East Carolina at UCF - 2019 Matchup Preview
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East Carolina Pirates at UCF Knights

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Saturday, October 19th 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -34.5 (65.5)
UCF 41 - East Carolina: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
UCF coming off BYE
Our Line: -19  (SP+ UCF -33)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - UCF: 24 (50)
UCF Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
ECU Travel: 532 miles
Knights (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina at NC State+17.552.0L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-31.058.5W 48 - 9UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina at Navy+7.553.0L 10 - 42UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina vs William & Mary-14.050.0W 19 - 7UN
Sat 9/28 East Carolina at Old Dominion+3.046.5W 24 - 21UY
Thu 10/3 East Carolina vs Temple+12.546.0L 17 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at UCF+34.565.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs South Florida+1.051.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+25.048.5L 43 - 46OY
Sat 11/9 East Carolina at SMU+23.074.0L 51 - 59OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at UConn-15.564.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 East Carolina vs Tulsa+7.064.0L 24 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UCF's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Florida A&M-44.065.5W 62 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 UCF at Florida Atlantic-13.569.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 UCF vs Stanford-9.558.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/21 UCF at Pittsburgh-9.060.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 UCF vs UConn-42.065.0W 56 - 21ON
Fri 10/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.564.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UCF vs East Carolina-34.565.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 10/26 UCF at Temple-11.061.5W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/2 UCF vs Houston-22.072.0W 44 - 29ON
Fri 11/8 UCF at Tulsa-17.068.5L 31 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UCF at Tulane-7.073.5W 34 - 31UN
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-24.061.5W 34 - 7UY
Mon 12/23 UCF vs Marshall-16.060.0W 48 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.0937%32.737%2.4812936%2853.13.240%20.137%42%4.2645.62.10.8
UCF.3448%24.347%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%23.641%39%2.6264.81.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1232.730.837.3%3.132.1234141292853.738%61%37%36%20%.09
UCF Defense1323.615.741.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1220.120.840.2%4.260.8 - - - - - 49%49%37%42%19%.2
UCF Offense1324.332.647.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1230:1622.836%54%4.845.62.10.88.82.9026.4
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1238%37%35.5129.43.713.022.4869%10%1.02
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1249%37% - - - - .072.4871%14%1.11
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1261%36%23.847.3284.86121815.141.740%35%.3310%1.8
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1249%42% - - - - - - 5.351.834%35%.45%1.9
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #116
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #93
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #120

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UCF: 12.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -14.0   UCF: 19.1




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 12.05 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2019 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #14
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #14
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 26
UCF 24

Projected Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1044 Overs
East Carolina754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #14
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #78 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
UCF -34.5 (65.5)
UCF won vs East Carolina this year (41-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD