App State at Georgia State - 2019 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Georgia State Panthers  Georgia State logo
Saturday, November 16th 2019 (7:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -15 (61.0)
App State 56 - Georgia State: 27  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
APP is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ APP -22)

Projected Score: APP: 29 - GAST: 27 (56)
APP Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
APP Travel: 230 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-33.051.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 App State vs Charlotte-23.054.0W 56 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 App State at North Carolina+1.558.0W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 App State vs Coastal Carolina-14.558.0W 56 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 App State at Louisiana+2.569.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 App State vs UL Monroe-16.565.5W 52 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 App State at South Alabama-27.551.0W 30 - 3UN
Thu 10/31 App State vs Georgia Southern-15.044.5L 21 - 24ON
Sat 11/9 App State at South Carolina+6.551.0W 20 - 15UY
Sat 11/16 App State at Georgia State-15.061.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 App State vs Texas State-28.051.0W 35 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 App State at Troy-11.064.0W 48 - 13UY
Sat 12/7 App State vs Louisiana-6.057.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 12/21 App State vs UAB-17.548.0W 31 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Tennessee+24.558.0W 38 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Furman-6.061.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 9/14 Georgia State at Western Michigan+9.069.5L 10 - 57UN
Sat 9/21 Georgia State at Texas State+3.062.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia State vs Arkansas State+6.569.0W 52 - 38OY
Sat 10/12 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+3.564.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/19 Georgia State vs Army+4.054.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Georgia State vs Troy+1.067.0W 52 - 33OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at UL Monroe-2.577.5L 31 - 45UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs App State+15.061.0L 27 - 56ON
Sat 11/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama-9.557.0W 28 - 15UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+6.556.0L 10 - 38UN
Tue 12/31 Georgia State vs Wyoming+7.549.5L 17 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2543%24.240%2.9224046%1914.1337%29.836%34%2.5557.51.31.8
GAST.1844%19.845%2.8617241%2073.7.3948%37.843%54%4.0444.21.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1324.221.643.5%4.131.3204302401915.859%40%40%46%14%.25
GAST Defense1237.830.348.2%4.040.9 - - - - - 58%40%43%54%10%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1329.837.436.9%2.551.8 - - - - - 51%46%36%34%18%
GAST Offense1219.821.543.8%3.71.5203791722074.554%44%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1330:3520.342%59%6.257.51.31.86.52.2531.1
Georgia State1233:0920.341%59%4.244.21.50.93.61.1226.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1359%40%41.5239.85.831.22.9275%8%1.25
GAST Defense1258%43% - - - - .253.2281%7%1.24
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1351%36% - - - - .032.856%11%0.97
GAST Offense1254%45%38.5172.24.520.092.8672%12%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1340%46%15.124.5190.67.812.62712.351.732%34%.486%2.2
GAST Defense1240%54% - - - - - - 6.641.727%38%.514%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1346%34% - - - - - - 17-.031.435%32%.177%1.6
GAST Offense1244%41%17.329.3206.87.112156.291.734%37%.414%1.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2019 Expected Record: -
App State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #27
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #31
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Georgia State: -2.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.3   Georgia State: -10.5




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -2.75 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #60
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2019 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 29
Georgia State 27


Projected Total Points: 56
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Georgia State20App State41App State -3App State55.5Over
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42Georgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17Appalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45Appalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13Appalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56Appalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17Appalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31Appalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3Appalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37Appalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0Appalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State034 Overs
App State1296 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams6 - 69 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#) APP at (#) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #107
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #109 #103
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCatGAST OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCatGAST OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
App State 15.0 (61.0)
App State won at Georgia State this year (56-27)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (41-20)
App State beat Georgia State in 2024 (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)

  
APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

GAST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD