Houston at UCF - 2019 Matchup Preview
Houston logo   Houston Cougars at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
UCF -22 (72.0)
UCF 44 - Houston: 29  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -14  (SP+ UCF -23)
Projected Score: HOU: 25 - UCF: 25 (50)
UCF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
HOU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 Houston at Oklahoma+21.580.0L 31 - 49UY
Sat 9/7 Houston vs Prairie View A&M-35.077.5W 37 - 17UN
Fri 9/13 Houston vs Washington State+9.073.5L 24 - 31UY
Thu 9/19 Houston at Tulane+4.057.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/28 Houston at North Texas+7.559.0W 46 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Houston vs Cincinnati+10.050.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Houston at UConn-21.056.0W 24 - 17UN
Thu 10/24 Houston vs SMU+12.065.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 11/2 Houston at UCF+22.072.0L 29 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Houston vs Memphis+9.071.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 11/23 Houston at Tulsa+5.057.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Houston vs Navy+9.056.5L 41 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
UCF's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Florida A&M-44.065.5W 62 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 UCF at Florida Atlantic-13.569.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 UCF vs Stanford-9.558.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/21 UCF at Pittsburgh-9.060.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 UCF vs UConn-42.065.0W 56 - 21ON
Fri 10/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.564.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UCF vs East Carolina-34.565.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 10/26 UCF at Temple-11.061.5W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/2 UCF vs Houston-22.072.0W 44 - 29ON
Fri 11/8 UCF at Tulsa-17.068.5L 31 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UCF at Tulane-7.073.5W 34 - 31UN
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-24.061.5W 34 - 7UY
Mon 12/23 UCF vs Marshall-16.060.0W 48 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.3345%29.145%3.1521744%2954.36.2246%22.845%45%4.1651.71.51.8
UCF.3448%24.347%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%23.641%39%2.6264.81.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1329.13145.3%4.361.5265122172955.350%49%45%44%15%.33
UCF Defense1323.615.741.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1322.819.545.7%4.161.8 - - - - - 54%44%45%45%17%.22
UCF Offense1324.332.647.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1325:0025.646%50%6.651.71.51.86.71.8230.7
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1350%45%41.1216.55.329.233.1565%9%1.15
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1354%45% - - - - .172.8775%10%1.03
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1349%44%21.836.5295.58.113.5459.451.931%38%.636%2.4
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1344%45% - - - - - - 14.291.632%35%.37%1.7
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2019 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3  #82
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #56
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    UCF: 12.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -4.3   UCF: 19.1




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 12.05 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2019 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #14
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #14
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 25
UCF 25

Projected Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/07UCF27Houston30UCF -1.5Houston47.5Over
202311/25UCF27Houston13UCF -15.5Houston61.5Under
202010/31Houston21UCF44UCF -3UCF81.0Under
201911/02UCF44Houston29UCF -22Houston72.0Over
201610/29Houston31UCF24Houston -12.5UCF59.0Under
201510/24UCF10Houston59Houston -18.5Houston53.0Over
201410/02Houston12UCF17Houston -2.5UCF0
201311/09UCF19Houston14UCF -10Houston0
201011/05Houston33UCF40
200911/14UCF37Houston32
200610/28Houston51UCF31
200511/05UCF31Houston29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF833 Overs
Houston453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 50 - 80 - 60 - 2
Road Teams5 - 78 - 02 - 06 - 0

(#) HOU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #14
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #56 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
UCF -22.0 (72.0)
UCF won vs Houston this year (44-29)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat UCF last year (30-27)
UCF beat Houston in 2023 (27-13)

  
HOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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HOU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD