Buffalo at Liberty - 2019 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Liberty Flames  Liberty logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (6:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -6 (55.0)
Liberty 35 - Buffalo: 17

 
Bulls (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BUFF -0.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 25 - LIB: 26 (51)
BUFF Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
BUFF Travel: 391 miles
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Robert Morris-41.563.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Penn State+31.557.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 9/14 Buffalo at Liberty-6.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/21 Buffalo vs Temple+14.051.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-2.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Buffalo vs Ohio+3.053.0L 20 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Buffalo at Akron-17.548.0W 21 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Buffalo vs Central Michigan-1.546.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan-1.050.5W 43 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Buffalo at Kent State-6.054.5L 27 - 30ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo vs Toledo-9.555.0W 49 - 30OY
Fri 11/29 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-28.053.5W 49 - 7OY
Fri 12/20 Buffalo vs Charlotte-7.052.0W 31 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Liberty's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Syracuse+19.569.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 9/7 Liberty at Louisiana+14.065.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs Buffalo+6.055.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs Hampton-25.558.0W 62 - 27OY
Sat 9/28 Liberty vs New Mexico-7.572.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/5 Liberty at New Mexico State-4.562.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Liberty vs Maine-22
Sat 10/26 Liberty at Rutgers-7.544.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/2 Liberty at Massachusetts-23.572.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Liberty at BYU+17.061.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Liberty at Virginia+16.558.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 11/30 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.568.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/21 Liberty vs Georgia Southern+5.059.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2144%2446%2.9819041%2254.17.1540%23.543%34%3.4940.91.41.7
LIB.1542%25.643%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%26.551%41%438.221.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense142423.244.1%4.171.4224151902254.654%45%46%41%13%.21
LIB Defense1226.527.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1423.522.639.8%3.491.7 - - - - - 51%48%43%34%16%.15
LIB Offense1225.631.542.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1431:2222.142%59%4.940.91.41.75.62.5031.5
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1454%46%41.81904.638.162.9872%7%0.98
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1451%43% - - - - .132.9982%10%0.92
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1445%41%16.429.9225.47.513.72813.281.833%34%.457%2.2
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.181.833%31%.316%1.9
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0  #71
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #85
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Liberty: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -2.0   Liberty: -2.6




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 26
Buffalo 25

Projected Total Points: 51
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202401/04Liberty7Buffalo26Buffalo -4.5Buffalo50.5Under
202309/16Buffalo27Liberty55Liberty -2.5Liberty54.0Over
201909/14Liberty35Buffalo17Buffalo -6Liberty55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty221 Overs
Buffalo112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0

(#) BUFF at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #124 #134
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Buffalo 6.0 (55.0)
Liberty won vs Buffalo this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Liberty in 2024 (26-7)
Liberty beat Buffalo in 2023 (55-27)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD