Bowling Green at Oregon - 2018 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Oregon Ducks(#5)Oregon logo
Saturday, September 1st 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -34.5 (71.0)
Oregon 58 - Bowling Green: 24

 
Falcons (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 40 (23 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 18.3 MPH
Our Line: -17  (SP+ ORE -29)
Projected Score: BGSU: 26 - ORE: 40 (66)
ORE Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
BGSU Travel: 1992 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Bowling Green at Oregon+34.571.0L 24 - 58OY
Sat 9/8 Bowling Green vs Maryland+13.565.5L 14 - 45UN
Sat 9/15 Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky-14.065.0W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/22 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)+6.555.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 9/29 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+28.065.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 10/6 Bowling Green at Toledo+23.071.0L 36 - 52OY
Sat 10/13 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan+14.568.5L 35 - 42OY
Sat 10/20 Bowling Green at Ohio+16.567.0L 14 - 49UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30 Bowling Green vs Kent State-1.567.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/10 Bowling Green at Central Michigan+7.549.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/17 Bowling Green at Akron+6.548.5W 21 - 6UY
Fri 11/23 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+16.062.0L 14 - 44UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Oregon's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Oregon vs Bowling Green-34.571.0W 58 - 24ON
Sat 9/8 Oregon vs Portland State-49.5
Sat 9/15 Oregon vs San José State-42.570.5W 35 - 22UN
Sat 9/22 Oregon vs Stanford+2.559.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/29 Oregon at California-2.058.5W 42 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Oregon vs Washington+3.559.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/20 Oregon at Washington State+3.070.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/27 Oregon at Arizona-7.564.5L 15 - 44UN
Sat 11/3 Oregon vs UCLA-10.559.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/10 Oregon at Utah+5.551.0L 25 - 32ON
Sat 11/17 Oregon vs Arizona State-3.564.0W 31 - 29UN
Fri 11/23 Oregon at Oregon State-18.071.0W 55 - 15UY
Mon 12/31 Oregon vs Michigan State+1.047.0W 7 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1340%24.336%2.5311643%2393.68.3249%4056%36%4.6865.71.81.1
ORE.2345%34.847%3.118041%2484.45.1242%25.438%44%3.1547.91.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1224.322.740.3%3.681.8193551162393.446%53%36%43%19%.13
ORE Defense1325.42542.4%3.151.8 - - - - - 49%49%38%44%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense124040.249.4%4.681.1 - - - - - 65%35%56%36%11%.32
ORE Offense1334.841.344.9%4.451.4214271802484.452%47%47%41%15%.23

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1229:1819.139%50%7.865.71.81.13.31.3027.8
Oregon1327:5421.543%61%547.91.41.84.52330.3
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1246%36%34.7116.33.49-.022.5374%11%0.96
ORE Defense1349%38% - - - - .022.7870%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1265%56% - - - - .373.6382%6%1.03
ORE Offense1352%47%40.5179.64.427.143.181%8%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1253%43%20.833.8238.77.111.52913.281.533%31%.298%2
ORE Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 17.251.532%33%.158%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1235%36% - - - - - - 6.241.929%33%.44%2
ORE Offense1347%41%18.932.2247.87.713.1298.331.830%35%.467%2.1

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2018 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0  #126
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #99
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9  #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Oregon: 6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.0   Oregon: 7.3




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 6.15 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.3  #41
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #31
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #50

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 40 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Bowling Green's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 40
Bowling Green 26

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 40
Bowling Green 28

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 39
Bowling Green 24

Total Points: 63
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Oregon's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/01Oregon58Bowling Green24Oregon -34.5Bowling Green71.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon101 Overs
Bowling Green010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) BGSU at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #104 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 18 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Oregon -34.5 (71.0)
Oregon won vs Bowling Green this year (58-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BGSU's OC ()
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BGSU's DC ()
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ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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ORE's DC ()
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