Texas State at Georgia Southern - 2020 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, November 14th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -11 (50.0)
Georgia Southern 40 - Texas State: 38 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 38 (25 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO 3rd straight Home Game
GASO is playing their 5th straight game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ GASO -14)
Projected Score: TXST: 19 - GASO: 33 (52)
GASO Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 969 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas State vs SMU	+24.5	70.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Texas State vs UTSA	-6.0	56.5	L 48 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/19	Texas State at UL Monroe	-3.0	58.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Texas State at Boston College	+21.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas State at Troy	+7.0	59.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/17	Texas State at South Alabama	+4.5	57.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/24	Texas State at BYU	+30.0	62.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/31	Texas State vs Louisiana	+17.0
Sat 11/7	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Texas State at Georgia Southern	+11.0	50.0	L 38 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+4.5	69.5	W 47 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Texas State vs Coastal Carolina	+16.5	59.0	L 14 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Georgia Southern vs Campbell	-31.0	58.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Georgia Southern at Louisiana	+12.0	49.0	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Georgia Southern at UL Monroe	-19.5	51.0	W 35 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Georgia Southern vs Massachusetts	-31.0	62.0	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	+1.0	48.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Thu 10/29	Georgia Southern vs South Alabama	-7.0
Sat 11/7	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+2.5	51.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Georgia Southern vs Texas State	-11.0	50.0	W 40 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/21	Georgia Southern at Army	+3.5	38.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	+2.5	51.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/5	Georgia Southern vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	40.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/12	Georgia Southern vs App State	+9.0	45.0	L 26 - 34	O	Y
Wed 12/23	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	48.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.14	40%	27.7	41%	2.86	131	40%	239	3.7	.28	49%	38.2	49%	49%	4.38	49.3	1.5	1.3
GASO	.19	45%	27.2	46%	3.26	267	39%	104	3.75	.1	38%	20.8	40%	37%	2.95	33.8	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	27.7	24.7	40.3%	3.7	1.5	21	370	131	239	4.2	44%	56%	41%	40%	20%	.14
GASO Defense	13	20.8	18.7	38.1%	2.95	2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	38.2	33.3	49.2%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	49%	49%	12%	.28
GASO Offense	13	27.2	28.3	44.6%	3.75	1.3	17	371	267	104	5.4	77%	23%	46%	39%	13%	.19

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	25:44	20.6	33%	38%	5.2	49.3	1.5	1.3	4.5	1	3	27.4
Georgia Southern	13	31:54	17.2	40%	47%	4.1	33.8	1.3	2	6.1	1.8	4	28.4

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	41%	31	131.4	4.2	15	.14	2.86	73%	13%	1.07
GASO Defense	13	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.43	61%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	70%	8%	0.89
GASO Offense	13	77%	46%	49.2	267.1	5.4	29	.21	3.26	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	40%	20.6	33.7	238.7	7.1	11.6	26	14	.14	1.6	34%	29%	.19	7%	2
GASO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.14	1.6	36%	28%	.22	8%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	28%	37%	.48	5%	2
GASO Offense	13	23%	39%	7.4	13.4	104.2	7.8	14.1	9	11	.1	1.5	25%	25%	.13	4%	1.6

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #113
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #95
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.0 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Georgia Southern: 2.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -13.9 Georgia Southern: -0.1

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: 2.45 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2020 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #71
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #84
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #46

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Texas State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 33
Texas State 19

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 34
Texas State 16

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 32
Texas State 23

Total Points: 55

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Georgia Southern's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Texas State	45	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -2	Texas State	69.0	Push
2021	11/13	Texas State	30	Georgia Southern	38	Texas State -2.5	Georgia Southern	52.0	Over
2020	11/14	Georgia Southern	40	Texas State	38	Georgia Southern -11	Texas State	50.0	Over
2018	10/11	Texas State	13	Georgia Southern	15	Georgia Southern -17	Texas State	52.0	Under
2015	10/29	Georgia Southern	37	Texas State	13	Georgia Southern -18.5	Georgia Southern	65.0	Under
2014	11/08	Texas State	25	Georgia Southern	28	Georgia Southern -8	Texas State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	5	2	2 Overs
Texas State	1	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	1 - 2	3 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	0 - 3	2 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#100	#109
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76°

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia Southern -11.0 (50.0)
Georgia Southern won vs Texas State this year (40-38)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (45-24)

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD