UCF at Tulsa - 2019 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Friday, November 8th 2019 (7:00 PM EST)
UCF -17 (68.5)
Tulsa 34 - UCF: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ UCF -21.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 24 - TLSA: 27 (51)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
UCF Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Florida A&M-44.065.5W 62 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 UCF at Florida Atlantic-13.569.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 UCF vs Stanford-9.558.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/21 UCF at Pittsburgh-9.060.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 UCF vs UConn-42.065.0W 56 - 21ON
Fri 10/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.564.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UCF vs East Carolina-34.565.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 10/26 UCF at Temple-11.061.5W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/2 UCF vs Houston-22.072.0W 44 - 29ON
Fri 11/8 UCF at Tulsa-17.068.5L 31 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UCF at Tulane-7.073.5W 34 - 31UN
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-24.061.5W 34 - 7UY
Mon 12/23 UCF vs Marshall-16.060.0W 48 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Tulsa's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Tulsa at Michigan State+22.047.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at San José State-6.553.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+14.064.0L 21 - 40UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa vs Wyoming-5.546.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tulsa at SMU+12.063.5L 37 - 43OY
Sat 10/12 Tulsa vs Navy-1.052.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.047.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs Memphis+10.059.5L 41 - 42OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at Tulane+10.059.5L 26 - 38ON
Fri 11/8 Tulsa vs UCF+17.068.5W 34 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Tulsa vs Houston-5.057.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Tulsa at East Carolina-7.064.0W 49 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3448%24.347%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%23.641%39%2.6264.81.12.2
TLSA.1143%23.246%2.9220137%1773.57.1544%28.944%42%3.6463.421.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1324.312.847.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34
TLSA Defense1228.927.244.4%3.641.8 - - - - - 61%37%44%42%14%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1323.634.641.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
TLSA Offense1223.227.343.2%3.572203782011774.160%38%46%37%19%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Tulsa1228:4720.243%58%7.263.421.84.91.2029.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14
TLSA Defense1261%44% - - - - .153.1474%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
TLSA Offense1260%46%48.5200.74.123.112.9274%13%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9
TLSA Defense1237%42% - - - - - - 9.181.431%34%.296%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
TLSA Offense1238%37%14.326.4177.16.712.41310.131.732%35%.297%1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2019 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #14
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #14
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Tulsa: 1.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 19.1   Tulsa: -2.5




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 1.25 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2019 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #73
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #87
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 27
UCF 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/03UCF26Tulsa34UCF -19.5Tulsa70.0Under
201911/08Tulsa34UCF31UCF -17Tulsa68.5Under
201611/19UCF20Tulsa35UCF -1.5Tulsa64.0Under
201511/07Tulsa45UCF30Tulsa -11Tulsa61.5Over
201411/14UCF31Tulsa7UCF -18.5UCF0
201212/01Tulsa33UCF27
201211/17Tulsa23UCF21
201111/03UCF17Tulsa24
200810/26Tulsa49UCF19
200710/20UCF44Tulsa23
200712/01UCF44Tulsa25
200512/03UCF27Tulsa44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa941 Overs
UCF313 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #88
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
UCF 17.0 (68.5)
Tulsa won vs UCF this year (34-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD