Cincinnati at East Carolina - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#17)Cincinnati Bearcats at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -25 (48.5)
Cincinnati 46 - East Carolina: 43 (American Athletic)

Bearcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ECU 2nd straight Home Game
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: -9 (SP+ CIN -23)
Projected Score: CIN: 34 - ECU: 23 (57)
CIN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 462 miles

Pirates (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (29 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Cincinnati vs UCLA	-2.5	55.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Cincinnati at Ohio State	+14.5	52.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/14	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-17.0	49.5	W 35 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Cincinnati at Marshall	-4.0	47.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	64.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Cincinnati at Houston	-10.0	50.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Cincinnati vs Tulsa	-16.0	47.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Cincinnati at East Carolina	-25.0	48.5	W 46 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/9	Cincinnati vs UConn	-33.5	52.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Cincinnati at South Florida	-13.0	46.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Cincinnati vs Temple	-9.0	44.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	Cincinnati at Memphis	+14.0	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Cincinnati at Memphis	+9.0	58.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8.0	53.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

East Carolina's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	East Carolina at NC State	+17.5	52.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-31.0	58.5	W 48 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/14	East Carolina at Navy	+7.5	53.0	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/21	East Carolina vs William & Mary	-14.0	50.0	W 19 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/28	East Carolina at Old Dominion	+3.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Thu 10/3	East Carolina vs Temple	+12.5	46.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	East Carolina at UCF	+34.5	65.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/26	East Carolina vs South Florida	+1.0	51.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/2	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+25.0	48.5	L 43 - 46	O	Y
Sat 11/9	East Carolina at SMU	+23.0	74.0	L 51 - 59	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	East Carolina at UConn	-15.5	64.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	East Carolina vs Tulsa	+7.0	64.0	L 24 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	43%	29.6	45%	3.05	210	38%	182	4.19	.09	40%	20.6	40%	38%	2.57	69.8	1.4	2.4
ECU	.14	42%	26.8	38%	2.55	141	43%	289	3.18	.28	47%	33.7	45%	48%	4.37	51.3	1.4	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	14	29.6	29.1	43%	4.19	1.4	21	392	210	182	4.8	57%	41%	45%	38%	17%	.18
ECU Defense	12	33.7	30.5	46.8%	4.37	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	45%	48%	18%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	14	20.6	28.9	39.8%	2.57	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	40%	38%	22%	.09
ECU Offense	12	26.8	28.5	42.4%	3.18	1.4	24	430	141	289	3.8	46%	51%	38%	43%	25%	.14

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	14	31:45	20.8	43%	65%	8.7	69.8	1.4	2.4	8.3	3.1	3	31.1
East Carolina	12	29:34	24	39%	43%	5.9	51.3	1.4	1.9	7.5	2.7	2	26.4

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	14	57%	45%	44	209.8	4.8	30	.16	3.05	77%	11%	0.99
ECU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	67%	12%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	14	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	74%	14%	0.9
ECU Offense	12	46%	38%	37.4	141.3	3.8	12	-.06	2.55	70%	14%	0.79

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	14	41%	38%	14.9	26.9	182.3	6.8	12.3	19	11	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.9
ECU Defense	12	47%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.41	1.6	31%	35%	.36	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	14	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.14	1.6	37%	29%	.17	8%	1.9
ECU Offense	12	51%	43%	22.5	37.6	288.8	7.7	12.8	22	10	.36	1.7	36%	35%	.33	11%	1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2019 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #34
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #64
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: East Carolina: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 9.1 East Carolina: -14.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #116
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #93
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #120

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.1
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.9

Cincinnati's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 34
East Carolina 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 37
East Carolina 19

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 31
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 57

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

East Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/11	Cincinnati	27	East Carolina	25	Cincinnati -4.5	East Carolina	51.5	Over
2021	11/26	East Carolina	13	Cincinnati	35	Cincinnati -14.5	Cincinnati	56.5	Under
2020	11/13	Cincinnati	55	East Carolina	17	Cincinnati -27.5	Cincinnati	56.5	Over
2019	11/02	East Carolina	43	Cincinnati	46	Cincinnati -25	East Carolina	48.5	Over
2018	11/23	Cincinnati	56	East Carolina	6	Cincinnati -15.5	Cincinnati	49.5	Over
2017	11/18	East Carolina	48	Cincinnati	20	Cincinnati -4.5	East Carolina	67.5	Over
2016	10/22	Cincinnati	31	East Carolina	19	Cincinnati -2	Cincinnati	63.0	Under
2015	11/28	East Carolina	16	Cincinnati	19	Cincinnati -3	NA	69.0	Under
2014	11/13	Cincinnati	54	East Carolina	46	East Carolina -2.5	Cincinnati	0
2004	09/25	East Carolina	19	Cincinnati	24
2003	09/01	Cincinnati	40	East Carolina	3
2001	11/10	Cincinnati	26	East Carolina	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	2	3	5 Overs
Cincinnati	10	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	6 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	2 - 6	1 - 3	1 - 3

(#) CIN at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#116
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#63	#78
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54°

Rematch from Week 10
Cincinnati 25.0 (48.5)
Cincinnati won at East Carolina this year (46-43)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat East Carolina in 2022 (27-25)

CIN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD