South Florida at Cincinnati - 2020 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -22 (44.5)
Cincinnati 28 - South Florida: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (1 - 8) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 3rd straight Home Game
USF coming off BYE
Our Line: -18  (SP+ CIN -31)
Projected Score: USF: 30 - CIN: 30 (60)
CIN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
USF Travel: 779 miles
Bearcats (9 - 1) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 South Florida vs The Citadel-17.552.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Notre Dame+23.549.5L 0 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 South Florida at Cincinnati+22.044.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs East Carolina-5.558.5L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/17 South Florida at Temple+14.053.0L 37 - 39OY
Fri 10/23 South Florida vs Tulsa+11.551.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 South Florida at Memphis+17.567.0L 33 - 34UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida at Houston+15.058.5L 21 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs UCF+26.070.5L 46 - 58OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-39.554.0W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Army-12.544.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati vs South Florida-22.044.5W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati at SMU+1.556.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Memphis-7.0
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati vs Houston-12.551.5W 38 - 10UY
Fri 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-27.556.5W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati at UCF-4.566.0W 36 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-14.044.5W 27 - 24ON
Fri 1/1 Cincinnati vs Georgia+7.050.0L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1139%40.546%3.0816131%1703.55.1546%23.449%40%3.2871.21.62.7
CIN.1843%30.345%3.0521038%1824.19.0940%25.640%38%2.5769.81.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1240.53539.3%3.551.6173311611704.452%47%46%31%23%.11
CIN Defense1425.619.639.8%2.572.4 - - - - - 49%49%40%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1223.432.345.9%3.282.7 - - - - - 58%41%49%40%24%.15
CIN Offense1430.334.443%4.191.4213922101824.857%41%45%38%17%.18

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1227:5016.740%41%8.471.21.62.712.82.5029.2
Cincinnati1431:4520.843%65%8.769.81.42.48.33.1331.1
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1252%46%37.1161.34.415.163.0885%17%0.95
CIN Defense1449%40% - - - - .062.6974%14%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1258%49% - - - - .113.0872%19%0.94
CIN Offense1457%45%44209.84.830.163.0577%11%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1247%31%14.827.3169.66.211.51810.071.734%29%.265%2.1
CIN Defense1449%38% - - - - - - 16.141.637%29%.178%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1241%40% - - - - - - 12.211.629%33%.295%1.9
CIN Offense1441%38%14.926.9182.36.812.31911.211.633%31%.36%1.9

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #107
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #115
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Cincinnati: 12.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -11.4   Cincinnati: 19.9




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 12.45 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2020 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.9  #8
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #22
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #5

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 30
Cincinnati 30

Projected Total Points: 60
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Cincinnati28South Florida24Cincinnati -27South Florida58.5Under
202111/12South Florida28Cincinnati45Cincinnati -24.5South Florida58.5Over
202010/03Cincinnati28South Florida7Cincinnati -22South Florida44.5Under
201911/16South Florida17Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13South Florida46.5Under
201811/10Cincinnati35South Florida23Cincinnati -14South Florida53.0Over
201710/14South Florida33Cincinnati3South Florida -24South Florida63.0Under
201610/01Cincinnati20South Florida45South Florida -6South Florida64.5Over
201511/20South Florida65Cincinnati27Cincinnati -2.5South Florida66.0Over
201410/24Cincinnati34South Florida17Cincinnati -10Cincinnati0
201310/05South Florida26Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13.5South Florida0
201211/23Cincinnati27South Florida10
201110/22South Florida34Cincinnati37
201010/22Cincinnati30South Florida38
200910/15South Florida17Cincinnati34
200810/30Cincinnati24South Florida10
200711/03South Florida33Cincinnati38
200610/22Cincinnati23South Florida6
200511/19South Florida31Cincinnati16
200411/20Cincinnati45South Florida23
200310/31South Florida24Cincinnati17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1314 Overs
South Florida794 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams7 - 134 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#) USF at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Cincinnati -22.0 (44.5)
Cincinnati won vs South Florida this year (28-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD