Illinois at UConn - 2019 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#11)Illinois Fighting Illini at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, September 7th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -21 (59.0)
Illinois 31 - UConn: 23

 
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (24 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ ILL -25)
Projected Score: ILL: 32 - CONN: 25 (57)
ILL Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ILL Travel: 822 miles, 1 hrs behind
Huskies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 41 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Akron-18.060.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois at UConn-21.059.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-7.057.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Illinois vs Nebraska+13.062.5L 38 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Minnesota+14.058.0L 17 - 40UN
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Michigan+24.549.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+28.552.0W 24 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Purdue+9.054.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Rutgers-18.549.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Michigan State+15.548.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Iowa+15.048.5L 10 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-6.538.0L 10 - 29ON
Mon 12/30 Illinois vs California+6.047.5L 20 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
UConn's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UConn vs Wagner-23.070.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Illinois+21.059.0L 23 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UConn at Indiana+27.557.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 UConn at UCF+42.065.0L 21 - 56OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs South Florida+10.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Sat 10/12 UConn at Tulane+33.557.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Houston+21.056.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 UConn at Massachusetts-9.562.0W 56 - 35OY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Navy+25.555.0L 10 - 56ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at Cincinnati+33.552.5L 3 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn vs East Carolina+15.564.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Temple+26.048.0L 17 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.138%26.739%2.6814235%1843.47.1143%26.241%42%3.5961.31.43.2
CONN.0238%18.937%2.7612937%2162.59.3349%40.550%47%4.5751.51.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1326.723.838%3.471.4173261421843.852%47%39%35%25%.1
CONN Defense1240.535.248.9%4.571.7 - - - - - 52%47%50%47%15%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1326.224.442.6%3.593.2 - - - - - 59%39%41%42%20%.11
CONN Offense1218.92037.8%2.591.8193451292163.647%51%37%37%21%.02

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1325:3617.235%36%6.761.31.43.29.62.8429.9
UConn1232:2618.629%40%6.251.51.81.74.82.3128.9
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1352%39%37.2141.93.819.072.6876%16%1.04
CONN Defense1252%50% - - - - .363.3476%9%1.27
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1359%41% - - - - .042.6273%15%0.94
CONN Offense1247%37%35.7128.73.613.052.7659%14%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347%35%15.228184.46.612.2199.151.735%28%.229%1.9
CONN Defense1247%47% - - - - - - 7.31.629%42%.497%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 12.241.732%32%.215%1.9
CONN Offense1251%37%1931.82166.811.41415.011.536%28%.097%2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2019 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #60
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #91
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #53

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    UConn: -9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 0.6   UConn: -24.4




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.7 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2019 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4  #125
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #125
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #125

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Illinois's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 32
UConn 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 33
UConn 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 32
UConn 23

Total Points: 55
UConn Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 40.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.2

UConn's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07UConn23Illinois31Illinois -21UConn59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn010 Overs
Illinois101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#) ILL at (#) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #125
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCatCONN OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #125 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCatCONN OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Illinois 21.0 (59.0)
Illinois won at UConn this year (31-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ILL's OC ()
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CONN's OC ()
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CONN's DC ()
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