San Diego State at New Mexico - 2018 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (10:15 PM EDT)
San Diego State -12 (45.5)
San Diego State 31 - New Mexico: 23 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (7 - 6) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (20 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU 2nd straight Road Game
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ SDSU -15.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 28 - UNM: 21 (49)
SDSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SDSU Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (25 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	San Diego State at Stanford	+13.5	49.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/8	San Diego State vs Sacramento State	-25.5	58.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/15	San Diego State vs Arizona State	+4.5	48.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/22	San Diego State vs Eastern Michigan	-13.0	48.5	W 23 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	San Diego State at Boise State	+13.5	50.0	W 19 - 13	U	Y
Fri 10/12	San Diego State vs Air Force	-11.0	43.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/20	San Diego State vs San José State	-25.5	44.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/27	San Diego State at Nevada	+1.0	45.5	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/3	San Diego State at New Mexico	-12.0	45.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/10	San Diego State vs UNLV	-24.0	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/17	San Diego State at Fresno State	+13.0	42.5	L 14 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/24	San Diego State vs Hawai'i	-18.0	54.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/19	San Diego State vs Ohio	+2.5	49.0	L 0 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	New Mexico vs Incarnate Word	-36.0	63.5	W 62 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico at Wisconsin	+35.5	58.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-3.0	60.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	New Mexico vs Liberty	-7.0	65.0	L 43 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	New Mexico at UNLV	+8.0	62.5	W 50 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico at Colorado State	-1.5	63.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+14.0	52.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico at Utah State	+20.0	64.0	L 19 - 61	O	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+12.0	45.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	New Mexico at Air Force	+14.0	55.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/16	New Mexico vs Boise State	+21.0	61.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+7.0	43.0	L 3 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.13	39%	20.6	38%	2.73	162	38%	187	2.75	.11	39%	22.2	37%	39%	3.36	66.3	1.3	1.2
UNM	.11	42%	26.6	44%	2.69	153	36%	178	4.02	.28	47%	36.2	49%	42%	3.81	48.7	2.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1
UNM	#14 (.31)	49% (10)		53% (3)	3.81 (1)	254	44% (40)	231	3.83 (79)	#132 (.34)	50% (132)		50% (125)	51% (131)	4.64 (128)	81.5	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	13	20.6	19.6	39%	2.75	1.3	17	349	162	187	4.1	58%	39%	38%	38%	18%	.13
UNM Defense	12	36.2	37.8	46.7%	3.81	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	49%	42%	14%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	13	22.2	23.6	39%	3.36	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	39%	16%	.11
UNM Offense	12	26.6	25.3	41.6%	4.02	2.2	18	331	153	178	3.7	61%	38%	44%	36%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	13	30:12	17.3	35%	56%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.2	5.2	2	1	27.6
New Mexico	12	27:29	17.5	37%	33%	4.8	48.7	2.2	1.8	5.5	2.2	2	29.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	13	58%	38%	39.9	161.7	4.1	16	.03	2.73	65%	12%	0.96
UNM Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.31	75%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.35	67%	9%	0.86
UNM Offense	12	61%	44%	42	153.2	3.7	17	.04	2.69	74%	12%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	13	39%	38%	12.8	23.9	187.2	7.8	14.7	14	6	.28	1.9	38%	32%	.21	6%	1.6
UNM Defense	12	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.38	1.9	29%	38%	.48	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.7	34%	32%	.34	7%	1.8
UNM Offense	12	38%	36%	12.8	24	178.1	7.4	14	21	17	.21	2	30%	30%	.36	6%	2.3

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2018 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #47
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #92
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #24

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: New Mexico: -2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 6.0 New Mexico: -9.5

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -2.25 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #106
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

San Diego State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 28
New Mexico 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 28
New Mexico 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 28
New Mexico 24

Total Points: 52

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

New Mexico's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	17	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	41.5	Under
2024	11/08	San Diego State	16	New Mexico	21	San Diego State -1.5	New Mexico	65.5	Under
2022	11/18	New Mexico	10	San Diego State	34	San Diego State -15	San Diego State	36.0	Over
2021	10/09	San Diego State	31	New Mexico	7	San Diego State -19.5	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2018	11/03	New Mexico	23	San Diego State	31	San Diego State -12	New Mexico	45.5	Over
2017	11/24	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	10	San Diego State -20.5	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2014	10/10	New Mexico	14	San Diego State	24	San Diego State -6	San Diego State	0
2013	11/02	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	30	San Diego State -17	New Mexico	0
2011	11/05	San Diego State	35	New Mexico	7
2010	10/23	New Mexico	20	San Diego State	30
2009	10/31	San Diego State	23	New Mexico	20
2008	10/18	New Mexico	70	San Diego State	7
2007	10/20	San Diego State	17	New Mexico	20
2006	11/25	New Mexico	41	San Diego State	14
2005	10/22	San Diego State	24	New Mexico	47
2004	10/23	New Mexico	19	San Diego State	9
2003	10/18	San Diego State	7	New Mexico	30
2002	11/09	New Mexico	15	San Diego State	8
2001	11/03	San Diego State	15	New Mexico	20
2000	11/03	New Mexico	16	San Diego State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	10	4	2 Overs
San Diego State	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 10	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#99
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#79	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 52°

Rematch from Week 10
San Diego State 12.0 (45.5)
San Diego State won at New Mexico this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat San Diego State last year (21-16)
San Diego State beat New Mexico in 2022 (34-10)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD