North Carolina at Boston College - 2020 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -14.5 (52.5)
North Carolina 26 - Boston College: 22 (ACC)

Tar Heels (8 - 4) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ UNC -18)
Projected Score: UNC: 33 - BC: 24 (57)
UNC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNC Travel: 612 miles

Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-24.5	67.0	W 31 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	North Carolina at Boston College	-14.5	52.5	W 26 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/10	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-3.5	59.0	W 56 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/17	North Carolina at Florida State	-13.5	65.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/24	North Carolina vs NC State	-15.0	62.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/31	North Carolina at Virginia	-7.0
Sat 11/7	North Carolina at Duke	-11.5	63.0	W 56 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/14	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-13.0	70.5	W 59 - 53	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27	North Carolina vs Notre Dame	+4.5	69.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/5	North Carolina vs Western Carolina	-48.5	69.5	W 49 - 9	U	N
Sat 12/12	North Carolina at Miami	+3.0	72.5	W 62 - 26	O	Y
Sat 1/2	North Carolina vs Texas A&M	+7.0	67.5	L 27 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Boston College's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Boston College at Duke	+3.5	49.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Texas State	-21.5	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/3	Boston College vs North Carolina	+14.5	52.5	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	42.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+13.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/24	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	57.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Clemson	+31.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College at Syracuse	-15.0	53.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+13.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Boston College vs Louisville	-1.0	57.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Boston College at Virginia	+6.5	53.0	L 32 - 43	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.41	51%	41.7	52%	3.27	236	49%	301	4.75	.22	42%	29.4	47%	37%	3.82	67.3	1.1	0.9
BC	.2	44%	27.8	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	28.4	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	12	41.7	42.6	50.6%	4.75	1.1	26	537	236	301	5.8	51%	49%	52%	49%	15%	.41
BC Defense	11	28.4	29.3	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	12	29.4	29.4	42.1%	3.82	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	37%	15%	.22
BC Offense	11	27.8	31.7	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	12	30:47	26.3	45%	58%	6.9	67.3	1.1	0.9	5.8	3	0	29.1
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	12	51%	52%	41	235.8	5.8	35	.33	3.27	77%	10%	1.19
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.14	80%	9%	0.99
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	12	49%	49%	20.3	29.8	301.4	10.1	14.8	31	8	.5	1.8	27%	39%	.61	5%	2.3
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	12	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.8	30%	32%	.38	6%	2.1
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #6
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Boston College: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 17.1 Boston College: -1.0

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2020 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #79
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 42.6
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

North Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 33
Boston College 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 31
Boston College 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 36
Boston College 30

Total Points: 66

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Boston College's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Boston College	41	North Carolina	21	North Carolina -2	Boston College	50.5	Over
2020	10/03	Boston College	22	North Carolina	26	North Carolina -14.5	Boston College	52.5	Under
2013	10/26	North Carolina	34	Boston College	10	North Carolina -10	North Carolina	0
2009	11/21	Boston College	13	North Carolina	31
2008	10/25	North Carolina	45	Boston College	24
2005	11/05	North Carolina	16	Boston College	14
2004	12/30	North Carolina	24	Boston College	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	2	2	1 Overs
North Carolina	5	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1

(#) UNC at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#79
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#23	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
North Carolina 14.5 (52.5)
North Carolina won at Boston College this year (26-22)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat North Carolina last year (41-21)

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD