Pittsburgh at Duke - 2019 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils  Duke logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3.5 (48.5)
Pittsburgh 33 - Duke: 30  (ACC)

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ PITT -6)
Projected Score: PITT: 32 - DUKE: 29 (61)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 313 miles
Blue Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Virginia+2.546.5L 14 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh vs Ohio-4.054.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh at Penn State+17.053.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs UCF+9.060.5W 35 - 34OY
Sat 9/28 Pittsburgh vs Delaware-28.550.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at Duke+3.548.5W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-3.552.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Pittsburgh vs Miami-4.543.0L 12 - 16UN
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-9.544.0W 20 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-4.049.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+3.544.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-9.052.0L 19 - 26UN
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan-12.551.0W 34 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Duke's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Duke vs Alabama+33.557.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/7 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-27.552.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Duke at Middle Tennessee-6.551.0W 41 - 18OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.551.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 10/5 Duke vs Pittsburgh-3.548.5L 30 - 33ON
Sat 10/12 Duke vs Georgia Tech-17.547.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/19 Duke at Virginia+3.545.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 10/26 Duke at North Carolina+2.552.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Duke vs Notre Dame+7.050.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Duke vs Syracuse-9.049.5L 6 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Duke at Wake Forest+6.550.0L 27 - 39ON
Sat 11/30 Duke vs Miami+9.544.0W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.242%33.747%3.1322933%1423.41.1542%24.843%40%3.4867.11.11.2
DUKE.1543%34.644%2.9316041%2463.71.1640%29.442%36%3.5934.81.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1433.73342.4%3.411.1173712291425.660%38%47%33%16%.2
DUKE Defense1329.431.339.8%3.591 - - - - - 53%46%42%36%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1424.824.642.2%3.481.2 - - - - - 52%47%43%40%18%.15
DUKE Offense1334.632.242.7%3.711.5214061602464.345%54%44%41%17%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1433:2617.236%45%7.267.11.11.25.52326.9
Duke1327:4220.542%43%4.234.81.5161.8132.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1460%47%40.7229.25.630.273.1386%12%1.16
DUKE Defense1353%42% - - - - .17375%10%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1452%43% - - - - .162.9281%12%1.05
DUKE Offense1345%44%36.9159.64.319.132.9373%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1438%33%1322.5141.86.310.9126.071.634%33%.364%1.9
DUKE Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 4.131.735%32%.354%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1447%40% - - - - - - 8.161.633%30%.266%1.9
DUKE Offense1354%41%21.436.6246.16.711.53110.171.533%32%.37%1.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2019 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #48
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #11

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Duke: 1.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.1   Duke: -1.8




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 1.6 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2019 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8  #68
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #112
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 32
Duke 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke246 Overs
Pittsburgh862 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) PITT at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #68
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #41 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Duke -3.5 (48.5)
Pittsburgh won at Duke this year (33-30)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)

  
PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD