Texas State at UTSA - 2018 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -7 (49.0)
UTSA 25 - Texas State: 21

 
Bobcats (3 - 9) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 28 (20 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TXST -5.5)
Projected Score: TXST: 26 - UTSA: 26 (52)
UTSA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 47 miles
Roadrunners (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 31 (18 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Texas State at Rutgers+16.548.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 9/8 Texas State vs Texas Southern-34.052.5W 36 - 20ON
Sat 9/15 Texas State at South Alabama+10.049.0L 31 - 41OY
Sat 9/22 Texas State at UTSA+7.049.0L 21 - 25UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Texas State vs Louisiana+3.057.5L 27 - 42ON
Thu 10/11 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+17.052.0L 13 - 15UY
Sat 10/20 Texas State at UL Monroe+10.560.0L 14 - 20UY
Sat 10/27 Texas State vs New Mexico State-1.056.0W 27 - 20UY
Sat 11/3 Texas State at Georgia State+7.053.0W 40 - 30OY
Sat 11/10 Texas State vs App State+18.547.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/17 Texas State at Troy+23.047.5L 7 - 12UY
Sat 11/24 Texas State vs Arkansas State+13.048.5L 7 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
UTSA's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UTSA at Arizona State+17.053.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/8 UTSA vs Baylor+17.055.0L 20 - 37OY
Sat 9/15 UTSA at Kansas State+20.546.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 9/22 UTSA vs Texas State-7.049.0W 25 - 21UN
Sat 9/29 UTSA vs UTEP-10.046.5W 30 - 21ON
Sat 10/6 UTSA at Rice+1.050.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 10/13 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech+13.045.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 10/20 UTSA at Southern Miss+16.044.0L 17 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 UTSA at UAB+21.542.5L 3 - 52ON
Sat 11/10 UTSA vs Florida International+10.546.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/17 UTSA at Marshall+27.548.0L 0 - 23UY
Sat 11/24 UTSA vs North Texas+25.051.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.0739%19.840%2.4214737%1822.62.0937%27.636%34%3.349.21.91.3
UTSA-.0434%14.236%2.628731%1602.37.2244%31.240%46%3.7941.61.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1219.82039.3%2.621.917330147182454%45%40%37%19%.07
UTSA Defense1231.229.844.2%3.791.6 - - - - - 51%47%40%46%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1227.627.236.9%3.31.3 - - - - - 53%45%36%34%15%.09
UTSA Offense1214.217.734.2%2.371.51524787160343%55%36%31%21%-.04

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1227:4617.332%50%649.21.91.34.81.3130.2
UTSA1227:3815.333%50%5.441.61.51.66.51.9128.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1254%40%37.3147.2415-.012.4257%12%0.97
UTSA Defense1251%40% - - - - .022.756%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1253%36% - - - - .052.9958%9%0.98
UTSA Offense1243%36%29.587.337-.032.6265%13%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1245%37%16.127.5182.36.611.31512.21.734%28%.247%1.9
UTSA Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 9.461.831%36%.555%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1245%34% - - - - - - 6.151.736%31%.246%1.7
UTSA Offense1255%31%1733.7159.84.89.4910-.061.438%26%.019%1.5

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4  #114
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #126
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #73

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    UTSA: -8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.4   UTSA: -22.1




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -8.55 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2018 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #127
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #129
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Texas State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 26
UTSA 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 30
Texas State 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Texas State 25
UTSA 22

Total Points: 47
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

UTSA's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06UTSA36Texas State43UTSA -4.5Texas State64.5Over
202409/07Texas State49UTSA10Texas State -2.5Texas State58.5Over
202309/09UTSA20Texas State13UT San Antonio -13.5Texas State66.5Under
202009/12Texas State48UTSA51Texas State -6.0UTSA56.5Over
201809/22UTSA25Texas State21UT San Antonio -7Texas State49.0Under
201709/23Texas State14UTSA44UT San Antonio -13.5UTSA45.0Over
201211/24UTSA38Texas State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA524 Overs
Texas State242 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 51 - 40 - 1
Road Teams3 - 45 - 11 - 04 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #127
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #125 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 4
UTSA -7.0 (49.0)
UTSA won vs Texas State this year (25-21)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UTSA last year (49-10)
UTSA beat Texas State in 2023 (20-13)

  
TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TXST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UTSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UTSA's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD