Cincinnati at UCF - 2020 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo (#25)Cincinnati Bearcats at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 21st 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Cincinnati -4.5 (66.0)
Cincinnati 36 - UCF: 33  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (9 - 1) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 17 (39 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ CIN -6.5)
Projected Score: CIN: 35 - UCF: 29 (64)
CIN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 752 miles
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 33 (37 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-39.554.0W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Army-12.544.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati vs South Florida-22.044.5W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati at SMU+1.556.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Memphis-7.0
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati vs Houston-12.551.5W 38 - 10UY
Fri 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-27.556.5W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati at UCF-4.566.0W 36 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-14.044.5W 27 - 24ON
Fri 1/1 Cincinnati vs Georgia+7.050.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2546%37.542%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%16.838%31%1.9876.21.62
UCF.3349%42.252%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%33.246%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1037.53946.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25
UCF Defense1033.229.346.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1016.82334.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
UCF Offense1042.23748.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2020 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.9  #8
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #22
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #5

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    UCF: 9.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 19.9   UCF: 13.6




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.3 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 37.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 39
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Cincinnati's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 35
UCF 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 35
UCF 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 35
UCF 30

Total Points: 65
UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Cincinnati20UCF11Cincinnati -10UCF55.5Under
202410/12UCF13Cincinnati19UCF -2Cincinnati58.0Under
202311/04Cincinnati26UCF28UCF -3.5Cincinnati59.5Under
202210/29UCF25Cincinnati21UCF -1.5UCF55.5Under
202110/16Cincinnati56UCF21Cincinnati -21.5Cincinnati56.0Over
202011/21UCF33Cincinnati36Cincinnati -4.5UCF66.0Over
201910/04Cincinnati27UCF24UCF -3.5Cincinnati64.0Under
201811/17UCF38Cincinnati13UCF -7.5UCF60.0Under
201710/07Cincinnati23UCF51UCF -15UCF52.5Over
201611/12UCF24Cincinnati3UCF -10UCF55.0Under
201510/31Cincinnati52UCF7Cincinnati -20.5Cincinnati61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF563 Overs
Cincinnati658 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 48 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#) CIN at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #58 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Cincinnati 4.5 (66.0)
Cincinnati won at UCF this year (36-33)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD