Texas State at Troy - 2020 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo   Texas State Bobcats at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, October 10th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
Troy -7.0 (59.0)
Troy 37 - Texas State: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXST coming off BYE
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ TROY -14)
Projected Score: TXST: 29 - TROY: 28 (57)
TROY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 722 miles
Trojans (5 - 6) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State vs SMU+24.570.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs UTSA-6.056.5L 48 - 51ON
Sat 9/19 Texas State at UL Monroe-3.058.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 9/26 Texas State at Boston College+21.557.0L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Texas State at Troy+7.059.0L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/17 Texas State at South Alabama+4.557.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Texas State at BYU+30.062.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 Texas State vs Louisiana+17.0
Sat 11/7 Texas State vs App State+21.558.0L 17 - 38UY
Sat 11/14 Texas State at Georgia Southern+11.050.0L 38 - 40OY
Sat 11/21 Texas State vs Arkansas State+4.569.5W 47 - 45OY
Sat 11/28 Texas State vs Coastal Carolina+16.559.0L 14 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Troy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Troy at Middle Tennessee-6.570.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 Troy at BYU+14.558.5L 7 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Troy vs Texas State-7.059.0W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Eastern Kentucky-30.060.0W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/24 Troy vs Georgia State-1.568.5L 34 - 36ON
Sat 10/31 Troy at Arkansas State+3.5
Sat 11/7 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.551.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Troy vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/28 Troy at App State+14.050.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 12/5 Troy at South Alabama-4.553.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+13.551.5L 38 - 42OY
Thu 12/17 Troy vs UL Monroe-13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.0535%36.533%2.067735%2412.57.2146%2945%45%4.0551.421.8
TROY.2648%23.547%3.0514348%3133.86.2346%23.943%46%4.0449.81.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1236.534.235.4%2.57217318772412.837%62%33%35%25%.05
TROY Defense1223.922.845.5%4.041.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense122932.845.7%4.051.8 - - - - - 62%37%45%45%15%.21
TROY Offense1223.525.348.2%3.861.5254561433134.339%59%47%48%19%.26

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1226:4416.934%31%5.551.421.85.41.3027.4
Troy1228:4724.647%57%5.349.81.51.77.33.8328.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1237%33%27.376.82.88-.052.0669%16%1.02
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - .162.9670%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1262%45% - - - - .133.2172%8%0.87
TROY Offense1239%47%33.5143.14.319.183.0570%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1262%35%23.236.8241.16.610.41720.121.739%29%.279%2
TROY Defense1250%46% - - - - - - 11.331.631%34%.365%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1237%45% - - - - - - 7.371.727%33%.477%2.2
TROY Offense1259%48%26.340.9313.27.711.93011.341.526%40%.449%1.8

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #113
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #95
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #121

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Troy: 2.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -13.9   Troy: -0.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2.45 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1  #71
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #71
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #67

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 29
Troy 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Texas State41Troy48Texas State -7.5Troy53.5Over
202410/03Troy17Texas State38Texas State -14.5Texas State56.0Under
202310/28Texas State13Troy31Troy -6.5Troy53.0Under
202210/15Troy17Texas State14Troy -16.5Texas State47.0Under
202110/16Texas State28Troy31Troy -7.5Texas State49.0Over
202010/10Troy37Texas State17Troy -7.0Troy59.0Under
201911/16Texas State27Troy63Troy -7Troy65.0Over
201811/17Troy12Texas State7Troy -23Texas State47.5Under
201711/24Troy62Texas State9Troy -23.5Troy53.5Over
201611/26Texas State7Troy40Troy -26.5Troy57.5Under
201311/29Troy42Texas State28Troy -4.5Troy0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy1074 Overs
Texas State146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 64 - 73 - 31 - 4
Road Teams6 - 57 - 44 - 13 - 3

(#) TXST at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #100 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Troy -7.0 (59.0)
Troy won vs Texas State this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Texas State last year (48-41)
Texas State beat Troy in 2024 (38-17)
Troy beat Texas State in 2023 (31-13)

  
TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD