Louisville at Boston College - 2020 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 28th 2020 (4:00 PM EST)
Boston College -1 (57.0)
Boston College 34 - Louisville: 27 (ACC)

Cardinals (4 - 7) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (20 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ LOU -9.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 28 - BC: 30 (58)
BC Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
LOU Travel: 819 miles

Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Louisville vs Western Kentucky	-13.0	55.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Louisville vs Miami	+2.5	65.5	L 34 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/26	Louisville at Pittsburgh	+3.0	53.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/9	Louisville at Georgia Tech	-4.0	62.0	L 27 - 46	O	N
Sat 10/17	Louisville at Notre Dame	+16.0	62.5	L 7 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Louisville vs Florida State	-5.0	63.0	W 48 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	+3.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Louisville at Virginia	+5.5	64.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/20	Louisville vs Syracuse	-20.5	55.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Louisville at Boston College	+1.0	57.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-1.5	62.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Boston College's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Boston College at Duke	+3.5	49.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Texas State	-21.5	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/3	Boston College vs North Carolina	+14.5	52.5	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	42.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+13.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/24	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	57.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Clemson	+31.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College at Syracuse	-15.0	53.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+13.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Boston College vs Louisville	-1.0	57.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Boston College at Virginia	+6.5	53.0	L 32 - 43	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.27	43%	29.5	43%	2.82	200	43%	244	3.75	.16	40%	26.6	41%	39%	3.58	52.5	2.2	1.1
BC	.2	44%	27.8	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	28.4	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	11	29.5	19.6	42.8%	3.75	2.2	21	444	200	244	5.2	54%	46%	43%	43%	19%	.27
BC Defense	11	28.4	29.3	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	11	26.6	29.2	40.1%	3.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	41%	39%	17%	.16
BC Offense	11	27.8	31.7	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	11	31:28	20.8	45%	54%	6.3	52.5	2.2	1.1	5.6	1.9	0	26.8
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	11	54%	43%	38.2	199.9	5.2	21	.25	2.82	72%	15%	1.31
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	11	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.87	71%	11%	0.97
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	11	46%	43%	18.4	28.6	244.2	8.5	13.3	20	12	.3	1.7	35%	37%	.54	4%	2.3
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	11	43%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.8	36%	32%	.38	7%	2.2
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #35
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #15
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Boston College: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 8.5 Boston College: -1.0

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2020 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #79
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Louisville's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 30
Louisville 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 31
Louisville 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 29
Louisville 27

Total Points: 56

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Boston College's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Louisville	38	Boston College	24	Louisville -25.5	Boston College	54.5	Over
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	4	8	9 Overs
Louisville	8	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 6	4 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 2	4 - 4

(#) LOU at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#79
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#48	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 13
Boston College -1.0 (57.0)
Boston College won vs Louisville this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD