Notre Dame at North Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo   Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Friday, November 27th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -4.5 (69.5)
Notre Dame 31 - North Carolina: 17  (ACC)

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND coming off BYE
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: -3  (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: ND: 33 - UNC: 19 (52)
ND Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ND Travel: 556 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame vs Duke-22.551.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs South Florida-23.549.5W 52 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Florida State-21.054.0W 42 - 26ON
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame vs Louisville-16.062.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 10/24 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-10.043.5W 45 - 3OY
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech-19.5
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Clemson+5.050.0W 47 - 40OY
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame at Boston College-13.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Notre Dame at North Carolina-4.569.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-34.551.0W 45 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Notre Dame vs Clemson+11.058.0L 10 - 34UN
Fri 1/1 Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
North Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs Syracuse-24.567.0W 31 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Boston College-14.552.5W 26 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-3.559.0W 56 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 North Carolina at Florida State-13.565.0L 28 - 31UN
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs NC State-15.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/31 North Carolina at Virginia-7.0
Sat 11/7 North Carolina at Duke-11.563.0W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-13.070.5W 59 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 North Carolina vs Notre Dame+4.569.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Western Carolina-48.569.5W 49 - 9UN
Sat 12/12 North Carolina at Miami+3.072.5W 62 - 26OY
Sat 1/2 North Carolina vs Texas A&M+7.067.5L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.2445%4244%2.617844%2524.08.0540%17.641%36%3.1251.20.82.8
UNC.2446%19.343%2.9818846%2864.1242%24.539%42%3.0753.90.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense134238.244.9%4.080.8214301782524.948%50%44%44%19%.24
UNC Defense1324.52641.6%3.072 - - - - - 49%49%39%42%21%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1317.61739.9%3.122.8 - - - - - 51%47%41%36%26%.05
UNC Offense1319.32145.6%40.9244741882864.649%49%43%46%20%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1328:2920.940%68%6.551.20.82.810.73.6131
North Carolina1330:1924.241%65%6.253.90.928.12.9127.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1348%44%36.3177.84.920.142.662%12%1.09
UNC Defense1349%39% - - - - .042.8574%14%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1351%41% - - - - .062.7765%19%0.98
UNC Offense1349%43%40.6188.24.613.132.9872%14%1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1350%44%19.532252.27.913376.341.633%40%.467%1.7
UNC Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 14.211.634%31%.247%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 9.061.334%28%.227%1.7
UNC Offense1349%46%20.433.2285.88.614397.391.733%38%.446%1.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2020 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #16
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #19

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame:    North Carolina: 11.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 15.7   North Carolina: 17.1




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 11.05 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #6
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 33
North Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 52
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24North Carolina32Notre Dame45North Carolina -2.5Notre Dame55.0Over
202110/30Notre Dame44North Carolina34Notre Dame -3.5Notre Dame63.0Over
202011/27North Carolina17Notre Dame31Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame69.5Under
201710/07North Carolina10Notre Dame33Notre Dame -13Notre Dame63.5Under
201410/11Notre Dame50North Carolina43Notre Dame -16North Carolina0
200810/11North Carolina29Notre Dame24
200611/04Notre Dame45North Carolina26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina112 Overs
Notre Dame642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 44 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) ND at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #9 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Notre Dame 4.5 (69.5)
Notre Dame won at North Carolina this year (31-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ND's OC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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