Tulsa at Navy - 2018 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (3:30 PM EST)
Navy -5 (50.5)
Navy 37 - Tulsa: 29 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TLSA 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY is playing their 7th straight game
TLSA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ NAVY -1)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NAVY: 32 (55)
NAVY Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TLSA Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs behind

Midshipmen (3 - 10) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Tulsa vs Central Arkansas	-11.5	62.0	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/8	Tulsa at Texas	+22.5	60.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Tulsa vs Arkansas State	-2.0	71.0	L 20 - 29	U	N
Thu 9/20	Tulsa at Temple	+6.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/4	Tulsa at Houston	+17.5	71.5	L 26 - 41	U	Y
Fri 10/12	Tulsa vs South Florida	+10.0	60.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Tulsa at Arkansas	+7.5	52.0	L 0 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+1.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/3	Tulsa vs UConn	-18.5	60.0	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Tulsa at Memphis	+16.5	66.0	L 21 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/17	Tulsa at Navy	+5.0	50.5	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/24	Tulsa vs SMU	+2.5	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Navy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Navy at Hawai'i	-12.5	62.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/8	Navy vs Memphis	+7.0	67.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Navy vs Lehigh	-33.0	57.5	W 51 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/22	Navy at SMU	-6.5	57.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Navy at Air Force	-2.5	47.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/13	Navy vs Temple	+6.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Navy vs Houston	+11.0	59.5	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/27	Navy vs Notre Dame	+21.5	55.5	L 22 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/3	Navy at Cincinnati	+13.0	47.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/10	Navy at UCF	+23.5	68.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Navy vs Tulsa	-5.0	50.5	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Navy at Tulane	+5.0	51.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8	Navy vs Army	+7.0	38.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.18	42%	23.2	46%	2.92	247	33%	173	3.52	.31	47%	28.9	45%	47%	3.6	60	1.1	1.1
NAVY	.26	48%	31.5	49%	3.41	351	33%	77	4	.25	46%	25	43%	48%	3.46	40.6	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	19	42.4%	3.52	1.1	22	420	247	173	5	64%	35%	46%	33%	15%	.18
NAVY Defense	13	25	24.2	46%	3.46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	30.7	47%	3.6	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	45%	47%	13%	.31
NAVY Offense	13	31.5	38	47.8%	4	1.5	21	429	351	77	5.6	87%	12%	49%	33%	10%	.26

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	28:01	21.8	44%	61%	7	60	1.1	1.1	4.9	1	1	29.4
Navy	13	36:18	21.2	45%	66%	4.1	40.6	1.5	1.2	4.8	1.2	0	34

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	64%	46%	49.3	247.3	5	36	.25	2.92	73%	9%	1.12
NAVY Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	70%	10%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	59%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	66%	8%	1.13
NAVY Offense	13	87%	49%	63.2	351.4	5.6	42	.27	3.41	83%	7%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	35%	33%	13	24.3	173.1	7.1	13.3	6	8	.06	1.7	32%	33%	.25	6%	1.8
NAVY Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.45	1.7	31%	37%	.34	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	40%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.47	1.9	29%	41%	.46	5%	1.8
NAVY Offense	13	12%	33%	3.2	7.8	77.3	9.9	23.9	10	10	.26	2.4	27%	30%	.27	3%	1.8

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2018 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #107
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #109
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: Navy: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.2 Navy: -10.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -2.6 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #101
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #82
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 32
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 55

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Tulsa	23	Navy	42	Navy -14	Navy	52.5	Over
2022	10/08	Navy	53	Tulsa	21	Tulsa -4.5	Navy	45.5	Over
2021	10/29	Tulsa	17	Navy	20	Tulsa -11	Navy	46.0	Under
2020	12/05	Navy	6	Tulsa	19	Tulsa -12	Tulsa	46.0	Under
2019	10/12	Tulsa	17	Navy	45	Tulsa -1	Navy	52.0	Over
2018	11/17	Navy	37	Tulsa	29	Navy -5	Navy	50.5	Over
2017	09/30	Tulsa	21	Navy	31	Navy -7.5	Navy	70.5	Under
2016	11/12	Navy	42	Tulsa	40	Navy -1	Navy	71.5	Over
2015	11/21	Tulsa	21	Navy	44	Navy -9.5	Navy	64.5	Over
2006	09/23	Navy	23	Tulsa	24
2004	09/18	Tulsa	0	Navy	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	9	8	6 Overs
Tulsa	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 8	3 - 6	2 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	8 - 3	6 - 3	4 - 1	2 - 2

(#) TLSA at (#) NAVY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	NAVY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#101
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#108	#115
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Tulsa Injury Report

Navy Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	NAVY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	TLSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Navy -5.0 (50.5)
Navy won vs Tulsa this year (37-29)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

TLSA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NAVY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD