Ohio at Buffalo - 2019 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 5th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -3 (53.0)
Ohio 21 - Buffalo: 20  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (36 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.6 MPH
OHIO coming off BYE
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ OHIO -5.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 27 - BUFF: 29 (56)
OHIO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OHIO Travel: 307 miles
Bulls (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (40 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio vs Rhode Island-25.066.5W 41 - 20UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio at Pittsburgh+4.054.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 Ohio at Marshall+4.047.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/21 Ohio vs Louisiana-3.068.5L 25 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Ohio at Buffalo-3.053.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-4.551.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 10/19 Ohio vs Kent State-9.064.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 10/26 Ohio at Ball State+1.560.0W 34 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.057.5L 21 - 24UN
Tue 11/12 Ohio vs Western Michigan-1.563.5L 34 - 37ON
Tue 11/19 Ohio at Bowling Green-21.055.5W 66 - 24OY
Tue 11/26 Ohio at Akron-28.053.0W 52 - 3OY
Fri 1/3 Ohio vs Nevada-10.562.5W 30 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Buffalo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Robert Morris-41.563.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Penn State+31.557.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 9/14 Buffalo at Liberty-6.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/21 Buffalo vs Temple+14.051.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-2.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Buffalo vs Ohio+3.053.0L 20 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Buffalo at Akron-17.548.0W 21 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Buffalo vs Central Michigan-1.546.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan-1.050.5W 43 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Buffalo at Kent State-6.054.5L 27 - 30ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo vs Toledo-9.555.0W 49 - 30OY
Fri 11/29 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-28.053.5W 49 - 7OY
Fri 12/20 Buffalo vs Charlotte-7.052.0W 31 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2850%34.351%3.4222246%2204.09.2444%26.546%40%3.4548.21.51.5
BUFF.2146%31.547%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%21.339%37%3.1344.61.12.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1334.335.749.9%4.091.5234422222205.557%41%51%46%17%.28
BUFF Defense1321.318.339.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1326.520.244.2%3.451.5 - - - - - 49%49%46%40%18%.24
BUFF Offense1331.539.545.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1331:4622.849%56%5.448.21.51.56.22032.3
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1357%51%40.5221.85.536.273.4277%10%1.03
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1349%46% - - - - .213.185%11%1
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1341%46%15.625.8220.58.614.1216.311.629%39%.377%1.7
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 5.291.633%36%.57%1.9
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #49
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #19
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #97

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Buffalo: 1.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.7   Buffalo: -2.0




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 1.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0  #71
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #85
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.2

Ohio's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Ohio 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 29
Ohio 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 29
Ohio 28

Total Points: 57
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Buffalo's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Buffalo26Ohio31Ohio -7.0Buffalo44.5Over
202410/26Ohio47Buffalo16Ohio -4.0Ohio46.5Over
202311/07Buffalo10Ohio20Ohio -9.5Ohio45.5Under
202211/01Ohio45Buffalo24Buffalo -2.5Ohio61.0Over
202110/16Buffalo27Ohio26Buffalo -7.5Ohio54.5Under
201910/05Buffalo20Ohio21Ohio -3Buffalo53.0Under
201811/14Ohio52Buffalo17Ohio -2.5Ohio66.0Over
201711/24Buffalo31Ohio24Ohio -7Buffalo56.0Under
201611/03Ohio34Buffalo10Ohio -19Ohio51.5Under
201510/24Buffalo41Ohio17Ohio -2Buffalo53.0Over
201411/05Ohio37Buffalo14Ohio -2Ohio0
201311/05Buffalo30Ohio3Buffalo -2.5Buffalo0
201210/06Ohio38Buffalo31
201110/08Buffalo38Ohio37
201011/04Ohio34Buffalo17
200911/10Buffalo24Ohio27
200810/28Ohio19Buffalo32
200710/06Buffalo31Ohio10
200610/21Ohio42Buffalo7
200510/29Buffalo20Ohio34
200409/25Ohio34Buffalo0
200310/25Buffalo26Ohio17
200209/28Ohio34Buffalo32
200111/03Buffalo44Ohio0
200010/06Ohio42Buffalo20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo955 Overs
Ohio1675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 610 - 25 - 15 - 1
Road Teams6 - 192 - 101 - 51 - 5

(#) OHIO at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #111 #124
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #97
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 58° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Ohio 3.0 (53.0)
Ohio won at Buffalo this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2022 (45-24)

  
OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD