Texas State at UL Monroe - 2020 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, September 19th 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas State -3 (58.0)
Texas State 38 - UL Monroe: 17 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 38 (25 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ TXST -8)
Projected Score: TXST: 33 - ULM: 30 (63)
TXST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TXST Travel: 391 miles

Warhawks (0 - 10) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 42 (17 - 41 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas State vs SMU	+24.5	70.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Texas State vs UTSA	-6.0	56.5	L 48 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/19	Texas State at UL Monroe	-3.0	58.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Texas State at Boston College	+21.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas State at Troy	+7.0	59.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/17	Texas State at South Alabama	+4.5	57.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/24	Texas State at BYU	+30.0	62.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/31	Texas State vs Louisiana	+17.0
Sat 11/7	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Texas State at Georgia Southern	+11.0	50.0	L 38 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+4.5	69.5	W 47 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Texas State vs Coastal Carolina	+16.5	59.0	L 14 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	UL Monroe at Army	+25.0	53.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/19	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+3.0	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/26	UL Monroe vs UTEP	-9.5	49.0	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/3	UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern	+19.5	51.0	L 30 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/10	UL Monroe at Liberty	+17.0	63.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+14.5	56.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/31	UL Monroe vs App State	+31.5
Sat 11/7	UL Monroe at Georgia State	+18.5	60.0	L 34 - 52	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+29.5	58.0	L 20 - 70	O	N
Sat 12/5	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+20.5	71.5	L 15 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/17	UL Monroe at Troy	+13.5

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.14	40%	27.7	41%	2.86	131	40%	239	3.7	.28	49%	38.2	49%	49%	4.38	49.3	1.5	1.3
ULM	.03	35%	16.3	36%	2.33	76	35%	229	3.04	.34	48%	42	50%	45%	4.23	43.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	27.7	24.7	40.3%	3.7	1.5	21	370	131	239	4.2	44%	56%	41%	40%	20%	.14
ULM Defense	10	42	41	48%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	50%	45%	13%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	38.2	33.3	49.2%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	49%	49%	12%	.28
ULM Offense	10	16.3	17.2	35.3%	3.04	1.8	17	305	76	229	3.1	36%	64%	36%	35%	20%	.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	25:44	20.6	33%	38%	5.2	49.3	1.5	1.3	4.5	1	3	27.4
UL Monroe	10	27:14	16.6	26%	53%	4.8	43.7	1.8	1	5.3	1.7	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	41%	31	131.4	4.2	15	.14	2.86	73%	13%	1.07
ULM Defense	10	65%	50%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.31	72%	9%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	70%	8%	0.89
ULM Offense	10	36%	36%	24.9	76.1	3.1	8	-.1	2.33	50%	11%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	40%	20.6	33.7	238.7	7.1	11.6	26	14	.14	1.6	34%	29%	.19	7%	2
ULM Defense	10	35%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.49	2	30%	39%	.62	3%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	28%	37%	.48	5%	2
ULM Offense	10	64%	35%	22.3	38.3	229	6	10.3	14	12	.09	1.5	38%	25%	.08	8%	1.9

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #113
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #95
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: UL Monroe: -8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -13.9 UL Monroe: -22.1

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -8.55 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2020 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #123
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #113
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Texas State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 33
UL Monroe 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
UL Monroe 34
Texas State 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Texas State 34
UL Monroe 26

Total Points: 60

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

UL Monroe's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Texas State	31	UL Monroe	14	Texas State -20.5	UL Monroe	59.5	Under
2024	11/09	UL Monroe	17	Texas State	38	Texas State -9.5	Texas State	50.0	Over
2023	10/14	Texas State	21	UL Monroe	20	Texas State -18.5	UL Monroe	64.5	Under
2022	11/05	UL Monroe	31	Texas State	30	Louisiana Monroe -2.5	Texas State	52.5	Over
2021	11/06	Texas State	27	UL Monroe	19	Texas State -3	Texas State	57.5	Under
2020	09/19	UL Monroe	17	Texas State	38	Texas State -3	Texas State	58.0	Under
2019	10/10	Texas State	14	UL Monroe	24	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	UL Monroe	60.5	Under
2018	10/20	UL Monroe	20	Texas State	14	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Texas State	60.0	Under
2017	10/07	Texas State	27	UL Monroe	45	Louisiana Monroe -6	UL Monroe	55.0	Over
2016	10/15	UL Monroe	40	Texas State	34	Louisiana Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	66.5	Over
2015	11/19	Texas State	16	UL Monroe	3	Texas State -5	Texas State	58.5	Under
2014	10/25	UL Monroe	18	Texas State	22	Louisiana Monroe -2	Texas State	0
2013	10/12	Texas State	14	UL Monroe	21	Texas State -6	UL Monroe	0
2000	09/29	UL Monroe	7	Texas State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	6	6	4 Overs
Texas State	8	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 10	3 - 6	0 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 7	10 - 3	4 - 0	6 - 3

(#) TXST at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#100	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Texas State 3.0 (58.0)
Texas State won at UL Monroe this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UL Monroe last year (38-17)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (21-20)
UL Monroe beat Texas State in 2022 (31-30)

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD