Tulsa at East Carolina - 2019 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, November 30th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -7 (64.0)
Tulsa 49 - East Carolina: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ TLSA -11.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 21 - ECU: 32 (53)
TLSA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Tulsa at Michigan State+22.047.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at San José State-6.553.5W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+14.064.0L 21 - 40UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa vs Wyoming-5.546.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tulsa at SMU+12.063.5L 37 - 43OY
Sat 10/12 Tulsa vs Navy-1.052.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.047.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs Memphis+10.059.5L 41 - 42OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at Tulane+10.059.5L 26 - 38ON
Fri 11/8 Tulsa vs UCF+17.068.5W 34 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Tulsa vs Houston-5.057.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Tulsa at East Carolina-7.064.0W 49 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
East Carolina's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina at NC State+17.552.0L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-31.058.5W 48 - 9UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina at Navy+7.553.0L 10 - 42UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina vs William & Mary-14.050.0W 19 - 7UN
Sat 9/28 East Carolina at Old Dominion+3.046.5W 24 - 21UY
Thu 10/3 East Carolina vs Temple+12.546.0L 17 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at UCF+34.565.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs South Florida+1.051.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+25.048.5L 43 - 46OY
Sat 11/9 East Carolina at SMU+23.074.0L 51 - 59OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at UConn-15.564.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 East Carolina vs Tulsa+7.064.0L 24 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1143%23.246%2.9220137%1773.57.1544%28.944%42%3.6463.421.8
ECU.0937%32.737%2.4812936%2853.13.240%20.137%42%4.2645.62.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21943.2%3.572203782011774.160%38%46%37%19%.11
ECU Defense1220.119.840.2%4.260.8 - - - - - 49%49%37%42%19%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.744.4%3.641.8 - - - - - 61%37%44%42%14%.15
ECU Offense1232.736.237.3%3.132.1234141292853.738%61%37%36%20%.09

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:4720.243%58%7.263.421.84.91.2029.6
East Carolina1230:1622.836%54%4.845.62.10.88.82.9026.4
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1260%46%48.5200.74.123.112.9274%13%0.87
ECU Defense1249%37% - - - - .072.4871%14%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1261%44% - - - - .153.1474%9%1.02
ECU Offense1238%37%35.5129.43.713.022.4869%10%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1238%37%14.326.4177.16.712.41310.131.732%35%.297%1.8
ECU Defense1249%42% - - - - - - 5.351.834%35%.45%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1237%42% - - - - - - 9.181.431%34%.296%1.7
ECU Offense1261%36%23.847.3284.86121815.141.740%35%.3310%1.8

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2019 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #73
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #87
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    East Carolina: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -2.5   East Carolina: -14.0




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #116
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #93
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #120

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 32
Tulsa 21

Projected Total Points: 53
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/16East Carolina41Tulsa27East Carolina -16.5Tulsa54.5Over
202411/14Tulsa31East Carolina38East Carolina -16Tulsa63.5Over
202311/25East Carolina27Tulsa29East Carolina -4.5Tulsa44.5Over
202010/30Tulsa34East Carolina30Tulsa -17East Carolina59.5Over
201911/30East Carolina24Tulsa49Tulsa -7Tulsa64.0Over
201611/05Tulsa45East Carolina24Tulsa -10Tulsa76.5Under
201510/17East Carolina30Tulsa17East Carolina -11East Carolina77.0Under
201411/28Tulsa32East Carolina49East Carolina -17.5Tulsa0
201311/09East Carolina58Tulsa24East Carolina -14East Carolina0
201009/05East Carolina51Tulsa49
200911/15Tulsa17East Carolina44
200812/06Tulsa24East Carolina27
200610/14East Carolina10Tulsa31
200511/12Tulsa45East Carolina13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina835 Overs
Tulsa662 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 43 - 32 - 1
Road Teams7 - 74 - 51 - 23 - 3

(#) TLSA at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #116
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #88 #78
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Tulsa 7.0 (64.0)
Tulsa won at East Carolina this year (49-24)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (41-27)
East Carolina beat Tulsa in 2024 (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD