Boise State at UNLV - 2019 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos at UNLV Rebels  UNLV logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (10:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -24 (57.0)
Boise State 38 - UNLV: 13  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ BSU -25.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 27 - UNLV: 30 (57)
BSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
BSU Travel: 523 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Florida State+6.555.0W 36 - 31OY
Fri 9/6 Boise State vs Marshall-14.058.0W 14 - 7UN
Sat 9/14 Boise State vs Portland State-32.554.0W 45 - 10OY
Fri 9/20 Boise State vs Air Force-7.553.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Boise State at UNLV-24.057.0W 38 - 13UY
Sat 10/12 Boise State vs Hawai'i-11.560.5W 59 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 Boise State at BYU-7.045.0L 25 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Boise State at San José State-16.060.0W 52 - 42ON
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Wyoming-16.049.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.559.0W 42 - 9UY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Utah State-9.553.0W 56 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Boise State at Colorado State-13.556.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 12/7 Boise State vs Hawai'i-14.065.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 12/21 Boise State vs Washington+4.048.0L 7 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
UNLV's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV vs Southern Utah-24.570.5W 56 - 23OY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Arkansas State+1.063.5L 17 - 43UN
Sat 9/14 UNLV at Northwestern+18.552.0L 14 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV at Wyoming+8.044.5L 17 - 53ON
Sat 10/5 UNLV vs Boise State+24.057.0L 13 - 38UN
Sat 10/12 UNLV at Vanderbilt+16.557.5W 34 - 10UY
Fri 10/18 UNLV at Fresno State+14.552.0L 27 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 UNLV vs San Diego State+12.045.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/2 UNLV at Colorado State+7.563.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs Hawai'i+6.572.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 11/23 UNLV vs San José State+7.065.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 UNLV at Nevada+6.552.0W 33 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.2448%29.946%2.7816849%2923.75.1241%24.142%38%3.1453.811.6
UNLV.242%34.147%3.0622535%1673.74.2845%2842%45%4.3845.71.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1329.919.848.4%3.751244601682924.248%51%46%49%13%.24
UNLV Defense122829.745.4%4.381.7 - - - - - 49%48%42%45%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1324.123.841.4%3.141.6 - - - - - 48%50%42%38%16%.12
UNLV Offense1234.136.842.2%3.741.421392225167558%41%47%35%17%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1332:5224.252%59%5.853.811.65.82.8330.7
UNLV1230:0420.537%55%5.445.71.41.761.8028.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1348%46%39.8167.54.224.082.7872%9%0.89
UNLV Defense1249%42% - - - - .152.8473%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1348%42% - - - - .092.7267%12%0.86
UNLV Offense1258%47%45.2224.7523.233.0676%11%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1351%49%23.835.42928.312.3318.421.630%39%.464%2
UNLV Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 10.421.833%38%.515%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 7.161.634%26%.084%1.8
UNLV Offense1241%35%14.828.9166.85.811.32412.161.833%29%.266%2.1

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #38
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #48

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    UNLV: -6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 8.1   UNLV: -17.4




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -6.2 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2019 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.4  #120
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2019 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 30
Boise State 27

Projected Total Points: 57
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Boise State56UNLV31Boise State -12.5Boise State60.5Over
202512/05Boise State38UNLV21Boise State -6.0Boise State60.0Under
202410/25UNLV24Boise State29Boise State -4.0Boise State64.0Under
202412/06Boise State21UNLV7Boise State -3.5Boise State57.5Under
202312/02UNLV20Boise State44Boise State -2.5Boise State58.0Over
201910/05UNLV13Boise State38Boise State -24Boise State57.0Under
201611/18Boise State42UNLV25Boise State -26.5UNLV63.0Over
201510/31UNLV27Boise State55Boise State -21Boise State53.5Over
201210/20Boise State32UNLV7
201111/05UNLV21Boise State48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV014 Overs
Boise State1074 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 53 - 53 - 10 - 4
Road Teams5 - 55 - 34 - 01 - 3

(#) BSU at (#) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #120
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Boise State 24.0 (57.0)
Boise State won at UNLV this year (38-13)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat UNLV last year (38-21)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2024 (21-7)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2023 (44-20)

  
BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD