South Alabama at Georgia State - 2019 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, November 23rd 2019 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -9.5 (57.0)
Georgia State 28 - South Alabama: 15 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 31 (16 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ GAST -10)
Projected Score: USA: 27 - GAST: 34 (61)
GAST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
USA Travel: 300 miles, 1 hrs behind

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 36 (39 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Alabama at Nebraska	+35.0	65.0	L 21 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/7	South Alabama vs Jackson State	-25.0	47.0	W 37 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	South Alabama vs Memphis	+20.5	55.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/21	South Alabama at UAB	+12.5	47.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/28	South Alabama at UL Monroe	+14.5	59.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Thu 10/3	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	45.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	South Alabama at Troy	+17.5	55.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/26	South Alabama vs App State	+27.5	51.0	L 3 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	South Alabama at Texas State	+7.0	41.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/16	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+27.5	52.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/23	South Alabama at Georgia State	+9.5	57.0	L 15 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/29	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+10.5	53.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Georgia State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia State at Tennessee	+24.5	58.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia State vs Furman	-6.0	61.5	W 48 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia State at Western Michigan	+9.0	69.5	L 10 - 57	U	N
Sat 9/21	Georgia State at Texas State	+3.0	62.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	+6.5	69.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+3.5	64.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia State vs Army	+4.0	54.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Georgia State vs Troy	+1.0	67.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-2.5	77.5	L 31 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia State vs App State	+15.0	61.0	L 27 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia State vs South Alabama	-9.5	57.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+6.5	56.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Tue 12/31	Georgia State vs Wyoming	+7.5	49.5	L 17 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.05	38%	18.4	39%	2.88	172	33%	159	2.89	.2	47%	30.7	43%	48%	3.6	45.1	1.8	1.6
GAST	.24	49%	31.2	50%	3.33	242	46%	198	3.86	.31	46%	36.2	46%	46%	4.79	42.8	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	18.4	16.2	37.5%	2.89	1.8	18	330	172	159	4	61%	38%	39%	33%	22%	.05
GAST Defense	13	36.2	34.2	46.4%	4.79	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	46%	18%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	30.7	32.5	46.6%	3.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	41%	43%	48%	18%	.2
GAST Offense	13	31.2	39.2	48.6%	3.86	1.2	23	440	242	198	5.3	59%	40%	50%	46%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	28:33	18	30%	46%	5.8	45.1	1.8	1.6	7.3	2.1	0	26.1
Georgia State	13	29:36	23.5	46%	48%	4.3	42.8	1.2	1.4	5.3	2.2	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	61%	39%	42.4	171.5	4	15	.07	2.88	67%	16%	0.98
GAST Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.3	73%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.77	80%	12%	0.93
GAST Offense	13	59%	50%	45.8	241.6	5.3	30	.23	3.33	73%	11%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	38%	33%	12.4	23.5	158.8	6.8	12.8	14	11	.05	1.7	34%	25%	.06	6%	1.8
GAST Defense	13	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.4	1.7	29%	37%	.47	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	41%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.37	1.6	30%	41%	.41	6%	1.7
GAST Offense	13	40%	46%	18.3	29.6	198.2	6.7	10.8	22	9	.27	1.5	27%	35%	.29	7%	1.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #122
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #124
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #101

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Georgia State: -2.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -20.3 Georgia State: -10.5

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -2.75 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #60
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.2
Defense: 30.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

South Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 34
South Alabama 27

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 34
South Alabama 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Georgia State 33
South Alabama 26

Total Points: 59

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.2
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.2

Georgia State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/23	Georgia State	31	South Alabama	38	South Alabama -5.5	South Alabama	54.5	Over
2020	11/21	South Alabama	14	Georgia State	31	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia State	58.5	Under
2019	11/23	Georgia State	28	South Alabama	15	Georgia State -9.5	Georgia State	57.0	Under
2017	10/26	Georgia State	21	South Alabama	13	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	50.5	Under
2016	10/29	South Alabama	13	Georgia State	10	South Alabama -3.5	Georgia State	47.5	Under
2015	11/21	Georgia State	24	South Alabama	10	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	60.5	Under
2014	10/18	South Alabama	30	Georgia State	27	South Alabama -17	Georgia State	0
2013	11/30	Georgia State	17	South Alabama	38	South Alabama -9	South Alabama	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	4	6	1 Overs
South Alabama	4	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	3 - 5	3 - 2	0 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 0	2 - 3

(#) USA at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#107
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#101	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.264

Rematch from Week 13
Georgia State -9.5 (57.0)
Georgia State won vs South Alabama this year (28-15)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD