South Alabama at Georgia State - 2019 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo   South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State Panthers  Georgia State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2019 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -9.5 (57.0)
Georgia State 28 - South Alabama: 15  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ GAST -10)

Projected Score: USA: 30 - GAST: 26 (56)
GAST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
USA Travel: 300 miles, 1 hrs behind
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama at Nebraska+35.065.0L 21 - 35UY
Sat 9/7 South Alabama vs Jackson State-25.047.0W 37 - 14ON
Sat 9/14 South Alabama vs Memphis+20.555.0L 6 - 42UN
Sat 9/21 South Alabama at UAB+12.547.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at UL Monroe+14.559.5L 17 - 30UY
Thu 10/3 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern+10.045.0L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 South Alabama at Troy+17.555.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs App State+27.551.0L 3 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 South Alabama at Texas State+7.041.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/16 South Alabama vs Louisiana+27.552.5L 27 - 37OY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Georgia State+9.557.0L 15 - 28UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Arkansas State+10.553.0W 34 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Georgia State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Tennessee+24.558.0W 38 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Furman-6.061.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 9/14 Georgia State at Western Michigan+9.069.5L 10 - 57UN
Sat 9/21 Georgia State at Texas State+3.062.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia State vs Arkansas State+6.569.0W 52 - 38OY
Sat 10/12 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+3.564.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/19 Georgia State vs Army+4.054.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/26 Georgia State vs Troy+1.067.0W 52 - 33OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at UL Monroe-2.577.5L 31 - 45UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs App State+15.061.0L 27 - 56ON
Sat 11/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama-9.557.0W 28 - 15UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+6.556.0L 10 - 38UN
Tue 12/31 Georgia State vs Wyoming+7.549.5L 17 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA.1138%26.537%2.5515337%2033.28.2948%30.445%49%4.6684.41.81.5
GAST.1844%19.845%2.8617241%2073.7.3948%37.843%54%4.0444.21.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1226.525.237.8%3.281.8183561532033.757%42%37%37%17%.11
GAST Defense1237.830.348.2%4.040.9 - - - - - 58%40%43%54%10%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1230.43247.8%4.661.5 - - - - - 55%43%45%49%15%.29
GAST Offense1219.821.543.8%3.71.5203791722074.554%44%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1229:4717.835%62%984.41.81.54.61.5229.3
Georgia State1233:0920.341%59%4.244.21.50.93.61.1226.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1257%37%40.8152.93.717-.032.5569%11%0.84
GAST Defense1258%43% - - - - .253.2281%7%1.24
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1255%45% - - - - .22.6862%9%1.21
GAST Offense1254%45%38.5172.24.520.092.8672%12%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1242%37%16.726.7203.37.612.21910.31.935%29%.266%1.7
GAST Defense1240%54% - - - - - - 6.641.727%38%.514%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1243%49% - - - - - - 12.421.728%35%.46%2.1
GAST Offense1244%41%17.329.3206.87.112156.291.734%37%.414%1.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3  #122
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #124
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #101

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    Georgia State: -2.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -20.3   Georgia State: -10.5




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -2.75 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #60
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 30
Georgia State 26


Projected Total Points: 56
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/23Georgia State31South Alabama38South Alabama -5.5South Alabama54.5Over
202011/21South Alabama14Georgia State31Georgia State -3.5Georgia State58.5Under
201911/23Georgia State28South Alabama15Georgia State -9.5Georgia State57.0Under
201710/26Georgia State21South Alabama13Georgia State -1Georgia State50.5Under
201610/29South Alabama13Georgia State10South Alabama -3.5Georgia State47.5Under
201511/21Georgia State24South Alabama10Georgia State -1Georgia State60.5Under
201410/18South Alabama30Georgia State27South Alabama -17Georgia State0
201311/30Georgia State17South Alabama38South Alabama -9South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State461 Overs
South Alabama425 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 53 - 20 - 3
Road Teams3 - 55 - 33 - 02 - 3

(#) USA at (#) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #107
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #101 #103
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCatGAST OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #101
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCatGAST OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Georgia State -9.5 (57.0)
Georgia State won vs South Alabama this year (28-15)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Georgia State last year (38-31)

  
USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

GAST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD