North Carolina at Pittsburgh - 2019 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo   North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers  Pittsburgh logo
Thursday, November 14th 2019 (8:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -4 (49.0)
Pittsburgh 34 - North Carolina: 27  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC coming off BYE
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ UNC -6)
Projected Score: UNC: 22 - PITT: 29 (51)
PITT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 318 miles
Panthers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Carolina vs South Carolina+11.061.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Miami+5.046.0W 28 - 25OY
Fri 9/13 North Carolina at Wake Forest+3.065.0L 18 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs App State-1.558.0L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs Clemson+27.561.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-9.547.0W 38 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-4.557.5L 41 - 43ON
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Duke-2.552.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 North Carolina vs Virginia+1.048.0L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+4.049.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Mercer-28.5
Sat 11/30 North Carolina at NC State-11.057.0W 41 - 10UY
Fri 12/27 North Carolina vs Temple-6.056.5W 55 - 13OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Virginia+2.546.5L 14 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh vs Ohio-4.054.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh at Penn State+17.053.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs UCF+9.060.5W 35 - 34OY
Sat 9/28 Pittsburgh vs Delaware-28.550.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at Duke+3.548.5W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-3.552.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Pittsburgh vs Miami-4.543.0L 12 - 16UN
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-9.544.0W 20 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-4.049.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+3.544.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-9.052.0L 19 - 26UN
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan-12.551.0W 34 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1443%19.344%2.7519339%2503.06.1943%24.545%40%3.657.42.11.5
PITT.242%33.747%3.1322933%1423.41.1542%24.843%40%3.4867.11.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1119.317.542.7%3.062.1214431932505.347%51%44%39%16%.14
PITT Defense1424.825.142.2%3.481.2 - - - - - 52%47%43%40%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1124.52343.5%3.61.5 - - - - - 53%46%45%40%17%.19
PITT Offense1433.736.642.4%3.411.1173712291425.660%38%47%33%16%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1128:1521.335%48%657.42.11.57.22.9127.8
Pittsburgh1433:2617.236%45%7.267.11.11.25.52326.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1147%44%36.51935.319.132.7571%9%1.08
PITT Defense1452%43% - - - - .162.9281%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1153%45% - - - - .163.1584%12%0.97
PITT Offense1460%47%40.7229.25.630.273.1386%12%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1151%39%22.137.6249.96.611.31414.151.535%36%.217%1.6
PITT Defense1447%40% - - - - - - 8.161.633%30%.266%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1146%40% - - - - - - 7.241.734%34%.316%1.7
PITT Offense1438%33%1322.5141.86.310.9126.071.634%33%.364%1.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2019 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #30
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #25
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #43

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Pittsburgh: 4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.3   Pittsburgh: 4.1




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 4.55 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2019 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #48
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #11

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 29
North Carolina 22

Projected Total Points: 51
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05North Carolina24Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh -2.5Pittsburgh63.0Under
202309/23Pittsburgh24North Carolina41North Carolina -7North Carolina49.5Over
202210/29North Carolina42Pittsburgh24North Carolina -2.5North Carolina65.5Over
202111/11Pittsburgh30North Carolina23Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh72.0Under
201911/14Pittsburgh34North Carolina27Pittsburgh -4Pittsburgh49.0Over
201809/22North Carolina38Pittsburgh35Pittsburgh -3North Carolina48.0Over
201711/09Pittsburgh31North Carolina34Pittsburgh -10North Carolina50.5Over
201609/24North Carolina37Pittsburgh36North Carolina -7Pittsburgh67.0Over
201510/29Pittsburgh19North Carolina26North Carolina -2.5North Carolina59.0Under
201411/15North Carolina40Pittsburgh35North Carolina -1.5North Carolina0
201311/16Pittsburgh27North Carolina34North Carolina -1North Carolina53.0Over
200912/26North Carolina17Pittsburgh19
200011/03Pittsburgh17North Carolina20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh447 Overs
North Carolina973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams7 - 66 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #48
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #28 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -4.0 (49.0)
Pittsburgh won vs North Carolina this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat North Carolina in 2024 (34-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (41-24)

  
UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD