South Florida at Cincinnati - 2020 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -22 (44.5)
Cincinnati 28 - South Florida: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (1 - 8) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 40 (20 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 3rd straight Home Game
USF coming off BYE
Our Line: -18  (SP+ CIN -31)
Projected Score: USF: 15 - CIN: 39 (54)
CIN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
USF Travel: 779 miles
Bearcats (9 - 1) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 17 (39 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 South Florida vs The Citadel-17.552.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Notre Dame+23.549.5L 0 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 South Florida at Cincinnati+22.044.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs East Carolina-5.558.5L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/17 South Florida at Temple+14.053.0L 37 - 39OY
Fri 10/23 South Florida vs Tulsa+11.551.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 South Florida at Memphis+17.567.0L 33 - 34UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida at Houston+15.058.5L 21 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs UCF+26.070.5L 46 - 58OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-39.554.0W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Army-12.544.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati vs South Florida-22.044.5W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati at SMU+1.556.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Memphis-7.0
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati vs Houston-12.551.5W 38 - 10UY
Fri 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-27.556.5W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati at UCF-4.566.0W 36 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-14.044.5W 27 - 24ON
Fri 1/1 Cincinnati vs Georgia+7.050.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.0840%23.140%2.8314941%2172.29.2247%39.946%48%4.2948.91.91.4
CIN.2546%37.542%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%16.838%31%1.9876.21.62
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense923.119.640.3%2.291.921365149217448%51%40%41%20%.08
CIN Defense1016.81434.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense939.941.846.6%4.291.4 - - - - - 56%44%46%48%13%.22
CIN Offense1037.539.446.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida928:272131%29%5.348.91.91.44.80.8328.5
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense948%40%37.4148.8411.072.8372%14%0.93
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense956%46% - - - - .132.9479%8%0.95
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense951%41%20.834.7216.66.310.4126.091.434%25%.096%2
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense944%48% - - - - - - 10.341.629%34%.464%2.1
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #107
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #115
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Cincinnati: 12.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -11.4   Cincinnati: 19.9




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 12.45 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2020 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.9  #8
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #22
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #5

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.8

South Florida's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 39
South Florida 15

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 37
South Florida 13

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 40
South Florida 18

Total Points: 58
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 37.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.4
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14

Cincinnati's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Cincinnati28South Florida24Cincinnati -27South Florida58.5Under
202111/12South Florida28Cincinnati45Cincinnati -24.5South Florida58.5Over
202010/03Cincinnati28South Florida7Cincinnati -22South Florida44.5Under
201911/16South Florida17Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13South Florida46.5Under
201811/10Cincinnati35South Florida23Cincinnati -14South Florida53.0Over
201710/14South Florida33Cincinnati3South Florida -24South Florida63.0Under
201610/01Cincinnati20South Florida45South Florida -6South Florida64.5Over
201511/20South Florida65Cincinnati27Cincinnati -2.5South Florida66.0Over
201410/24Cincinnati34South Florida17Cincinnati -10Cincinnati0
201310/05South Florida26Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13.5South Florida0
201211/23Cincinnati27South Florida10
201110/22South Florida34Cincinnati37
201010/22Cincinnati30South Florida38
200910/15South Florida17Cincinnati34
200810/30Cincinnati24South Florida10
200711/03South Florida33Cincinnati38
200610/22Cincinnati23South Florida6
200511/19South Florida31Cincinnati16
200411/20Cincinnati45South Florida23
200310/31South Florida24Cincinnati17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1314 Overs
South Florida794 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams7 - 134 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#) USF at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Cincinnati -22.0 (44.5)
Cincinnati won vs South Florida this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat South Florida in 2022 (28-24)

  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD