South Florida at Notre Dame - 2020 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (2:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -23.5 (49.5)
Notre Dame 52 - South Florida: 0

 
Bulls (1 - 8) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -16  (SP+ ND -27)

Projected Score: USF: 28 - ND: 36 (64)
ND Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
USF Travel: 971 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 South Florida vs The Citadel-17.552.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Notre Dame+23.549.5L 0 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 South Florida at Cincinnati+22.044.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs East Carolina-5.558.5L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/17 South Florida at Temple+14.053.0L 37 - 39OY
Fri 10/23 South Florida vs Tulsa+11.551.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 South Florida at Memphis+17.567.0L 33 - 34UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida at Houston+15.058.5L 21 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs UCF+26.070.5L 46 - 58OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame vs Duke-22.551.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs South Florida-23.549.5W 52 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Florida State-21.054.0W 42 - 26ON
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame vs Louisville-16.062.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 10/24 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-10.043.5W 45 - 3OY
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech-19.5
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Clemson+5.050.0W 47 - 40OY
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame at Boston College-13.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Notre Dame at North Carolina-4.569.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-34.551.0W 45 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Notre Dame vs Clemson+11.058.0L 10 - 34UN
Fri 1/1 Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1139%40.546%3.0816131%1703.55.1546%23.449%40%3.2871.21.62.7
ND.2445%4244%2.617844%2524.08.0540%17.641%36%3.1251.20.82.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1240.53539.3%3.551.6173311611704.452%47%46%31%23%.11
ND Defense1317.61839.9%3.122.8 - - - - - 51%47%41%36%26%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1223.432.345.9%3.282.7 - - - - - 58%41%49%40%24%.15
ND Offense134244.744.9%4.080.8214301782524.948%50%44%44%19%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1227:5016.740%41%8.471.21.62.712.82.5029.2
Notre Dame1328:2920.940%68%6.551.20.82.810.73.6131
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1252%46%37.1161.34.415.163.0885%17%0.95
ND Defense1351%41% - - - - .062.7765%19%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1258%49% - - - - .113.0872%19%0.94
ND Offense1348%44%36.3177.84.920.142.662%12%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1247%31%14.827.3169.66.211.51810.071.734%29%.265%2.1
ND Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 9.061.334%28%.227%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1241%40% - - - - - - 12.211.629%33%.295%1.9
ND Offense1350%44%19.532252.27.913376.341.633%40%.467%1.7

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #107
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #115
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Notre Dame: 10.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -11.4   Notre Dame: 15.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 10.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2020 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #16
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #19

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 36
South Florida 28


Projected Total Points: 64
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/19Notre Dame52South Florida0Notre Dame -23.5Notre Dame49.5Over
201109/03Notre Dame20South Florida23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame111 Overs
South Florida100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) USF at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Notre Dame -23.5 (49.5)
Notre Dame won vs South Florida this year (52-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
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ND's OC ()
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ND's DC ()
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