Bowling Green at Oregon - 2018 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Oregon Ducks

Saturday, September 1st 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -34.5 (71.0)
Oregon 58 - Bowling Green: 24

Falcons (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -17 (SP+ ORE -29)
Projected Score: BGSU: 20 - ORE: 34 (54)
ORE Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
BGSU Travel: 1992 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Ducks (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Bowling Green at Oregon	+34.5	71.0	L 24 - 58	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Bowling Green vs Maryland	+13.5	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/15	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.0	65.0	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+6.5	55.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+28.0	65.5	L 17 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/6	Bowling Green at Toledo	+23.0	71.0	L 36 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	+14.5	68.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Bowling Green at Ohio	+16.5	67.0	L 14 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-1.5	67.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/10	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+7.5	49.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Bowling Green at Akron	+6.5	48.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/23	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+16.0	62.0	L 14 - 44	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Oregon's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Oregon vs Bowling Green	-34.5	71.0	W 58 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/8	Oregon vs Portland State	-49.5
Sat 9/15	Oregon vs San José State	-42.5	70.5	W 35 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/22	Oregon vs Stanford	+2.5	59.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Oregon at California	-2.0	58.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Oregon vs Washington	+3.5	59.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Oregon at Washington State	+3.0	70.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/27	Oregon at Arizona	-7.5	64.5	L 15 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/3	Oregon vs UCLA	-10.5	59.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Oregon at Utah	+5.5	51.0	L 25 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/17	Oregon vs Arizona State	-3.5	64.0	W 31 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/23	Oregon at Oregon State	-18.0	71.0	W 55 - 15	U	Y
Mon 12/31	Oregon vs Michigan State	+1.0	47.0	W 7 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.11	42%	20.5	42%	2.78	152	39%	235	3.25	.29	51%	24.3	52%	48%	4.05	68.9	2.1	1.7
ORE	.2	46%	36.9	47%	3.1	251	42%	190	4.43	.1	38%	17.9	38%	37%	3.41	88.3	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	41.6%	3.25	2.1	19	387	152	235	4.2	46%	52%	42%	39%	19%	.11
ORE Defense	13	17.9	16.8	38.5%	3.41	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	38%	37%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	51.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	52%	48%	15%	.29
ORE Offense	13	36.9	43.1	45.8%	4.43	1.9	22	441	251	190	5.2	63%	36%	47%	42%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	27:13	19.3	36%	33%	7.4	68.9	2.1	1.7	4.5	1.3	0	31
Oregon	13	28:14	21.8	41%	41%	9.4	88.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	2.5	3	33.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	46%	42%	35.8	151.7	4.2	13	.08	2.78	58%	12%	1.04
ORE Defense	13	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.43	65%	12%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	57%	52%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	79%	8%	0.94
ORE Offense	13	63%	47%	48.3	251	5.2	40	.16	3.1	72%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	52%	39%	18.8	34.8	235	6.8	12.5	21	12	.15	1.6	35%	36%	.27	7%	1.7
ORE Defense	13	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.2	1.7	36%	31%	.3	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.37	1.6	28%	46%	.55	6%	1.7
ORE Offense	13	36%	42%	15.6	23.9	189.9	7.9	12.2	18	12	.31	1.7	29%	32%	.33	3%	1.8

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2018 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0 #126
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #99
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9 #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Oregon: 6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.0 Oregon: 7.3

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 6.15 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.3 #41
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #31
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #50

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 34
Bowling Green 20

Projected Total Points: 54

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/01	Oregon	58	Bowling Green	24	Oregon -34.5	Bowling Green	71.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	1	0	1 Overs
Bowling Green	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BGSU at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#104	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon -34.5 (71.0)
Oregon won vs Bowling Green this year (58-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD