Illinois at Purdue - 2019 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, October 26th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -9 (54.5)
Illinois 24 - Purdue: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ ILL -1.5)
Projected Score: ILL: 30 - PUR: 25 (55)
PUR Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ILL Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Illinois vs Akron-18.060.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois at UConn-21.059.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-7.057.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Illinois vs Nebraska+13.062.5L 38 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Illinois at Minnesota+14.058.0L 17 - 40UN
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Michigan+24.549.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Wisconsin+28.552.0W 24 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Purdue+9.054.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Rutgers-18.549.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Illinois at Michigan State+15.548.0W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Iowa+15.048.5L 10 - 19UY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-6.538.0L 10 - 29ON
Mon 12/30 Illinois vs California+6.047.5L 20 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Purdue's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Purdue at Nevada-11.058.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Purdue vs Vanderbilt-7.056.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Purdue vs TCU+3.552.0L 13 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.057.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Purdue at Penn State+28.555.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 10/12 Purdue vs Maryland+4.052.0W 40 - 14OY
Sat 10/19 Purdue at Iowa+17.547.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 10/26 Purdue vs Illinois-9.054.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 11/2 Purdue vs Nebraska+4.057.0W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/9 Purdue at Northwestern+0.038.5W 24 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Purdue at Wisconsin+24.549.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/30 Purdue vs Indiana+7.056.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1945%29.449%3.2124436%1663.11.3450%23.653%46%4.2765.121.7
PUR.245%18.844%2.8513643%3083.79.2147%31.846%46%3.4864.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1229.426.645%3.11219410244166656%41%49%36%19%.19
PUR Defense1331.83046.9%3.481.1 - - - - - 46%52%46%46%12%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1223.635.650.3%4.271.7 - - - - - 52%47%53%46%16%.34
PUR Offense1318.820.944.6%3.791.5224441363084.538%60%44%43%17%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1228:3319.435%57%6.365.121.75.61.8129.5
Purdue1329:3721.838%53%6.264.51.51.13.91.8128.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1256%49%41.1244.3625.283.2171%13%1.14
PUR Defense1346%46% - - - - .163.175%7%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1252%53% - - - - .313.690%9%1.03
PUR Offense1338%44%30.6136.44.520.122.8571%10%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1241%36%14.827.4165.7611.21014.091.631%31%.277%1.8
PUR Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 11.291.531%33%.335%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 15.381.631%37%.367%1.8
PUR Offense1360%43%25.639.2307.57.9122813.271.531%36%.327%1.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2019 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #60
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #91
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #53

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Purdue: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 0.6   Purdue: -0.7




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2019 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #64
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #45
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 30
Purdue 25

Projected Total Points: 55
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Purdue27Illinois43Illinois -7.5Illinois55.5Over
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49Illinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19Purdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31Illinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9Purdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31Purdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24Purdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46Purdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10Purdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34Illinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48Illinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38Illinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20Illinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1586 Overs
Illinois844 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 109 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #64
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #37 #51
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Purdue -9.0 (54.5)
Illinois won at Purdue this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (43-27)
Illinois beat Purdue in 2024 (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD