Nebraska at Illinois - 2019 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)

Saturday, September 21st 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -13 (62.5)
Nebraska 42 - Illinois: 38 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL 2nd straight Home Game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
NEB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ NEB -2)
Projected Score: NEB: 27 - ILL: 29 (56)
NEB Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
NEB Travel: 448 miles

Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs South Alabama	-35.0	65.0	W 35 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	Nebraska at Colorado	-4.0	64.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-13.5	53.0	W 44 - 8	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Nebraska at Illinois	-13.0	62.5	W 42 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska vs Ohio State	+17.0	66.0	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-7.5	48.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/12	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.0	47.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Nebraska vs Indiana	-2.5	55.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/2	Nebraska at Purdue	-4.0	57.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	+14.5	49.5	L 21 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska at Maryland	-7.0	63.0	W 54 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska vs Iowa	+4.0	46.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Illinois's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Illinois vs Akron	-18.0	60.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Illinois at UConn	-21.0	59.0	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	-7.0	57.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Illinois vs Nebraska	+13.0	62.5	L 38 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.0	58.0	L 17 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/12	Illinois vs Michigan	+24.5	49.0	L 25 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+28.5	52.0	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Illinois at Purdue	+9.0	54.5	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Illinois vs Rutgers	-18.5	49.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Illinois at Michigan State	+15.5	48.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Illinois at Iowa	+15.0	48.5	L 10 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Illinois vs Northwestern	-6.5	38.0	L 10 - 29	O	N
Mon 12/30	Illinois vs California	+6.0	47.5	L 20 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	.13	42%	28	43%	2.68	203	39%	213	3.47	.14	43%	27.8	45%	38%	3.41	43.2	1.7	2
ILL	.1	38%	26.7	39%	2.68	142	35%	184	3.47	.11	43%	26.2	41%	42%	3.59	61.3	1.4	3.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	28	32.2	42.1%	3.47	1.7	21	416	203	213	4.5	58%	40%	43%	39%	20%	.13
ILL Defense	13	26.2	26.1	42.6%	3.59	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	41%	42%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	27.8	28.8	43%	3.41	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	45%	38%	26%	.14
ILL Offense	13	26.7	29.7	38%	3.47	1.4	17	326	142	184	3.8	52%	47%	39%	35%	25%	.1

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	28:54	20.8	41%	43%	5.1	43.2	1.7	2	10.6	2.9	3	29
Illinois	13	25:36	17.2	35%	36%	6.7	61.3	1.4	3.2	9.6	2.8	4	29.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	58%	43%	45.3	203.3	4.5	27	.11	2.68	76%	15%	1.02
ILL Defense	13	59%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.62	73%	15%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.09	86%	17%	0.96
ILL Offense	13	52%	39%	37.2	141.9	3.8	19	.07	2.68	76%	16%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	40%	39%	16.2	26.9	212.6	7.9	13.2	12	9	.19	1.7	32%	31%	.3	5%	2
ILL Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.7	32%	32%	.21	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.16	1.6	33%	33%	.23	8%	1.6
ILL Offense	13	47%	35%	15.2	28	184.4	6.6	12.2	19	9	.15	1.7	35%	28%	.22	9%	1.9

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nebraska's 2019 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #54
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #40
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: Illinois: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 2.6 Illinois: 0.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2019 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #60
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #91
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #53

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Nebraska's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 29
Nebraska 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 31
Nebraska 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Nebraska 28
Illinois 28

Total Points: 56

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Illinois's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/20	Nebraska	24	Illinois	31	Nebraska -9.5	Illinois	41.5	Over
2023	10/06	Illinois	7	Nebraska	20	Illinois -3.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	10/29	Nebraska	9	Illinois	26	Illinois -7.5	Illinois	50.5	Under
2021	08/28	Illinois	30	Nebraska	22	Nebraska -6.5	Illinois	52.0	Push
2020	11/21	Nebraska	23	Illinois	41	Nebraska -17.0	Illinois	61.0	Over
2019	09/21	Illinois	38	Nebraska	42	Nebraska -13	Illinois	62.5	Over
2018	11/10	Nebraska	54	Illinois	35	Nebraska -17	Nebraska	71.0	Over
2017	09/29	Illinois	6	Nebraska	28	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2016	10/01	Nebraska	31	Illinois	16	Nebraska -21.5	Illinois	53.0	Under
2015	10/03	Illinois	14	Nebraska	13	Nebraska -7.5	Illinois	57.0	Under
2014	09/27	Nebraska	45	Illinois	14	Nebraska -19	Nebraska	0
2013	10/05	Nebraska	39	Illinois	19	Nebraska -10.5	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	5	7	4 Overs
Nebraska	7	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#) NEB at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#60
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#24	#37
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nebraska Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NEB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Nebraska 13.0 (62.5)
Nebraska won at Illinois this year (42-38)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Nebraska last year (31-24)
Nebraska beat Illinois in 2023 (20-7)
Illinois beat Nebraska in 2022 (26-9)

NEB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD