Purdue at Minnesota - 2018 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, November 10th 2018 (3:30 PM EST)
Purdue -10.5 (58.0)
Minnesota 41 - Purdue: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 21.2°
MINN is playing their 6th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ PUR -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 30 - MINN: 27 (57)
PUR Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
PUR Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Purdue vs Northwestern-1.052.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 9/8 Purdue vs Eastern Michigan-15.050.0L 19 - 20UN
Sat 9/15 Purdue vs Missouri+5.068.0L 37 - 40OY
Sat 9/22 Purdue vs Boston College+6.562.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/29 Purdue at Nebraska-3.558.5W 42 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Purdue at Illinois-10.562.0W 46 - 7UY
Sat 10/20 Purdue vs Ohio State+12.066.0W 49 - 20OY
Sat 10/27 Purdue at Michigan State-2.548.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 11/3 Purdue vs Iowa-1.551.5W 38 - 36OY
Sat 11/10 Purdue at Minnesota-10.558.0L 10 - 41UN
Sat 11/17 Purdue vs Wisconsin-3.556.0L 44 - 47ON
Sat 11/24 Purdue at Indiana-3.565.0W 28 - 21UY
Fri 12/28 Purdue vs Auburn+3.558.5L 14 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Minnesota's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Minnesota vs New Mexico State-21.549.0W 48 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Minnesota vs Fresno State-1.050.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/15 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-14.046.5W 26 - 3UY
Sat 9/22 Minnesota at Maryland+2.546.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Minnesota vs Iowa+7.041.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/13 Minnesota at Ohio State+29.560.5L 14 - 30UY
Sat 10/20 Minnesota at Nebraska+4.554.5L 28 - 53ON
Fri 10/26 Minnesota vs Indiana+2.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/3 Minnesota at Illinois-8.561.5L 31 - 55ON
Sat 11/10 Minnesota vs Purdue+10.558.0W 41 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 Minnesota vs Northwestern-3.048.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/24 Minnesota at Wisconsin+10.553.0W 37 - 15UY
Wed 12/26 Minnesota vs Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 34 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.245%30.544%2.8513643%3083.79.2147%3046%46%3.4864.51.51.1
MINN.1644%28.945%3.3617141%2093.64.243%26.541%43%3.1339.11.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1330.527.844.6%3.791.5224441363084.538%60%44%43%17%.2
MINN Defense1326.52042.9%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%41%43%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense13302446.9%3.481.1 - - - - - 46%52%46%46%12%.21
MINN Offense1328.931.344.3%3.641.9213801712094.355%43%45%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1329:3721.838%53%6.264.51.51.13.91.8128.2
Minnesota1331:5720.740%50%3.939.11.91.65.21.6231
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1338%44%30.6136.44.520.122.8571%10%1.01
MINN Defense1348%41% - - - - .192.872%9%1.31
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1346%46% - - - - .163.175%7%0.94
MINN Offense1355%45%40.2171.24.324.133.3677%9%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1360%43%25.639.2307.57.9122813.271.531%36%.327%1.6
MINN Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 11.231.430%34%.36%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 11.291.531%33%.335%1.9
MINN Offense1343%41%14.626.6208.87.814.32014.21.831%33%.358%2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2018 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #44
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #17
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #88

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Minnesota: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 6.5   Minnesota: 6.3




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2018 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #45
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #75
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Purdue's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 30
Minnesota 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 35
Minnesota 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 29
Purdue 26

Total Points: 55
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Minnesota's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Minnesota27Purdue20Minnesota -7.5Purdue49.5Under
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30Minnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20Minnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20Purdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31Purdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38Purdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10Purdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17Purdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31Minnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38Minnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1256 Overs
Purdue1064 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 74 - 71 - 63 - 1
Road Teams7 - 157 - 41 - 36 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #45
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #71 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 21° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Purdue 10.5 (58.0)
Minnesota won vs Purdue this year (41-10)

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2022 (20-10)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD