Texas State at Boston College - 2020 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, September 26th 2020 (6:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -21.5 (57.0)
Boston College 24 - Texas State: 21

Bobcats (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 38 (25 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST 2nd straight Road Game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ BC -13)
Projected Score: TXST: 30 - BC: 30 (60)
BC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 1713 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas State vs SMU	+24.5	70.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Texas State vs UTSA	-6.0	56.5	L 48 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/19	Texas State at UL Monroe	-3.0	58.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Texas State at Boston College	+21.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas State at Troy	+7.0	59.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/17	Texas State at South Alabama	+4.5	57.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/24	Texas State at BYU	+30.0	62.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/31	Texas State vs Louisiana	+17.0
Sat 11/7	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Texas State at Georgia Southern	+11.0	50.0	L 38 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+4.5	69.5	W 47 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Texas State vs Coastal Carolina	+16.5	59.0	L 14 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Boston College's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Boston College at Duke	+3.5	49.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Texas State	-21.5	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/3	Boston College vs North Carolina	+14.5	52.5	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	42.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+13.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/24	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	57.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Clemson	+31.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College at Syracuse	-15.0	53.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/14	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+13.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Boston College vs Louisville	-1.0	57.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Boston College at Virginia	+6.5	53.0	L 32 - 43	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.14	40%	27.7	41%	2.86	131	40%	239	3.7	.28	49%	38.2	49%	49%	4.38	49.3	1.5	1.3
BC	.2	44%	27.8	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	28.4	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	27.7	24.7	40.3%	3.7	1.5	21	370	131	239	4.2	44%	56%	41%	40%	20%	.14
BC Defense	11	28.4	29.3	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	38.2	33.3	49.2%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	49%	49%	12%	.28
BC Offense	11	27.8	31.7	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	25:44	20.6	33%	38%	5.2	49.3	1.5	1.3	4.5	1	3	27.4
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	41%	31	131.4	4.2	15	.14	2.86	73%	13%	1.07
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	70%	8%	0.89
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	40%	20.6	33.7	238.7	7.1	11.6	26	14	.14	1.6	34%	29%	.19	7%	2
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	28%	37%	.48	5%	2
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #113
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #95
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Boston College: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -13.9 Boston College: -1.0

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2020 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #79
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Texas State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 30
Boston College 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 32
Boston College 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 33
Texas State 28

Total Points: 61

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Boston College's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	09/26	Boston College	24	Texas State	21	Boston College -21.5	Texas State	57.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	1	0	0 Overs
Texas State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) TXST at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#79
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#100	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Boston College -21.5 (57.0)
Boston College won vs Texas State this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD