UCF at South Florida - 2020 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Friday, November 27th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
UCF -26.0 (70.5)
UCF 58 - South Florida: 46  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF coming off BYE
Our Line: -10  (SP+ UCF -25)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - USF: 37 (56)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
UCF Travel: 91 miles
Bulls (1 - 8) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
South Florida's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 South Florida vs The Citadel-17.552.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Notre Dame+23.549.5L 0 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 South Florida at Cincinnati+22.044.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs East Carolina-5.558.5L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/17 South Florida at Temple+14.053.0L 37 - 39OY
Fri 10/23 South Florida vs Tulsa+11.551.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 South Florida at Memphis+17.567.0L 33 - 34UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida at Houston+15.058.5L 21 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs UCF+26.070.5L 46 - 58OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2945%24.345%2.7822443%3174.0337%23.640%31%3.2173.81.21.9
USF.1139%40.546%3.0816131%1703.55.1546%23.449%40%3.2871.21.62.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1324.312.845%41.2265402243175.249%49%45%43%16%.29
USF Defense1223.414.345.9%3.282.7 - - - - - 58%41%49%40%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1323.634.636.9%3.211.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%31%27%.03
USF Offense1240.55139.3%3.551.6173311611704.452%47%46%31%23%.11

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1326:2925.540%58%8.573.81.21.910.92.9328.7
South Florida1227:5016.740%41%8.471.21.62.712.82.5029.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1349%45%43223.85.234.232.7868%11%1.2
USF Defense1258%49% - - - - .113.0872%19%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1352%40% - - - - -.012.5967%16%0.88
USF Offense1252%46%37.1161.34.415.163.0885%17%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%43%20.835.2316.7915.2368.371.834%37%.365%1.8
USF Defense1241%40% - - - - - - 12.211.629%33%.295%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1346%31% - - - - - - 13.081.740%28%.1411%1.8
USF Offense1247%31%14.827.3169.66.211.51810.071.734%29%.265%2.1

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    South Florida: -3.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 13.6   South Florida: -11.4




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -3.2 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #107
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #115
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 37
UCF 19

Projected Total Points: 56
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida674 Overs
UCF834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #107
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #70
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
UCF 26.0 (70.5)
UCF won at South Florida this year (58-46)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD