Florida State at Notre Dame - 2020 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo   Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 10th 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -21.0 (54.0)
Notre Dame 42 - Florida State: 26  (FBS Independents)

 
Seminoles (3 - 6) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: -12  (SP+ ND -19)
Projected Score: FSU: 22 - ND: 35 (57)
ND Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
FSU Travel: 785 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-13.549.0L 13 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Florida State at Miami+12.554.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-27.052.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/10 Florida State at Notre Dame+21.054.0L 26 - 42OY
Sat 10/17 Florida State vs North Carolina+13.565.0W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/24 Florida State at Louisville+5.063.0L 16 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Florida State vs Pittsburgh+2.052.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/14 Florida State at NC State+12.061.0L 22 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Florida State vs Duke-3.056.5W 56 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame vs Duke-22.551.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs South Florida-23.549.5W 52 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Florida State-21.054.0W 42 - 26ON
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame vs Louisville-16.062.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 10/24 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-10.043.5W 45 - 3OY
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech-19.5
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Clemson+5.050.0W 47 - 40OY
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame at Boston College-13.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Notre Dame at North Carolina-4.569.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-34.551.0W 45 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Notre Dame vs Clemson+11.058.0L 10 - 34UN
Fri 1/1 Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.1941%3340%2.6214141%2683.7.1344%2244%42%3.373.31.61.9
ND.2445%4244%2.617844%2524.08.0540%17.641%36%3.1251.20.82.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense133318.641.2%3.71.6204081412683.848%52%40%41%23%.19
ND Defense1317.61839.9%3.122.8 - - - - - 51%47%41%36%26%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense132230.244.4%3.31.9 - - - - - 46%51%44%42%18%.13
ND Offense134244.744.9%4.080.8214301782524.948%50%44%44%19%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1326:1520.435%58%9.273.31.61.96.53.2127.2
Notre Dame1328:2920.940%68%6.551.20.82.810.73.6131
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1348%40%36.7140.73.824.072.6260%15%1.1
ND Defense1351%41% - - - - .062.7765%19%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1346%44% - - - - .032.8764%10%0.75
ND Offense1348%44%36.3177.84.920.142.662%12%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1352%41%21.533.2267.68.112.52413.291.734%30%.348%2
ND Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 9.061.334%28%.227%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.251.533%36%.328%1.6
ND Offense1350%44%19.532252.27.913376.341.633%40%.467%1.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #84
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    Notre Dame: 10.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -2.9   Notre Dame: 15.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 10.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2020 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #16
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #19

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 35
Florida State 22

Projected Total Points: 57
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Notre Dame52Florida State3Notre Dame -25.5Notre Dame44.5Over
202109/05Florida State38Notre Dame41Notre Dame -7Florida State53.5Over
202010/10Notre Dame42Florida State26Notre Dame -21.0Florida State54.0Over
201811/10Notre Dame42Florida State13Notre Dame -16.5Notre Dame49.5Over
201410/18Florida State31Notre Dame27Florida State -13.5Notre Dame0
201112/29Notre Dame14Florida State18
200311/01Notre Dame0Florida State37
200210/26Florida State24Notre Dame34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame534 Overs
Florida State320 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 42 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) FSU at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

FSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Notre Dame -21.0 (54.0)
Notre Dame won vs Florida State this year (42-26)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Florida State in 2024 (52-3)

  
FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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ND's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ND's DC ()
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