Bowling Green at Akron - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (3:30 PM EST)
Akron -6.5 (48.5)
Bowling Green 21 - Akron: 6 (Mid-American)

Falcons (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 40 (23 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ AKR -3)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - AKR: 28 (51)
AKR Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 112 miles

Zips (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (21 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Bowling Green at Oregon	+34.5	71.0	L 24 - 58	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Bowling Green vs Maryland	+13.5	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/15	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.0	65.0	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+6.5	55.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+28.0	65.5	L 17 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/6	Bowling Green at Toledo	+23.0	71.0	L 36 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	+14.5	68.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Bowling Green at Ohio	+16.5	67.0	L 14 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-1.5	67.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/10	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+7.5	49.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Bowling Green at Akron	+6.5	48.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/23	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+16.0	62.0	L 14 - 44	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Akron's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8	Akron vs Morgan State	-42.5
Sat 9/15	Akron at Northwestern	+21.5	45.5	W 39 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Akron at Iowa State	+19.5	47.0	L 13 - 26	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Akron vs Miami (OH)	-5.0	47.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/13	Akron at Buffalo	+12.0	55.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Akron at Kent State	-4.5	50.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/27	Akron vs Central Michigan	-4.0	43.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Thu 11/1	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+6.0	37.0	L 26 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/10	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+11.0	41.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/17	Akron vs Bowling Green	-6.5	48.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/23	Akron at Ohio	+24.0	56.5	L 28 - 49	O	Y
Sat 12/1	Akron at South Carolina	+28.5	55.0	L 3 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.13	40%	24.3	36%	2.53	116	43%	239	3.68	.32	49%	40	56%	36%	4.68	65.7	1.8	1.1
AKR	.04	35%	18.9	33%	2.28	97	34%	199	2.83	.09	43%	27.2	46%	38%	3.38	61.1	2.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	24.3	22.7	40.3%	3.68	1.8	19	355	116	239	3.4	46%	53%	36%	43%	19%	.13
AKR Defense	12	27.2	23	43.1%	3.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	46%	38%	16%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	40	40.2	49.4%	4.68	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	56%	36%	11%	.32
AKR Offense	12	18.9	21.4	34.9%	2.83	2.2	17	296	97	199	3	45%	53%	33%	34%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	29:18	19.1	39%	50%	7.8	65.7	1.8	1.1	3.3	1.3	0	27.8
Akron	12	28:09	16.8	29%	29%	6.7	61.1	2.2	1.6	6.8	1.8	3	26.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	46%	36%	34.7	116.3	3.4	9	-.02	2.53	74%	11%	0.96
AKR Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.05	73%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	65%	56%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.63	82%	6%	1.03
AKR Offense	12	45%	33%	32.5	96.6	3	5	-.08	2.28	70%	14%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	53%	43%	20.8	33.8	238.7	7.1	11.5	29	13	.28	1.5	33%	31%	.29	8%	2
AKR Defense	12	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.08	1.5	31%	30%	.19	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	35%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.9	29%	33%	.4	4%	2
AKR Offense	12	53%	34%	15.6	31.2	199.2	6.4	12.8	16	14	.14	1.7	40%	28%	.2	9%	1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2018 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0 #126
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #99
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9 #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Akron: -7.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.0 Akron: -19.3

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -7.15 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2018 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3 #120
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #128
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #89

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 40 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Bowling Green's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 28
Bowling Green 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Akron 26
Bowling Green 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Akron 30
Bowling Green 24

Total Points: 54

Akron Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Akron's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Bowling Green	16	Akron	19	Bowling Green -2.5	Akron	47.5	Under
2024	10/05	Akron	20	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green -17	Akron	48.5	Under
2023	10/21	Bowling Green	41	Akron	14	Bowling Green -7	Bowling Green	37.0	Over
2022	10/01	Akron	28	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green -9	Akron	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Bowling Green	20	Akron	35	Bowling Green -14	Akron	46.0	Over
2020	12/05	Akron	31	Bowling Green	3	Akron -2.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2019	11/02	Bowling Green	35	Akron	6	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2018	11/17	Akron	6	Bowling Green	21	Akron -6.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Under
2017	09/30	Bowling Green	23	Akron	34	Akron -3	Akron	57.5	Under
2016	11/09	Akron	28	Bowling Green	38	Akron -11.5	Bowling Green	73.0	Under
2015	10/17	Bowling Green	59	Akron	10	Bowling Green -11.5	Bowling Green	62.5	Over
2014	11/04	Akron	10	Bowling Green	27	Akron -4	Bowling Green	0
2013	09/28	Bowling Green	31	Akron	14	Bowling Green -15.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/06	Akron	10	Bowling Green	24
2009	11/20	Bowling Green	36	Akron	20
2008	10/11	Akron	33	Bowling Green	37
2007	11/02	Bowling Green	44	Akron	20
2006	11/04	Akron	35	Bowling Green	28
2005	10/29	Bowling Green	14	Akron	24
2001	10/20	Akron	11	Bowling Green	16
2000	10/06	Bowling Green	21	Akron	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	7	6	4 Overs
Bowling Green	14	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	13 - 8	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#) BGSU at (#) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#120
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#104	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 39° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Akron -6.5 (48.5)
Bowling Green won at Akron this year (21-6)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Akron last year (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2022 (31-28)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AKR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD