennessee	34
2000	09/15	Tennessee	23	Florida	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	7	7	4 Overs
Florida	19	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	6 - 7	3 - 5	3 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 14	7 - 6	2 - 3	5 - 3

(#) FLA at (#) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#54
OffenseOff	#21	#31
DefenseDef	#72	#95
Spec TeamsST	#99	#78
TalentTal	#12	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#37	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#22	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee -11.0 (62.0)
Tennessee won vs Florida this year (38-33)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Florida last year (31-11)
Tennessee beat Florida in 2024 (23-17)
Florida beat Tennessee in 2023 (29-16)

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD