Cincinnati at Houston - 2019 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 12th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -10 (50.5)
Cincinnati 38 - Houston: 23 (American Athletic)

Bearcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HOU coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ CIN -13.5)
Projected Score: CIN: 29 - HOU: 29 (58)
CIN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CIN Travel: 895 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 34 (32 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Cincinnati vs UCLA	-2.5	55.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Cincinnati at Ohio State	+14.5	52.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/14	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-17.0	49.5	W 35 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Cincinnati at Marshall	-4.0	47.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	64.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Cincinnati at Houston	-10.0	50.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Cincinnati vs Tulsa	-16.0	47.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Cincinnati at East Carolina	-25.0	48.5	W 46 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/9	Cincinnati vs UConn	-33.5	52.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Cincinnati at South Florida	-13.0	46.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Cincinnati vs Temple	-9.0	44.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/29	Cincinnati at Memphis	+14.0	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Cincinnati at Memphis	+9.0	58.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8.0	53.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Houston's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/1	Houston at Oklahoma	+21.5	80.0	L 31 - 49	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Houston vs Prairie View A&M	-35.0	77.5	W 37 - 17	U	N
Fri 9/13	Houston vs Washington State	+9.0	73.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Thu 9/19	Houston at Tulane	+4.0	57.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Houston at North Texas	+7.5	59.0	W 46 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Houston vs Cincinnati	+10.0	50.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Houston at UConn	-21.0	56.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/24	Houston vs SMU	+12.0	65.5	L 31 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Houston at UCF	+22.0	72.0	L 29 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Houston vs Memphis	+9.0	71.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/23	Houston at Tulsa	+5.0	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Houston vs Navy	+9.0	56.5	L 41 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	43%	29.6	45%	3.05	210	38%	182	4.19	.09	40%	20.6	40%	38%	2.57	69.8	1.4	2.4
HOU	.16	42%	30.7	44%	3.06	188	37%	203	3.43	.29	45%	34	43%	46%	4	48.3	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)		35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)		40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	14	29.6	29.1	43%	4.19	1.4	21	392	210	182	4.8	57%	41%	45%	38%	17%	.18
HOU Defense	12	34	38	45.3%	4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	20%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	14	20.6	28.9	39.8%	2.57	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	40%	38%	22%	.09
HOU Offense	12	30.7	31.8	42.4%	3.43	1.8	19	392	188	203	4.9	54%	43%	44%	37%	23%	.16

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	14	31:45	20.8	43%	65%	8.7	69.8	1.4	2.4	8.3	3.1	3	31.1
Houston	12	30:57	19.3	35%	71%	4.8	48.3	1.8	1.4	6.7	1.8	5	30.1

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	14	57%	45%	44	209.8	4.8	30	.16	3.05	77%	11%	0.99
HOU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.7	61%	11%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	14	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	74%	14%	0.9
HOU Offense	12	54%	44%	38.8	188.2	4.9	20	.18	3.06	62%	16%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	14	41%	38%	14.9	26.9	182.3	6.8	12.3	19	11	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.9
HOU Defense	12	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	33%	38%	.55	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	14	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.14	1.6	37%	29%	.17	8%	1.9
HOU Offense	12	43%	37%	14.7	26.2	203.3	7.8	13.9	19	12	.17	1.9	35%	32%	.24	8%	1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2019 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #34
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #64
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #31

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: Houston: 0.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 9.1 Houston: -4.3

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 0.35 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2019 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #82
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #56
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.1
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.9

Cincinnati's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 29
Houston 29

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Houston 31
Cincinnati 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 33
Houston 28

Total Points: 61

Houston Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 38

Houston's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Cincinnati	34	Houston	0	Cincinnati -4	Cincinnati	47.5	Under
2023	11/11	Houston	14	Cincinnati	24	Houston -3.5	Cincinnati	53.5	Under
2021	12/04	Cincinnati	35	Houston	20	Cincinnati -10.5	Cincinnati	52.5	Over
2020	11/07	Cincinnati	38	Houston	10	Cincinnati -12.5	Cincinnati	51.5	Under
2019	10/12	Houston	23	Cincinnati	38	Cincinnati -10	Cincinnati	50.5	Over
2016	09/15	Cincinnati	16	Houston	40	Houston -7.5	Houston	63.0	Under
2015	11/07	Houston	33	Cincinnati	30	Houston -9	Cincinnati	70.5	Under
2014	12/06	Cincinnati	38	Houston	31	Cincinnati -7	Push	0
2013	11/23	Houston	17	Cincinnati	24	Houston -2.5	Cincinnati	0
2002	11/16	Cincinnati	47	Houston	14
2001	10/20	Houston	28	Cincinnati	29
2000	10/06	Cincinnati	48	Houston	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	2	1	2 Overs
Cincinnati	10	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 3	2 - 0	3 - 3

(#) CIN at (#) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#82
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#63	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Cincinnati 10.0 (50.5)
Cincinnati won at Houston this year (38-23)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Houston last year (34-0)
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2023 (24-14)

CIN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD